Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Stock Market Bottom Picking Thrill Seekers / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Brady_Willett
With the U.S. bailout script now being adopted globally and panic-driven selling abating, a period of calm (albeit perhaps temporarily) has settled over the financial markets. What better time to talk about the next round of stimulus:
“…with the economy likely to be weak for several quarters, and with some risk of a protracted slowdown, consideration of a fiscal package by the Congress at this juncture seems appropriate.” Bernanke. Economic outlook and financial markets. October 20, 2008
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Stock Markets Start Week with a Boost / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a terrific start to the week. Although they were up early on they pulled back down quite quickly, with the NDX actually breaking Friday's support lows, but the S&P 500 did not and refused to confirm that early drop. When that occurred they reversed, and then went into a steady 5-wave rally which spiked up into the close, closing at the highs for the day going away.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Long-term Investing Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Financial crashes and panics tend to breed great investment opportunities!
This article seeks to formulate a stocks bear market accumulation investment strategy following the recent market falls that have taken stock prices down far beyond 30% from their highs set a year ago, even the ongoing bounce still leaves the major western stock indices more than 30% off their highs.
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Monday, October 20, 2008
Understanding Derivatives to Understand the Credit Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Rob_Kirby
Like it or not we hear the term “derivatives” bandied about in the mainstream financial press these days with increasing regularity.
In recent times it has come to be a term that, when mentioned in conjunction with a particular financial institution, can cause loss of confidence or worse, maybe a herd-like run on deposits [or policies] on the offending institution.
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Monday, October 20, 2008
After the Market Crash Liquidity Starts to Repair Banking System / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Another historical week – the largest one day decline since the '87 crash and the largest one day gain since the '29 crash. OK, so the market is/has crashed – now what? Liquidity in the form of government and Federal Reserve funds are flooding the markets, buying nearly everything from bad bank debt to actual bank stock. Some have argued we are moving to a socialist society, but we'll leave the politics for someone else to discuss. Unfortunately the liquidity has not made it into the hands of those with loans outstanding or for those wanting to enter loan arrangements. The banking system is acting as a sponge, sopping up any and all liquidity it can find to repair very poor balance sheets. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 20, 2008
Where The Heck Is The Stock Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ronald_R_Cooke
A Logical Conclusion - One can make a case that sometime in 2010 our stock markets will “bottom out”. In this scenario, the DOW will decline below 5700 and the NASDAQ will fall under 430, after 33 to 35 months of highly volatile trading.
How did I reach this conclusion? Read on.
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Monday, October 20, 2008
Stock Market Will Bottom Well Before the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Investing is really about risk management. When the odds are favorable, you expose some of your capital to the risk of loss in search of possible gains. The best time to invest is when both the technicals (charts) and fundamentals (valuations, future earning potential, etc.) are favorably aligned. There has never been and there never will be a time where the techncials and fundamentals are perfectly aligned, which is another way of saying there is always some form of risk in any financial market. It is simply the degree of risk which fluctuates.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Dangerous Stock Markets for Bottom Pickers / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: WHC_Bassetti
The euphoria of Monday – good lord did Monday happen on Monday? This very week? Seems like years. And this week has seemed like years in the happening with truly astounding and historic events. Keep a journal. Someday you'll tell your grandchildren about the great financial panic of '08. Or maybe next month you'll be mumbling to yourself about it.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Stock Market Probing Short-term Bottom in a Long-term Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the MarketLong-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014.
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Sunday, October 19, 2008
Nationalisation and Capital Injections Mean Worst of Financial Crisis Behind Us / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
BCA Research: Policymaker action finally hitting critical mass - “Fresh capital and government guarantees for bank liabilities are very positive signs that the credit crisis is nearing an end, although it will be a long road to recovery.
“Policymakers around the world have ‘pulled out the big guns' in their efforts to get the credit markets working again. Over the weekend, numerous European governments announced a massive bank bailout plan that includes funds for recapitalization, credit guarantees, and the purchase of troubled assets.
