Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 04, 2008
Profiting Amid Financial Markets Chaos / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Joseph_Russo
The Greatest Lie Ever Told
Now that the authorities essentially have received what they asked for, it will be with great interest that we will observe the equity market reaction. Given the potential response to mass recognition that the entire financial system may be nothing more than a gargantuan sham, it would not surprise us in the least to witness a four-digit one-day decline in the Dow before this bear is over.
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Sunday, August 17, 2008
Credit Crunch Anniversary and Mega Trends Investing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: NewsLetter
Newsletter - 4th August 2008Dear Subscriber,
The 'official' anniversary of the credit crunch is linked to when the European Central Bank stepped in to provide an unprecedented amount of liquidity by pumping in $130 billion into the European banking system following news of the French bank Paribas freezing three of its hedge funds due to exposure to the US subprime mortgage market as panicking investors had been dumping holdings of mortgage lenders and mortgage backed derivatives and so began the self feeding credit crunch cycle of mortgage backed losses leading to asset price deflation leading to further tightening of the money markets as banks sought to hoard cash, as they lost confidence in their pricing models of the products they were trading with one another, which is more or less where we are today as the derivatives market continues to deleverage.
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Friday, August 15, 2008
Hard Cold Numbers on the Credit Crunch / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: Last week, I gave you several real-world examples of lenders who were refusing to take the Federal Reserve's "bait."
A quick recap: The Fed has been driving the cost of money down in an effort to spur more lending. But many banks have instead reduced their exposure to various business lines — and eliminated some loan products altogether.
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Monday, August 04, 2008
Credit Crunch Anniversary and Mega Trends Investing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The 'official' anniversary of the credit crunch is linked to when the European Central Bank stepped in to provide an unprecedented amount of liquidity by pumping in $130 billion into the European banking system following news of
the French bank Paribas freezing three of its hedge funds due to exposure to the US subprime mortgage market as panicking investors had been dumping holdings of mortgage lenders and mortgage backed derivatives and so began the self feeding credit crunch cycle of mortgage backed losses leading to asset price deflation leading to further tightening of the money markets as banks sought to hoard cash, as they lost confidence in their pricing models of the products they were trading with one another, which is more or less where we are today as the derivatives market continues to deleverage. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
The Day Free Markets Died / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Doug_Wakefield
Doug Wakefield with Ben Hill write: Though our government has increasingly influenced our markets since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, we have recently reached the point where it would be a glaringly obvious misnomer to call the markets “free.” And while some aspects of a free market remain, those who've studied the day-to-day operations of our nation's banking system and the stock markets' performances at certain times, would likely come to the conclusion that, on occasion, the state, through the Fed and certain banks, intervenes to engineer market bottoms. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 12, 2008
Triage In Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Global financial markets are in extreme triage following the credit contraction of August 2007. It is believed central bankers are trying to restore markets to help the economy. In truth, they are like life insurance companies fighting to keep a wealthy patient alive so the high premiums will continue to be paid and the large death payout will be postponed. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
Credit Collapse Domino Effect to Send Stocks Lower / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Captain_Hook
There's no reason to be short the stock market from a seasonal perspective anymore. And with all the giveaways these days, along with apparent ample money supply, again, if contemplating participation in the stock market, without a doubt the ‘rational man' would be compelled to be long given it appears authorities have the subprime mess under control – right? Correspondingly then, both short and put / call ratios should be falling, and in fact this is exactly what is happening as market participants get squeezed in a traditional Santa Claus rally. From a sentiment related perspective this is a bearish set-up along the lines of Dave's thoughts on the subject – The Grinch That Stole Christmas . Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 21, 2007
Sovereign Wealth Fund Capital Injections Will Fail to Increase Commercial Bank Lending / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
When economists discuss investment in real capital expenditures they make a distinction between gross and net. If investment expenditures just match the depreciation of capital equipment, then gross investment rises, but net investment is unchanged. Increases in net investment, not gross investment, are what matters with regard to the future productivity of the economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 20, 2007
Fed Liquidity Intervention in Recognition of Credit Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: David_Vaughn
Well, Christmas is just around the corner. Bet your kids are excited if you still have little ones around the house. On top of Christmas the world is coming unhinged but really nothing more exciting. Let me get something clear right up front concerning last weeks article. Number one I was not “Bush Bashing.” Heck, I voted for the man. My point in the article was the inevitability of a coming crisis in Iran . Enough said on that. Let's get back to Christmas.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
Credit Crunch Far From Being Over, Further Economic Uncertainty? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Regent_Markets
To say that Wall Street has been paying close attention to the actions of the US Federal Reserve recently is an understatement to say the least. Last week was no different as the Dow Jones & Co reacted frantically to Fed attempts to stoke greater movement in moribund credit markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
Credit Bubble Bursting to Lead to Across the Board Asset Price Deflation / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Christopher_Laird
Riding upon the greatest credit bubble in history, greater than anything ever –(my interpretation of Doug Noland) one has to wonder what the future holds, if that bubble is breaking. That bubble includes the greatest housing bubble in history, the greatest world stock and bond bubble.
Just for the US housing bubble, it is estimated that, in a mere 5 years since 2002, $5 trillion was both pulled out of US housing and also the housing stock rose that much in value. $10 trillion total.
