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Monday, March 02, 2009

Stock Market Indices Reach Extreme Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

It was an extremely negative way to start the week, but that's been customary in this bear market. The indices started with big gaps down, tried to rally early on but didn't last long, and then rolled over and sold off steadily until early afternoon when they tried another rally that lacked thrust and rolled over in the last hour to close near the lows for the day.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

SEC Market Regulation and FAS 157 Contributions Towards Financial Markets Chaos / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: Frank_Holmes

Good Intentions, Unintended Consequences - Not long ago, financial regulators told Congress that the year-old accounting rule known as FAS 157 had little to do with last year's string of high-profile bank failures. This blanket exoneration, however, is not supported by the evidence.

While I don't think FAS 157 is the only reason for the problems encountered by banks, brokerages and other financial firms, it seems that this rule and other regulatory actions may have played an unintended yet significant role by exaggerating the risks associated with the banks' heavily leveraged balance sheets.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

After the Crash the Next Great Bubble Boom (Part I) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Oxbury_Research

“A devastating crash occurs between 2010 and 2012, which ushers in a thirteen-year bear market into 2022” -Harry Dent Jr. This quote is taken directly from the back of Harry S. Dent Jr.'s bestselling book, The Next Great Bubble Boom . Mr. Dent was a pioneer in the study demographics and their relation to the stock market. Before we dive into certain specifics and reasoning behind what is shaping up to be an ominous prediction, it is important to sift out why this renowned author came to such conclusions in the first place and if anything has changed since the book was published in 2004.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

Terminal Stock Market Slipping Away from Investors / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Paul_J_Nolte

The nearer your destination, the more you slip slide away. Another week of weakness in the markets, punctuated by a one day rally (just to keep everyone honest) has put many investors in a rather foul mood. Just when the markets looked as though they had put in a bottom back in November, here we are again at critical point – looking like we will slip slide away toward much lower levels. The talk of the past week centered on the nationalization of the banks, just as the taxpayers took a 36% position in Citigroup, on top of their already dominate position in AIG, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

Global Depression as Economies Face Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Captain_Hook

A Brave New World - Or should I say, one will need be increasingly brave to live in a rapidly changing environment, strewn with perils and pitfalls not contemplated by the masses (mob) just yet. Slowly but surely process is taking hold in this regard however, and it will accelerate and spread like wildfire as the economy continues to contract, and conditions are officially deemed to be in Depression on a global scale. The consumer is pulling back , economies are turning in , and currencies are crumbling just as forecast on these pages many moons ago, where even Switzerland is already showing just how bad it is, which is surprising to many.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

Beginning Now: The Panic Phase of the Economic Collapse / Stock-Markets / Economic Depression

By: Money_and_Markets

If you missed our latest video, “The 11 Laws of Bear Market Success,” or you want to watch it again, click here now for the recording.

The timing couldn't be better. Indeed …

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Monday, March 02, 2009

Equities Endure Another Bumpy Month End / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

There simply is no respite for long suffering stocks as fears of nationalisation creep closer. The seemingly endless need to drip feed financials more and more public money (Citibank and AIG) and news of slashed dividends at GE (and pared payouts elsewhere) was just too much for the market to take. The Dow Jones finished a horrible week at only 7063. Sorry but it looks like another tough week ahead is in store.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

The Oracle with Max Keiser and Jim Rogers: Eastern Europe Debt Defaults / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This weeks "The Oracle" presented by Max Keiser for BBC World Service with the main guest Jim Rogers seeks to predict the news before it happens.

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Sunday, March 01, 2009

Another Losing Week for World Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Regent_Markets

It was another losing week for world stock markets, with the banks in the thick of it yet again. The Dow Jones Industrial average continued its losing streak with February closing as the sixth losing month in a row. Friday also marked the lowest closing level for the Dow since May 1997. The week started well in the UK with banks such as Barclays, Lloyds, and RBS outperforming expectations.

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Sunday, March 01, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Dumb Money Still Betting on Hope / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

The "dumb money" still appears to be holding out hope that the "test" of the November, 2008 lows will pay dividends. Despite the weak price action, these investors are not bearish to any great degree. In fact for the 13th week in a row, the "dumb money" remains neutral and on the wrong side of the trend.

