Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, November 03, 2010
Fed POMO Plunge Protection Team Stock Market Manipulation? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: EWI
Rumors are, the U.S. government "is propping up the stock market."
'By far, the most frequent question we've been asked recently at EWI's Message Board is this: "What is your take on the persistent internet chatter that the Federal Reserve is holding up the stock market via QE2, POMO, etc.? How can stocks ever decline again if the Fed is in control?" Here is an eye-opening chart that will help shed more light on this issue. Read more.
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Wednesday, November 03, 2010
Sentiment Indicators Signaling a Major Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Claus_Vogt
The S&P 500 index is nearly back to its April high. In the bigger picture the market can be seen as tracing out a major topping formation lasting nearly one year. Valuations are historically high, and macroeconomic leading indicators are showing a considerable recession risk.
Additionally, liquidity indicators like money supply and credit growth have deteriorated markedly for many months. To me this market looks ready for its next major cyclical bear market move.
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Wednesday, November 03, 2010
Dollar Drop Fuels Stock Market Rally... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
The Euro soared against the dollar providing ample fuel for a rise in U.S. Equities on the day of the elections in the U.S. and on the even of the latest FOMC rate decision and statement on QE2...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Wednesday, November 03, 2010
Possible Stock Market Scenarios for Fed Intervention Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Steven_Vincent
In last week's BullBear Weekend Report I called for some profit taking and indicated that the market was likely set up for a pullback. This week the market continued to trade in a sideways pattern while the technical conditions suggestive of a correction deepened. As we go into the mid-term election and the November FOMC meeting, my long term stance continues to be bullish but my short and intermediate term stance is neutral.
Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Staying Short into Stock Market Election Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
Market participants moved the major indexes up over one percent only to see them come crashing back down and finishing flat as we await election results and the FOMC decision on interest rates and QE2...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Stock Market Rally is Tired... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
Aren't we all! The market is. Doesn't mean it can't continue to try to grind higher even though it's ready for some deeper selling, if that catalyst would just make an appearance. The ISM Report today had that chance, however, it showed more expansion than any thought possible. We had some early reports on what to expect when the voting is over on Wednesday. It shows the market will be getting what it wants. No catalyst there. Only catalyst here is the overbought and tired nature of the market, especially the Nasdaq stocks. It wants more to rock this thing down.
Tuesday, November 02, 2010
Stocks and Bonds Waiting on Politics and Policies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Katherine_Nixon
Risk assets continued to rally in October, carrying over the positive momentum from September. While historically cruel months for equities, this autumn proved to be an exceptional exception: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 has advanced roughly 13% in the past two months. The S&P 500 rose 3.7% in October, its best October since 2003, and the Dow, Nasdaq and Russell indexes gained 3.1%, 5.9% and 4%, respectively. The international markets also participated in this "risk-on" trade and developed markets as well as emerging market indexes gained, with the MSCI EAFE up 3.6% and the MSCI EM rising 2.9%.
Monday, November 01, 2010
Mini Double Top on S&P 500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Trader_Mark
The day's high is akin to what was seen the last time we had a gap up open / surge (wait for it.... last Monday). S&P 1196 on both days. Hence we have twin Monday highs and a mini double top. Traditionally (at some point) the market usually sells off, and a double top is a great formation for it to happen from. But I am not crossing my fingers. On the other hand, double top breakouts are usually quite bullish developments so if these intraday levels are cleared, off to the races we go ...although it feels like we've been in a marathon already.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
Stock Market Trend, It’s All About The Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Captain_Hook
That’s right folks, it’s all about the dollar ($) in the financial markets these days, and the $ is all about its accelerating debasement at the hands of the Fed. This of course must be rubber stamped by the politicians to be considered ‘legal’, however it should be understood there’s nothing legal about this as the destruction of the $ via fiat declaration is fundamentally unconstitutional. Fiat currencies all fail in the end due to corruption and deceit, and the $ will be no exception, first loosing it’s purchasing power, now well underway, and then its status as the world’s reserve currency, now coming into focus, which will collapse the US into a banana republic.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
Stock Market Larger Uptrend Into 2011, Minor Top Set for Mid-November / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jim_Curry
It's been a while since I have posted a market update, and - in light of the action in recent months - I want to post a detailed article on both the cyclic and the technical picture of the U.S. stock indices. I will start with the big picture view - which is decidedly bullish - and then will scale down to the short-term take, which is looking for a top between now and mid-November.
