Return of the U.S. Housing Market Bust
Housing-Market / US Housing Jul 27, 2013 - 11:24 AM GMTAnyone who believes that housing is back in a big way needs to take a look at homebuilder stocks.
Here’s DR Horton (DHI) which is down over 30% from its recent highs.
The same can be said for Pulte Homes (PHM)
The problem with the housing industry was and remains the Fed. By keeping interest rates at zero and giving institutions access to various lending windows, the Fed gave large financial firms like Blackrock to opportunity to snatch up tens of thousands of homes.
This has put a false floor beneath housing prices. Historically, housing busts in the OECD countries last 6-7 years peak to trough. But by giving certain players in the market (institutions) the opportunity to buy up vast swaths of homes, the Fed didn’t allow this natural process to take place.
The end result is that housing is once again unaffordable for most folks. Prices are surging across the board at the precise time that mortgage applications are collapsing (in part based on the rise in rates and based on housing becoming too pricey).
It’s just like 2007 all over again. Only this time around, we know for a fact that the Fed hasn’t fixed things and has bankrupted itself and the financial system pretending that it can.
This is not doom and gloom. This is a fact. The Fed has created an even bigger bubble than the 2007 one.
The time to prepare for this is not once the collapse begins, but NOW, while stocks are still rallying. Stocks take their time moving up, but when they crash it happens VERY quickly.
Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Good Investing!
PS. If you’re getting worried about the future of the stock market and have yet to take steps to prepare for the Second Round of the Financial Crisis… I highly suggest you download my FREE Special Report specifying exactly how to prepare for what’s to come.
I call it The Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Kit. And its 17 pages contain a wealth of information about portfolio protection, which investments to own and how to take out Catastrophe Insurance on the stock market (this “insurance” paid out triple digit gains in the Autumn of 2008).
Again, this is all 100% FREE. To pick up your copy today, got to http://www.gainspainscapital.com and click on FREE REPORTS.
Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
© 2013 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
Graham Summers Archive |
© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.