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Sunday, October 19, 2008
Investment Banks Turned Into Public Utilities / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Mike_Whitney
"If you made it past the credit crisis, you are not making it past the economic carnage." Meredith A. Whitney, market analyst at Oppenheimer & Company It worked. So far. The credit markets have begun to thaw. Overnight Libor (London Interbank Offered Rate) dropped 27 basis points to 1.67 percent, the lowest level since September 2004. Three month Libor shed 40 basis points this week to 4.42 percent. The Libor-OIS spread and TED spread are edging downward, too. The VIX, the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index---also known as the "fear index"--has skyrocketed to 80, a new record. But that is to be expected; after all, Wall Street is in a panic.
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Sunday, October 19, 2008
Volatile Week Ends With Signs of Improving Credit Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
What a crazy week! A week in which the Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to record both its largest single-day points increase (+936 points on Monday) and its second-largest one-day points decline (-733 points on Wednesday) since its start in 1896. On Thursday the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index surged to a record high of 81.17, with the Dow closing the week 4.7% higher after the previous week's record 18.2% decline. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Those Responsible for the Credit Crisis Should Go to Jail / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: By far, the No. 1 question I've received this week has been: Why aren't the guys who caused the credit-crisis meltdown headed for jail? Personally, I believe these savings-sapping, market-mashing miscreants ought to be rotting at the bottom of a deep dark hole. At the very least, they should be impoverished and prevented from capitalizing any further on the chaos they caused, meaning no book deals or fruitful forms of tell-alls.
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Sunday, October 19, 2008
Stock Market Short Lived Rallies Suggest Investors Want Out / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: New lows have fallen off sharply.
Short Term - The preludes to the crash of 87 and the crash of 08 were very different, but the price patterns that followed have, so far, been similar. The percentage of issues hitting new lows in the crash of 87 set a record that held until a week ago. The 5 day average of the absolute value of the percentage change of the S&P 500 (SPX) set a record in 87 that still holds.
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Saturday, October 18, 2008
Stock Market Indicators Oversold Suggest Imminent Corrective Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
This morning we will address two issues: Warren Buffett, and "Is the market trying to establish a short term bottom?
The first is the media hype on what Warren Buffett said about "buying stocks now".
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Saturday, October 18, 2008
Fed Fighting to Prevent 1930's Style Financial and Economic Deflation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
It Still Ain't Gonna Work Plus A Quick Technical Look at Gold - As the market declined into the 2002 low we began to see more manipulation and efforts to hold the market up than ever before. In the wake of these desperately irresponsible acts, interest rates declined, the money supply expanded, banks embarked on ridiculously irresponsible lending practices and the housing bubble was born as was the commodity bubble. These acts by the Fed were a deliberate attempt to hold back the deflationary wrath of Kondratieff Winter, which is all about the purging of excess credit from the system. So, what do the geniuses in charge do? They promote more credit. Now that really makes sense doesn't it? Just as the economic cycle was trying to naturally deflate and purge itself of the credit excesses in 2001 and 2002, the brainiacs in charge stepped in and flooded the economy with more of what was ailing it. Credit. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Mike Stathis Q&A Session from Emails / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Mike_Stathis
I've been getting bombarded with so many emails that I really can't keep up. I appreciate your kind thoughts. Because many of the emails are similar and due to my lack of time, I've decided to periodically address questions from some selected emails here. Hopefully, this will answer some of the questions you might have as well.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Economic Crisis Worsens as Consumer Confidence Hits Record Low / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Confidence among Americans fell by the most on record and single-family housing starts hit a 26- year low, posing an increasing threat to consumer spending that accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
Higher Near-Term Target for Nasdaq Qs / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Looking at the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) from a near-term pattern and momentum perspective, the action during the past week could represent a double bottom in the making (around 29.30) or the conclusion of a significant downleg at yesterday's low (29.25) followed by the start of a potent recovery rally period. In either case, my work points higher to a minimum near-term target of 33.50 and then to test the Sep-Oct down trendline in the vicinity of 35.00/20. (11:55 am ET, $32.32).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
The Current Financial Crisis- Causes and Consequences / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: The_Gold_Report
Adrian Day's reputation for discovering big winners adds credibility to the global investing pioneer's insights, which he is sharing with The Gold Report subscribers via excerpts from recent articles in Adrian Day's Global Analyst . Acknowledging what trying times these are for investors, in this first segment of a five-part series, Day discusses what led to the current economic crisis and how he sees Washington's $700 billion (and counting) bailout playing out. Read full article... Read full article...