Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, July 24, 2021
Bitcoin Black Swan - GOOGLE! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock to flow model to is too easy and that Bitcoin halving can do what it does to pump the price ever higher, but what happens if next time that does NOT HAPPEN where instead bitcoin pricing rising it FALLS! If the biggest bullish case for Bitcoin turns out to be FALSE then that crypto is heading towards $1 rather than the stock to flow models $1 million plus coins.
So yes, it worked last time, and could work next time. However, on it's own it has to be coin flip, and eventually those coins are going to flip TAILS - GAME OVER!
Which means don' get sucked into such hype and make sure not to over commit to the crypto casino i.e. Even at maximum exposure I am not going to spend MORE than 1% of my total fiat on crypto's. One has to be prepared for assets that have no intrinsic value to reflect that lack of intrinsic value so keep exposure small.
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Friday, July 23, 2021
Best Forex Strategy for Consistent Profits / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Submissions
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Thursday, July 22, 2021
Popular Forex Brokers That You Might Want to Check Out / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Steve_Barker
Investing in Forex opens up a lot of opportunities for beginners since the investment is minimal. Nevertheless, one thing you need to consider is which broker you will use. This is not as simple as it sounds because of various factors such as regulation, currency, and more that you must think about before settling on one.
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Thursday, July 22, 2021
Bitcoin Black Swan - Will Crypto Currencies Get Banned? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Whilst we can all get carried away projecting into the future based on past trends, comfortable in the reliability of calculations. However, there are always black swans lurking out of sight that could result in that panic event that few see coming. And where Bitcoin and the crypto's are concerned is if the Governments decide to BAN trading and investing in crypto's.
I know the crypto bugs will come out with statements such as it is impossible to ban decentralised crypto currencies.
However, bitcoin / crypto's threaten the fiat currency banking system that effectively the worlds central banks have a monopoly over.
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Thursday, July 22, 2021
Bitcoin Price Enters Stage #4 Excess Phase Peak Breakdown – Where To Next? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past few months, I’ve been interviewed in podcasts and on Kitco where I’ve discussed the US and global market setups and trends based on my unique understanding of Technical Analysis and price patterns. Even though I’ve heard/read some comments from viewers sharing their own opinions which may not always agree with my interpretation of the market setups, I like to let the market trends do their thing and ultimately someone will be proven correct at the end of the day. Today, we’ll revisit some research I completed back in November 2020 and see how that research played out to today with Bitcoin.
Attempting to predict any future trend in any market is a difficult task, to say the least. The markets do what they do and part of my experience is to understand technical analysis setups and the underlying psychological aspect to the market cycles. I’m never 100% accurate in my predictions or expectations either – no one is 100% accurate in predicting any future event. All we can do is try our best at identifying these setups and take trades when the opportunity strikes for profits.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2021
Bitcoin Price CRASH, How to SELL BTC at $40k! Real Analysis vs Shill Coin Pumper's and Clueless Newbs / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
For the duration of this crypto bear market the so called crypto experts that populate Youtube, vested interest in their HODL psychosis have seen every dip to buy more and that the bottom was in, and so was the response to the latest dive lower to below BTC $30k, with the moronic response across the broad spectrum of crypto youtube channels proclaiming it to be another buying opportunity just as has been the case for the past 30,000 points drop to date! The reality is that whilst they are good at producing youtube videos, gathering millions of views but in reality they don't have a clue of how to actually analyse markets hence the example of the WYCOFF pattern endlessly regurgitated that in reality has no more value in forecasting trends than a COIN FLIP!. And then you have the crypto shills, selling their garbage scam coins such as Tech Lead's ,Million token alt scam coin videos pumping for liquidity to an extreme, with every video now with a click bait title "My wife left me for Bitcoin, Please Buy My Scam Coin" etc. Just focused on pumping their Alt garbage coins.
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Wednesday, July 21, 2021
Would Transparency Help Crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Adam_Walker
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Sunday, July 18, 2021
Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 2 (part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021) of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Sunday, July 18, 2021
Bitcoin Halving's Price Projection Forecasts Trend Trajectory / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. Imagine what would happen to the price of Gold if no more Gold could be mined, that's the trend trajectory that Bitcoin appears to be on i.e. there will come a time when NO MORE bitcoin can be mined!
So the simplest thing to do would be to to buy bitcoin when cheap and forget about it for a decade or so and then likely see a return of X10 that which one paid for it.
Total bitcoins mined to date number 18,700,000, 210,000 blocks will be mined from May 2020 to roughly March 2024, totaling 1.3 million bitcoins, which implies a total of 20 million bitcoins by the time of the next halving of rewards for miners to 3.125 bitcoin rewards per block mined (block rewards to miners is how the block chain works).
