Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, May 16, 2016
Stock Market One Big Inflection Point We Will Look Back On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This week will very likely be one we look back on as a big inflection point. We will see that the bears are coming back.
It appears the market is forming a head and shoulders topping pattern. Thre are a couple different ways to trade this pattern depending on the level of skill and aggressiveness.
One can wait for a closing bar below the ‘neckline’ on the time-frame in which you have identified the pattern. By operating on a closing bar basis you significantly reduce the risk of entering on a ‘false’ breakout. Entering prior to the close of the bar increases the risk of becoming part of the wick of a reversal candlestick should it close back above ‘neckline’ support.
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Monday, May 16, 2016
Stock Market Rally Back to the 4.5-year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is above its 50-day Moving Average this morning. This has caused overlap in the decline and indicated something more bearish may result. Assuming that today’s Pi date is forecasting another Master Cycle low imminently, the overlap creates a (i)-(ii), i-ii scenario that suggests a flash crash may be in the making. This may be followed up by a plunge beneath the Head & Shoulders Neckline at 2040.00. The retracement may go as high as the 4.5-year trendline.
Monday, May 16, 2016
Stock Market Futures Flat. Mixed Signals Abound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket has been flat up until now. There may be a better indication of direction closer to the open.
The attempts at a bounce have been technical and haven’t had a large effect. ZeroHedge reports, “The main risk over the weekend was that markets, which have now dropped for three consecutive weeks the longest negative streak since January, would focus their attention on the latest batch of negative Chinese economic news released over the weekend, which missed expectations across the board, most prominently in Retail Sales (10.1% vs. Exp. 10.6%, down from 10.5%) and Industrial Production (6.0% vs. Exp. 6.5% down from 6.8%), an
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Monday, May 16, 2016
Stock Market Mixed Expectations Following Friday's Move Down - Will It Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, May 16, 2016
Stock Market First Support Level Re-Tested / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: May be in the process of forming a H&S bull market top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, May 15, 2016
Stock Market Cycle Low Next Week - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Transcript excerpt: in today's video I'm going to go over what i think is going to transpire next
week in a row also going to refute the notion that this is a daily cycle
so-called cycle experts calling this daily cycle low and they're claiming
that the intermediate cycle is rolling over that is correct in order to qualify
as a daily cycle oh yes to be deep enough for long enough to turn sentiment
at least modern Lee Parrish preferably extremely bearish one of the technical
signs of a daily cycle lows that it will be moving average down and you can see
this little three date did a dip in early April did not it was not deep enough for long enough to turn today
Saturday, May 14, 2016
Beating Analyst Expectations Is All That Matters / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Read carefully. I just report what I read.
‘Zillow shares surge as quarterly loss narrows’.
CVS had a ‘healthy’ earnings report. Sales rose but earnings actually fell by 6%. How is that ‘healthy’?
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Saturday, May 14, 2016
Playing With A Breakdown... Stock Market At An Inflection Point... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has been bifurcated for quite some time with froth leading lower while the S&P 500 and Dow try to hold up the market. Money has been rotating in to the S&P 500, because that's where lower froth, lower P/E and higher dividend stocks live. Big money hasn't made the big move, yet, of distributing out their plays. While they are acting more risk adverse, they still have been playing as if they want to spend more time with the world of the S&P 500 stocks. We know this, because, while the Nasdaq has long ago lost the 20-, 50-, and 200-day exponential moving averages, the S&P 500, before today, was above its 50-day exponential moving average. It had lost the 20's, but was still above the 50's, and well above the 200's, which lives at 2023. The 50's at 2048. So only if the S&P 500 were to lose 2048, and then 2023, would the market be in big trouble?
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Friday, May 13, 2016
Stock Market Confirmed Sell. Bounces Still Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has crossed its 50-day Moving Average at 2055.10 and is headed for the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2040.00. I know that it is a shallow formation, but there is a potential for another neckline at 1967.85, where another support lies. The target for that formation appears to be nearer 1800.00. Fourth wave necklines are not as strong as those at a wave one. However, they can be equally valid. Let’s see how it follows through beneath the neckline.
Friday, May 13, 2016
Stock Market Challenging the 50-day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket shows it challenging the 50-day Moving Average. How the market opens will tell us whether that support is broken. The odds of a break of the Cycle bottom and Head & shoulders neckline would be high once the 50-day is behind us.
ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks have started Friday the 13th on the wrong foot, with not only Hong Kong GDP unexpectedly tumbling by 0.4%, the worst print in years while retail sales fell for a thirteenth straight month in March, the longest stretch since 1999 as the Chinese hard landing spreads to the wealthy enclave, but also following a predicted collapse in Chinese new loan creation, which will reverberate not only in China but around the globe in the coming weeks. The latest overnight drop in the Yuan hinted that should the recent USD strength continue, China will have no choice but to repeat its devaluation from last summer and winter.“
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
A Retest of Stock Market Resistance... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced back within ticks of its mid-cycle resistance at 2070.92 and within a point of its 50% retracement at 2069.99. We may see it decline back beneath its 4.5-year trendline this afternoon. Short positions should be in place, as it appears the next few days may be eventful.
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
Charles Hugh Smith: "Why Our Status Quo Failed & Is Beyond Reform! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
The Financial Repression Authority is delighted to have Charles Hugh Smith, prolific writer on the web and author of the highly acclaimed book, Why Our Status Quo Failed and is Beyond Reform. FRA Co-Founder, Gordon T. Long delineates with Charles on the core topics that are mentioned in his book as well as go over key diagrams to supportive diagrams.
Charles Hugh Smith is the Publisher of the site “Of Two Minds”. From its humble beginnings in May 2005, Of Two Minds now attracts some 200,000 visits a month and has been listed No. 7 in CNBC’s top alternative financial sites. His commentary is featured on a number of sites including: Zerohedge.com. The American Conservative, Peak Prosperity and AOL’s Daily Finance site (www.dailyfinance.com. He has written eight books. Charles Hugh Smith graduated from the University of Hawaii, Manoa in Honolulu. Charles Hugh Smith currently resides in Berkeley, California and Hilo, Hawaii.
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
Stock Market Decline Makes a Tentative Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is still on an aggressive sell signal. It has crossed the first support at 2077.76, but has several more to go. The Aggressive sell becomes a confirmed sell beneath the 4.5-year trendline or the 50-day Moving Average, now up to 2049.40.
Thursday, May 12, 2016
More Short-Term Stock Market Uncertainty As Stocks Hover Along Last Year's Medium-Term Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Stock Market Turns Down After Two-Day Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a turn-around day after a two-day rally. They retraced and are doing some retesting here, ending the day on a sour note. The day started out with a pop to the upside, they made new highs on the Nasdaq 100, but the S&P 500 failed to confirm. When that occurred, they came down hard, formed bear wedges, and by midday were headed lower. In the afternoon there was a steady sell off in stair-step fashion, and they closed near the lows for the day going away.
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Thursday, May 12, 2016
S&P 500 Back Testing...Retail Crushed.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market can confuse the best of them. No one could have seen today coming after we broke out yesterday on the S&P 500 with its move above the 20-day exponential moving average at 2069. It had traded between the 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages for a few days, but then suddenly made the move up, although there didn't seem to be a good reason to do so. Since earnings are poor along with a plethora of other problems it made little sense to make the move, although the trend is clearly higher. That said, the move was made and it was made with some force as we closed at 2084, nearly one percent above.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 12, 2016
Investing 101: Be Patient When Markets Are Looking For A Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: InvestingHaven
There is nothing as powerful as a market that is trending. Think of the U.S. stock market in 2013/2014, or gold in 2010/2011. For short sellers, the crude oil market in 2015 was a wet dream.
What we currently see, however, is a neutral market. There is no trend, and that is by far THE most difficult thing to deal with, at least for the majority of investors. In a trendless environment, investors feel the need to “do something”. When you think about logically, you will conclude that it is better to give trendless markets time so they can choose a direction. While that is correct in theory, it appears not as simple in reality. Does that sound familiar?
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
BBC Global 30 Index signalling That Stocks Bull Market is Not Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
All men can see these tactics whereby I conquer, but what none can see is the strategy out of which victory is evolved. Sun TzuThis index gives one an idea of how the global economy is doing; it combines the economic information of 30 of the world’s largest companies. If it is faring badly, then it’s a signal that the global economy is not holding up well.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
A Perspective on the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
I wanted to do a survey of the major domestic stock indices to get a “feel” for where we may be.
The first is the NDX, which has the cleanest pattern. Note the clear (no overlap) pattern in the decline. This decline begs to be extended in a series of impulsive declines. In a measured decline, the NDX may drop to 3724.00, below both the February and the August lows.
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Wednesday, May 11, 2016
CBOE Stock Market Volatility Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
The VIX gave up 0.98 points last week to close at 14.72 after peaking on the expected short-term cycle high on Wednesday. Since March, the VIX has been turned back by resistance at 16.40 several times highlighting the importance of this level. A breakout from 16.40 will be very bearish for equities. Last Friday was an expected 34-day cycle low. The weekly Coppock is very oversold warning of a tradable rally in the VIX (bearish equities).
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