Category: US Bonds
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Keeps Chugging Along as Stocks, Gold and Commodities Remain Under Pressure / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market just keeps chugging along very convincingly here through the seasonally negative month of May. The stock market and commodities remained under pressure as Gold has joined the sell-off. Looking at the Fed’s stock vs. 10 Year Note Relative Value Model, it has drastically swung from bonds 2.5 standard deviations cheap in March to stocks 2.6 standard deviations cheap last Thursday. Looks like some of the short term moves are a bit ahead of themselves at this point, but the message is fairly clear: the low hanging fruit has been picked as far as the risk-trade is concerned; the character of the market is rapidly changing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 17, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bonds, Stay Long and Earn the Carry! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market did exactly what it was supposed to do last week: it pulled back to the break-out level at 120 and then it started moving higher again. In spite of the massive bounce in stocks on Monday, the market remains quite nervous. The long auction cycle included a record $16 Billion 30 year bonds on Thursday. The market received the 3 year tranche very well, the 10 years were better than average and the long bond managed to drum up enough interest to keep key support at 120 intact. While crude oil is leading commodities to the downside, gold continues to have a remarkable bid as it moved to new all time highs near 1250 on Friday.
Monday, May 10, 2010
Ratings Agencies, Downgrade U.S. Government Debt Before It's Too Late / / US Bonds
By: Martin_D_Weiss
Dear S&P, Moody’s, and Fitch,
You are the world’s three dominant rating agencies, largely controlling the ratings of bonds and debts issued by thousands of corporations, municipalities, and sovereign governments.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 10, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Breaks Out of Trading Range / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market finally broke out of its 5 month trading range with some conviction. The long bond future actually traded as high as 124½ before settling back to 122 even at the close on Friday. While the fundamental data mostly exceeded expectations, the focus was on the jumpy, weak and nervous stock market which provided Treasuries with their traditional safe haven bid along with gold and the US Dollar.
Monday, May 03, 2010
The Great Interest Rate Explosion of 2010-2011 How to Protect Your Wealth and Profit / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Larson
The dot-com bubble of the late 1990s. The housing bubble of the mid-2000s. They both wreaked massive havoc on investor portfolios. Trillions were lost … both here and abroad.
At Weiss Research, we take pride in the fact we warned of the epic destruction well in ADVANCE of the twin busts in tech stocks and housing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 03, 2010
What Next for U.S. Treasury Bonds? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Frank_Shostak
At the end of March the yield on the ten-year T-note closed at 3.833%, up from 3.617% the month before. Note that at the end of March last year the yield stood at 2.67%.
Saturday, May 01, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Update / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
That darned bond market just won’t give up the ghost! So much to write about this week in so little space! Another record amount of supply (close to $130 Billion) was auctioned without a hiccup last week. The bond auctions were overshadowed by the FOMC meeting and some further supportive data on the fundamental front.
Monday, April 26, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bonds Stay Long and Earn the Carry! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Levente_Mady
The bond market successfully chopped sideways last week. Inflation data on both sides of the border remains supportive in spite of the hawkish tone from the Bank of Canada meeting last week. The busy supply agenda continues to counterbalance the positive fundamentals as another record amount of supply (close to $130 Billion) is scheduled for auction during the next week. The continuing positive tone in commodities and equities still can’t seem to put any sustained pressure on rates to rise.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 25, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bond TBT Upside Potential / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Peter_Navarro
CHICAGO -- Regulators shut down seven Illinois banks Friday, bringing this year's tally of failed U.S. banks and thrifts to 57. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. found buyers for all of the failed institutions, and the failed banks' branches were all expected to reopen Saturday.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 22, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bonds Nowhere To Go But Down / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Sol_Palha
"It is better to do thine own duty, however lacking in merit, than to do that of another, even though efficiently. It is better to die doing one's own duty, for to do the duty of another is fraught with danger." ~ Bhagavad Gita, BC 400-, Sanskrit Poem Incorporated Into the Mahabharata
Thursday, April 22, 2010
This is Important.. U.S. Treasury Bonds Reach Critical Level / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Marty_Chenard
If is wasn't so important, I wouldn't mention it a second time. But it is very important, and could be a "game changer" if we break above this long term resistance in the next few weeks ... so, please keep an eye on it.