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Monday, December 10, 2007
Credit Crunch Contagion Spreads - Stock Markets Could Crash 50% During 2008 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Captain_Hook
Make no mistake about it, the credit crunch is still spreading and contagious , and will remain that way until all debt that needs to be purged from the system has been expunged. Unfortunately for all concerned, with conditions in key factors displaying signs of Super-Cycle Degree tops, such as in demographic trends for example, this process could take longer than the current batch of bankers would prefer, and in fact likely scuttle the present day credit-based monetary system as a result. This is why one should not be surprised to see blank check policy and / or monetization rates continue accelerating moving forward, along with falling interest rates in bringing real yields down in an effort to support a faltering Western banking model. And because this is a global affair expect to see competitive devaluations begin to occur more frequently soon as well, which in total will continue to benefit precious metals in both relative and nominal measure as an increasingly stressed populations search for safe means to save wealth once again. In this sense, an entire era of speculation in paper assets is quickly turning the corner at present. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 09, 2007
Fed Panic! - Paulson's Subprime Mortgage Bailout is to Help the Banks not the People! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
A nation's economy is a reflection pool. The face that looks back from the water; is the face of the culture and the prevailing ethos. It's no different with America. The stewards of the US economic system—Paulson and Bernanke—are inextricably linked to a political/military establishment which has been thoroughly marinated in a culture of violence and corruption. Paulson's “Marshall Plan” for subprime homeowners is just the gloved hand of the despot. The other hand is still busy gouging out eyes at Guantanamo, or clubbing foreign nationals at CIA black sites, or dropping incendiary bombs on schoolchildren in Falluja. It's all the same. The culture of war and demagoguery has its roots in the economic system. Its financial leaders are just as culpable as any low-ranking GI at Abu Ghraib. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 01, 2007
Dow Theory Sell Signal and The Run on the Florida State Bank - Fingers of Instability, Part 13 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Ty_Andros
In This Issue – 3 Fingers of Instability
- Breaking the Buck!
- Look at the Actions, Not the Words!
- Showdown at the O.K. Corral!
Sunday, November 25, 2007
Worsening Credit Crisis Leading to Meltdown of Financial System and Severe US Recession / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
Take a Look at Professor Roubini's Crystal Ball - Reality has finally caught up to the stock market. The American consumer is underwater, the banks are buried in dept, and the housing market is in terminal distress. The Dow is now below its 200-Day Moving Average -- the first big "sell" signal. Anything below 12,500 could trigger program-trading and crash the market. The increased volatility suggests that we are watching a "real time" meltdown.
International Business editor for the UK Telegraph, Ambrose Evans Pritchard, summed up yesterday's action in the Asian markets:
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Monday, November 19, 2007
Three Steps To Protect Your Funds Now From the Debt and Credit Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Paul_Lamont
In A Short History of Financial Euphoria , John Kenneth Galbraith observes: “All crises have involved debt that, in one fashion or another, has become dangerously out of scale in relation to the underlying means of payment.” We have now reached this ‘ Minsky Moment .' According to Morgan Stanley, the risk is now greater than 50% that the financial system “will come to a grinding halt.”Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 12, 2007
Next Phase of the Financial Markets Credit Crunch Crisis: The Great Ratings Debacle / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss and Mike Larson write: Evidence of an imminent U.S. recession is now piling up so high, even Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke had to admit to a slowdown in his testimony to Congress last week …
The housing crisis is gutting the home equity of millions of households, abruptly ending their ability to use it as a personal ATM machine.
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Sunday, November 11, 2007
Loss of Confidence in the US Markets As Credit Crunch Spreads from the Subprime to the Prime / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Mike_Whitney
America is finished, washed up, kaput. Foreign investors and central banks around the world have lost confidence in US markets and are headed for the exits. The dollar is sinking, the country is insolvent, and its leaders are barking mad. That's bad for business. Investors are voting with their feet. They've had enough. Capital is flowing to China and the Far East in a torrent. It's "sayonara" Manhattan and “Hello” Tiananmen Square. Want some advice? Learn Mandarin.
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Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch Grows From a $2bn to a Trillion Dollar Problem! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We seem to be entering a new phase of the credit crunch. The markets are finally catching on that the attempts at minimizing the losses at the banks are not working as the smoke clears and the real losses are becoming more apparent. Bill Gross, the chief investment officer at Pacific Investment Management, Inc. and the manager of the largest bond portfolio in the world recently stated that the sub-prime and alt-a problem exceeds $1 trillion and that he expects to see some $250 billion in defaults. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 10, 2007
Credit Crunch to Credit Crisis - Financial Sector Crash Continues / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
- A Confidence Credit Crunch Credit Crisis
- How Much is That Dog in Your Net Capitalization?
- King Dollar Faces the Guillotine
- The Euro-Yen Cross
- The Consumer is Getting Tired
- New York, Philadelphia, Switzerland and Phoenix
Just when it felt like it was safe to get back in the water, a second and potentially much meaner version of this summer's credit crisis has reappeared. This week we look at why there are more mortgage write downs coming (in a self-fulfilling prophecy) in the financial sector, how an obscure new accounting rule is shedding light on a lot of risk in the world's banking system, how this is all tied to the consumer and is part of the reason for the fall in the dollar.
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