Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, January 07, 2016
Stock Market Inflection Point, Breakouts, Gold, Commodities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Today felt like an inflection point in gold and the INDU with both breaking important trendlines. As there is alot of ground to cover tonight lets get right to the charts starting with the daily look at the INDU. Today the INDU finally closed below the bottom rail of the now seven point bearish falling flag and the double bottom trendline at 16,920. This was a big deal IMHO. We may see a little backing and filling in this general area but today's move clearly setup a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Note the six point bearish falling wedge that formed back in July of last year. As it formed below the previous high it needed an even number of reversal points to complete the pattern to the downside. Because our current seven point bearish falling flag formed at the top it needed to have an odd number of reversal points to make a reversal pattern. One last point on the chart below which shows two red arrows one point up and the other pointing down. As you can see the rally out of the low made in October was vertical only taking three days. The red arrow pointing down shows how it's possible we may see the INDU reverse symmetry back down over the same area as shown by the red arrow pointing up.
Thursday, January 07, 2016
China, Oil and Markets: It’s All One Story / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Raul_I_Meijer
If there’s one thing to take away from this year’s developments in markets and economies so far, it’s that they are all linked, they’re all part of the same thing. If you can’t see that, you’re not going to understand what’s happening.
Looking at falling oil prices as a separate thread is not much use, and neither is doing the same with Chinese stocks, or the yuan, or the millions of Americans who are one paycheck away from poverty, for that matter. It’s all one story.
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Thursday, January 07, 2016
Stock Market Bend, Bend, Bend.... Break / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
The S&P 500 has been bending over the last three trading sessions ( first three trading days of this New Year) but refused to break down. Overnight however, that has changed, at least during Asian trade and very early European trade.
Notice how the index has dropped below the 2000 level twice to start the year but always managed to close back above that level. On Wednesday, the market broke down below that key 2000 level but rebounded heading into the closing bell to avoid managing to close below the spike lows in December and on Monday of this week.
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Thursday, January 07, 2016
Stock Market Negative Expectations Again, Following Asian Markets' Rout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 07, 2016
Stock Market Bears Trying....Bull-Bear Nearing Zero... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
What an interesting night we had last night. N. Korea blowing up a hydrogen bomb and causing a 5.2 earthquake. China had a terrible services number and also put a ban on selling. Government intervention to save its own hide at its best. The markets didn't take well to the news overall as one would expect. This caused a gap down in our futures below key 1993 S&P 500 support. Not to worry. As usual, the market found a way to hold off the bears. Seven years of this, so that was no surprise to anyone. It's an old story.
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Wednesday, January 06, 2016
Stock Market Retracement Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is struggling with the 2-hour Cycle Bottom resistance at 2001.88 in a probable retracement Wave (c). Yesterday’s bounce high at 2021.94 appears very near the 38.2% retracement level, using today’s new low as the starting point. The 50% retracement level is at 2033.50, not far from Intermediate-term resistance at 2039.72.
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Wednesday, January 06, 2016
SPX Gapping Down Hard / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX is set for a massive gap down. The Premarket is -36.00 as I write.
The key may have been the Chinese “surprise” devaluation. ZeroHedge writes, “Less than a month ago, and just days after the Yuan was finally inducted into the IMF's hall of reserve currency fame, the Chinese Foreign Exchange Trade System, a part of the PBOC, made it very clear that what was about to happen would not be pretty, when it announced - in a statement which clearly everyone ignored - that going forward it would index the relative strength of the CNY not to the USD but the a basket of currencies (against which the USD to which it is pegged has been soaring).“
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Wednesday, January 06, 2016
Stock Market’s Remaining Pillars Are Crumbling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
Once every decade or so investor credulity reaches a point where even seasoned money managers buy into the notion of “one decision” stocks — that is, shares of companies so insanely great that they’re virtually guaranteed to keep going up. Valuation is irrelevant, as is the state of the economy. Nothing matters but the unbeatable business model/technology/visionary leadership of such companies, so owning their stocks is as close to risk-free investing as it’s possible to get.
Wednesday, January 06, 2016
Examining Top Foreign Investments for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016
By: Submissions
Larissa James writes: While there are plenty of sound investments to be made in the United States in 2016, wise investors are expanding their horizons beyond domestic soil. In fact, many investors are choosing to place a majority of their portfolios overseas. And while there’s no need to move all of your assets, there are some solid foreign plays that you should know about as we enter 2016.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
The Importance Of A Good Trading System in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Harry_Dent
In this morning’s 5 Day Forecast, Adam O’Dell, our Chief Investment Strategist, gave Boom & Bust subscribers a snapshot of what 2015 was like for stocks, bonds and commodities.The picture was ugly!