Monday, April 19, 2010
14 Risks of Holding U.S. Government Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Martin_D_Weiss
When AT&T, California, New York City or virtually any other borrower wants your money and offers its bonds for sale, it’s required to give you a prospectus that properly discloses all the relevant risks.
It has a legal obligation to tell you about any material weakness, hidden liabilities or contingencies that could diminish your chances of getting paid in full.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Have We Entered A Treasury Bond Bear Market? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Money_and_Markets
Sharon A. Daniels writes: Bond investors were poised to hit the panic button last week … nervously watching as yields on 10-Year U.S. Treasury bonds briefly pierced the 4 percent level for the first time in well over a year.
Their concerns are understandable. After all, the threat of rising rates has been hanging over fixed-income markets ever since the Fed began printing money at hyper-speed during the financial crisis. And the fears haven’t subsided.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bonds Prospectus, Would You Invest? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: PhilStockWorld
We talk a lot about the economy in abstract terms.
On the other hand, many of us are well-versed at going over a prospectus and Jim Grant of the Interest Rate Observer has put one together for the United States of America as it seeks to raise $16Bn for 30-year Treasury Notes. According to the prospectus: "The Bonds will mature on April 15, 2040. Interest on the bonds is payable semiannually on April 15 and October 15, beginning October 15, 2010. Before giving effect to the offering of the Bonds and the securities to be issued concurrently,the United States had approximately $12,500,000,000,000 of indebtedness subject to the statutory debt limitation."
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Watching U.S. Treasury Bonds TBT and TLT / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Guy_Lerner
It's a new month, therefore, it must be time to switch my position on Treasury bonds.
Before getting to the technicals on Treasury bonds, let me state why I am interested in and why I write so much about Treasury bonds. In one word, it is diversification. After all, they move slowly (most of the time), and they don't have the pizazz of some hot stock. Treasury bonds are one asset that remains negatively correlated to the equity market. Other traditional portfolio diversifiers, like commodities, emerging market ETF's and REIT's, have become highly correlated to US equities, and they just aren't doing the job they used to of smoothing out a portfolio's returns.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 10, 2010
Worried About U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Larson
Stop me if you’ve heard this one before …
First, the Federal Reserve slashes interest rates and floods the economy with cheap, easy money.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Forget Banks and Hedge Funds, The Crash Will Stem From Municipal Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: LewRockwell
Robert Wenzel writes: Rick Bookstaber, who is a a Senior Policy Advisor to the Director of the SEC, Mary Schapiro, continues to maintain his own private non_SEC affiliated blog.
Monday, April 05, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Alert: This Should Scare The Heck Out of All of Us Right Now / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mario_Cavolo
I remember a few years back when in fact, I knew nothing about "bonds" and the word confused me. I'll save you that ignorance and suffering real quickly here; A government bond is a low risk loan and it pays you a steady low interest rate, for example, such as a 10 year U.S. Treasury Bond; for 10 years, you'll receive a yield, for example of, 3% per year and your money is regarded as being in the safest possible place it could be.
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Why U.S. Treasury Stock Sales are Irrelevant to Monetary Policy / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
This week, the US Treasury will begin to unwind its position in Citigroup stock, which it purchased as part of the Troubled Asset Relief Program that began in 2008 to rescue failing banks. While some claim this move will reduce the money stock available in the economy, the program is unlikely to have any impact on the money supply and inflation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bond Market: “It’s Safer to Lend to Buffett than Obama” / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Casey_Research
Chris Wood, Casey Research writes: A few weeks ago, the Federal Reserve released the new Z.1 Flow of Funds document, which covers flows and outstandings through the fourth quarter of 2009. What does the document reveal?
Read full article... Read full article...