Monday, November 01, 2010
Stock Market QE2 and Elections Uncertainty Rules... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mark_McMillan
GDP met expectations but that wasn't enough as investors fret over elections and QE2 concerns...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
How Far Will Fed Go To Get the U.S. Economy Rolling? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:The market has been marking time lately as investors await the election results and the much -anticipated Federal Reserve announcement after the Federal Open Market Committee wraps up their meeting on Wednesday.
The Fed is expected to provide a peek into its next round of quantitative easing, now considered a fait accompli. The only question seems to be how far the Fed will go to reinvigorate the economy.
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Monday, November 01, 2010
The Federal Reserve Casts Its Ghostly Shadow Over the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bob_Kirtley
This week will see the opening of Ben Bernanke’s Quantitative Easing box. Out of which will jump a giant stimulus rabbit along with a few difficult to interpret actions lightly disguised as helpful aids and more commonly known as the product of the printing press. Mark Wednesday, 3rd November 2010, 18:15 GMT in your diary as this speech is the most important speech of this year.
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Three Macro Investment Plays – CYB,TBT,YCS / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
By: Peter_Navarro
The market remains in an uptrend but it is a “weak dollar” rally, not a “strong economy” rally. In real, dollar-adjusted terms, the market is closer to flat. A possible crash triggered by the weakening economy or a currency war is not out of the question. Don’t fight the trend – but I’m certainly not jumping in on the long side with both feet either.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Bernanke Makes a Pact with the Devil / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Uncommon_Wisdom
Monty Agarwal writes: When Fed President Hoenig declared last week that Bernanke is making “a pact with the devil,” he wasn’t kidding.
Nor was he talking about a little side deal that would someday be forgiven in money heaven.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
Dow Theory and the U.S. Mid-term Elections, QE II / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
The primary trend change associated with the rally out of the March 2009 Phase I low still remains intact in accordance with Dow theory. We do have other tools and the DNA Markers that have occurred at every top since 1896 that are also very important and are being closely monitored. However, in according to orthodox Dow theory, the counter-trend bear market advance separating Phase I from Phase II of the longer-term secular bear market still remains intact at this time. But, I still maintain that once the I’s are all dotted and the T’s are all crossed, in accordance with this setup, the rally separating Phase I of this long-term secular bear market from Phase II will be followed by the resumption of the bear market that began in 2007.
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Sunday, October 31, 2010
America’s long wave versus the Global long wave, Stocks Economy and Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Clif_Droke
The stock market has always been a dynamic affair but until the turn of the century 10 years ago, there were always a few tried-and-true relationships you could always count on. For instance, in the 20th century it was almost always true that if the broad market as reflected by the Dow or the S&P was rallying and the gold and oil stocks were also rallying, the rise in the broad market was viewed as suspect and in most cases would soon reverse. It was said that “What’s good for gold/oil is bad for stocks.” Then along came the bull market of 2003-2007, which completely blew that relationship out of the water.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Stocks Longterm Bull Market, Elliott Wave Weekend Analysis 31st October / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Tony_Caldaro
For the first time in quite a while positive weekly economic reports outweighed negative reports by over three to one. The market responded, before the reports, with a new uptrend high and then went sideways during the reports. On the negative side. We had a lower rise in the Case-Shiller index, a decline in the UofM consumer sentiment and the M1 multiplier. On the postive side. Existing/new homes sales rose as did the FHFA price index and weekly mortgage applications. Q3 GDP rose, along with durable goods orders, the Chicago PMI and consumer confidence.
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Stock Market USD Trends, It's the Money, STUPID! Part-II Extra Innings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Joseph_Russo
From Part-I (game over) Back in May of this year, we constructed a dual paneled chart graphic to observe the effectiveness of such interventions relative to the volatility expressed in the price behavior of equity indices. That chart consisted of a monthly volatility index in the top panel, and the relative trajectory of the Dow Jones industrial average in the charts lower panel.
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Fed Fights to Hold Up Stocks into Election, The Accelerating Inflation Mega-Trend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is holding up well into the U.S. mid-term elections, clearly the Fed is fighting to support stocks against a due technical correction from overbought levels after the strong bull run of the past 2 months. Market manipulation is nothing new, it has been around since the birth of the stock markets and their insurance precursors, current market manipulations have their roots in the 1987 crash when the Fed stepped in to Push the Dow UP from another pre-open 250 point crash (15%) (1987 Crash Trading).