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Thursday, July 15, 2021
Will the U.S. Dollar Lose Momentum In the Second Half of 2021? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
As the world’s most traded currency, the US dollar has significant impacts on global trade. With interest rates at record lows and an uncertain macro-environment, it has risen at a stellar pace against major currencies in the last decade.
The US dollar is also the world’s most widely held currency, with an estimated $2 trillion in circulation. The strength of the greenback depends on a variety of factors, including economic and geopolitical stability, interest rates, inflation, and political influence.
It is important for investors and people who have exposure to the USD to understand how the dollar’s value could impact their wealth and future plans.
Wednesday, July 14, 2021
Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model Forecasts Infinity and Beyond! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Once you venture into the realm of bitcoins future prospects then you are pretty soon going to be presented with Stock to Flow model projections. Which is basically how many years will it take for new annual supply of bitcoins to cover total available supply of bitcoins and what it suggests for future pricing given that Bitcoins future supply is reducing with each halving.
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Wednesday, July 14, 2021
Meet SuperMania and its Ever-Present Sidekick, SuperMeltdown / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: EWI
Advance warnings about the recent crypto crash were there all along.
How did almost everyone miss them?
Anyone on Planet Earth in 2021 knows about the rise and fall of digital currencies.
Even many kids are aware.
But what has baffled just about everyone is what's BEHIND the moves.
This was made especially clear by the recent cryptocurrency crash, which saw Bitcoin plunge 50% from its April 15 peak. That move alone eliminated $1.3 trillion of wealth.
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Wednesday, July 14, 2021
How NFTs Are Shaking Up Arts Trading / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Adam_Walker
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Wednesday, July 07, 2021
BITCOIN PRICE HALVINGS TREND TRAJECTORY / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. Imagine what would happen to the price of Gold if no more Gold could be mined, that's the trend trajectory that Bitcoin appears to be on i.e. there will come a time when NO MORE bitcoin can be mined!
So the simplest thing to do would be to to buy bitcoin when cheap and forget about it for a decade or so and then likely see a return of X10 that which one paid for it.
Total bitcoins mined to date number 18,700,000, 210,000 blocks will be mined from May 2020 to roughly March 2024, totaling 1.3 million bitcoins, which implies a total of 20 million bitcoins by the time of the next halving of rewards for miners to 3.125 bitcoin rewards per block mined (block rewards to miners is how the block chain works).
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Wednesday, July 07, 2021
Is Wall Street’s ESG a threat to the BTC industry? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: S_N_Chatterjee
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Friday, July 02, 2021
NFTs Continue to Grow in Popularity – Can they affect the broad cryptocurrency market? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: S_N_Chatterjee
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Wednesday, June 30, 2021
Will ‘Infrastructure’ Spending Collapse the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: MoneyMetals
Recent collapses of bridges and a Florida condo building highlight what can go wrong when basic structural and foundational elements are neglected and allowed to deteriorate.
As corrosion and cracking spread, they may go little noticed at first, with repairs and upgrades put off. Meanwhile, the risks steadily build of a single point of failure leading to catastrophic consequences.
America’s deteriorating infrastructure is badly in need of fixing. On that issue, there is wide bipartisan agreement.
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Monday, June 28, 2021
Four Best Cryptocurrencies to Start Spot Trading / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Umer_Mahmood
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Sunday, June 27, 2021
Investing in the Crypto Bear Market of 2021 for the Bitcoin, Eth Tulip Mania Bull Market of 2022 / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This video is part 1 of an extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2021
Could Bitcoin Price CRASH Target A Bottom Below $7500? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Bitcoin has followed our Excess Phase Peak breakdown pattern almost perfectly. Each phase of any Excess Phase Peak is important to understand as it relates to other asset classes. For example, as an asset, like Bitcoin, begins a Excess Phase breakdown in trend, other assets will likely follow along. The psychological impact of a major decline can often result in traders also expecting breakdown events in various other asset classes.
Before we begin to go into deeper detail regarding this Excess Phase Peak setup in Bitcoin, I suggest taking a minute or two to review our earlier research posts related to this pattern: How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part I November 25, 2020; How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II November 27, 2020; and, Bitcoin Completes Phase #3 Of Excess Phase Top Pattern – What Next May 20, 2021. As this breakdown continues to unfold, we want to warn you that other asset classes (as mentioned above) may follow this trend as trader/investor psychology often impacts future expectations/trends across the globe.
If traders suddenly develop an expectation that the recent price rally in the global markets is at risk of failing, or that the downtrend in Bitcoin may have broader implications across other assets, we may see a bigger rotation in the global markets throughout the rest or 2021 (and beyond).
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