So I’m going to show you too, but I’m going to let charts do the talking…
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Pento's Market Predictions for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
2015 was a year where nearly every asset class failed to provide any returns at all. If fact, the S&P 500 hasn't gone anywhere in about the past 400 days. An analysis of that Index's performance at the end of the 3rd quarter by S&P Capital IQ showed that over 250 stocks were down more than 20% from their 2015 highs and 25% of the S&P 500 Index had plummeted more than 30%.
The 30-year Treasury bond has fallen over 2.0%, cash in money market accounts have returned just +0.11% (so after taxes and inflation your return was solidly negative), and the CRB index is down nearly 25%.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
SPX Opening Weak. Will the Decline Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX appears to be struggling below yesterday’s close in the Premarket. Although anything can happen with HFTs, we may expect to see a resumption of the decline below the Cycle Bottom at 2007.99. Chinese intervention in their market failed to break the rout in the overnight markets.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Stock Market 2016 Further to Fall - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
I think the 7 year cycle low still has unfinished business. One way or another, either through a normal stair stepping down correction, or a market crash if the government continues to intervene in the markets, stocks still need to fall further before the next leg of the bull market can begin.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
SPX May Have a Completed Reversal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made a perfect five-wave decline and (thus far) a 25% retracement. If SPX is in a Wave C decline, that is all it needs to be complete. The shape of the fractal is intriguing, implying that Wave [iii] may have a minimum target of 1795.00…
The market may have been saved by a $2-3 billion late-day bid out of nowhere. If this is the beginning of Wave C, the retracement may be finished already. Otherwise, I would suggest a target at the 38.2% retracement at 2024.63 at the open tomorrow.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Yellen Comes Down The Chimney / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: HRA_Advisory
You heard it from Janet Yellen. “Economic expansions (and by extension bull markets) don’t die of old age.” That’s true. But they do die from excess, policy mistakes and Wall St Stoopid.
Seven years of zero interest rates have created plenty of capital misallocation, mal-investment and yield chasing. We’ve seen some minor debacles in the high yield space this month. Nothing earth shattering but certainly disquieting. Big problems often start small and go unnoticed until the tsunami is on the horizon. Keep an eye on bonds. The credit market funds a large percentage of the buying underpinned the bull market. We’ve got a problem if it stops.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Manufacturing Hits The Global Stock Markets... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market futures were up a bit early last night. The S&P 500 was up about six points, while the Nasdaq was flashing upward action by fifteen points. A nice way to start the new year after a poor 2015. The last two days of the year 2015 were nasty, thus, the bulls were looking for something positive to break the chain of poor-trading action. The good news didn't last long as China reported news on their manufacturing front, and it was ugly to say the least. Ugly to the tune of being down between seven and eight percent.
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Monday, January 04, 2016
Stock Market Melt Down at Hand? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Over the weekend I had written that I believed the market would go up first before dropping. I had based that on the normal Mercury retrograde topping action of the past. I also warned that the market was acting screwy too and the unexpected may happen, especially in light of recent events and the horrible astros this week. My subscribers were warned over the weekend that if the market fell hard Monday, the meltdown scenario would likely be in play for the week.
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Monday, January 04, 2016
All Stock Market Indicators Are On a "Confirmed Sell" Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I’m switching over to the daily charts to add perspective to the view.
SPX has now declined beneath all visible supports after testing the 2-hour Cycle Bottom. SPX has been coiling since the beginning of November. It now appears that SPX is completing its first impulsive (5-wave) decline. If you draw a trendline from 1074.00 (October 4, 2011) to August 24, 2015 at 1867.01, we may find support at that trendline near 1970.00.
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Monday, January 04, 2016
China’s Slow-Motion Stock Market Sleight Of Hand Shatters / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The Chinese stock markets broke through 2 circuit breakers today, breakers that were introduced only a few months ago in response to the market selloff, triggered by a surprise yuan devaluation, in August. The first breaker, at -5%, forced a 15-minute trading halt. The second one, at -7%, halted trading for the rest of the day.
For many people, today’s bust can’t have been a huge surprise, because it’s been known for some time that a ban on stock sales by parties holding a 5% or larger stake in a company, is set to expire on Friday. Beijing may panic again before that date, but it can’t force stakeholders to hold on to large portfolios forever either.
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Monday, January 04, 2016
The Incredible Commodities - Stock Market Divergence and What it Portends... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clive_Maund
As we approach the end of the year we are going to review one of the most extraordinary divergences that we have witnessed in modern times. This is very important because once you grasp the magnitude of this divergence and what it implies, you will be able to position yourself to firstly avoid harm and secondly capitalize on a reversion to the mean of this divergence, which, because it is so extreme, looks inevitable.
The divergence that we are referring to is the collapse of the Commodity sector in recent years, as the broad stockmarket has continued to ascend into the stratosphere.
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