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Sunday, March 01, 2009

Bank Nationalization and the Total Destruction of Shareholder Investments / Stock-Markets / Nationalization

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: It's a tough time to be a bank shareholder. You're not just worrying about whether the ongoing recession or a further lurch downwards in housing prices is going to decimate the value of your bank's loan portfolio. You're also worrying about whether some government “stress test” or – worse still – nationalization is going to destroy most or all of your investment's remaining value.

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Sunday, March 01, 2009

Super Over Sold Stock Market That Still Refuses to Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Battle-weary investors remained skeptical of a banking quick fix and endured more grim economic fodder during the past week, causing US stocks to hit their lowest level since 1997. After the worst January (-8.8%) on record, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed February (-11.7%) in the third worst position, after 1933 (-15.6%) and 1920 (-12.5%).

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Sunday, March 01, 2009

Stock Market Downward Spiral Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Kingsley_Anderson

So long, November lows. Last week, the news media, always looking for a headline, were quick to point out the Dow Theory Sell Signal that occurred last week. Of course, there were plenty of analysts that came out of the woodwork to proclaim the Dow Jones Industrial and Transportation Averages as irrelevant indexes, and therefore Dow Theory had no great impact on the market. Since then, the DJIA now sits 7 percent below its November low after only a week and the S&P 500 is now below its November low. The Nasdaq is not far behind. It looks like the Dow Theorists may be right. Sadly, there are not many signs pointing to an improving market.

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Saturday, February 28, 2009

Stock Market Valuations, Siegel vs Standard & Poor's / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Richard_Shaw

(WSJ Feb 25, 2009) “The S&P Gets Its Earnings Wrong, Stocks are cheaper than they look”, by Jeremy J. Siegel

Economist Jeremy Siegel (associated with WisdomTree funds, and professor at Wharton) is an important figure.  When the Wall Street Journal published his editorial ( read full article ) claiming that Standard & Poor's had a flawed method that massively overstates the S&P 500 P/E, that became something that can't be ignored.  In fact, Siegel said if S&P had calculated index earnings correctly, investors would see that stocks are historically undervalued.

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Saturday, February 28, 2009

Oversold Stocks Entering Seasonally Strong Time Period / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: The market is deeply oversold as we enter a brief, but strong seasonal period.

Short Term - Most of the major indices had been down for 6 consecutive days through last Monday's low. Tuesday's rally was followed by 3 consecutive down days as of Friday's low. By virtually all breadth measures, the downside has been exhausted.

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Saturday, February 28, 2009

Stock Market Twelve-Year Weekly Breakdown....Close Below 741 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Jack_Steiman

We have spent time below 775, but never did we close below 775 on a Friday, meaning the weekly charts were able to defend that area from 12 years back. Today it became official as we closed dynamically below this level, leaving no doubt as to the markets intentions.   Citigroup (C) was basically nationalized today and Bank Of America (BAC) isn't far behind. Behind that train is  Wells Fargo (WFC). On top of that we saw General Electric (GE) cut their dividend to 10 cents from 33 cents quarterly. Not a bad day's worth of action. Bad news from just about every direction.

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Saturday, February 28, 2009

Stock Market Long-term Value Investing Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: John_Mauldin

• More About the Long Run
• Stocks for the REALLY Long Run
• If You Don't Like the Numbers, Then Change Them
• Buy and Hope
• A Few Thoughts on Taxes and Budgets
• Nouriel Roubini, Yahoo Tech Ticker, and Me

This week Professor Jeremy Siegel (author of Stocks for the Long Run) had an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal showing that stocks are now cheap. I was on Tech Ticker, and Henry Blodgett challenged me about my e-letter last week, where I talked about how expensive stocks are. So which is it? We look at Professor Siegel's work -- and I let you decide.

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Saturday, February 28, 2009

Long the Semi-conductor Stocks SMH ETF / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Interesting day on Friday. When the dust settled, the Dow and the SPX were on their lows, while the NDX showed relative resillience. Meanwhile, the news was horrendous again, but there was no classic, acute flight-to-safety trade...into bonds or gold or the dollar...that we have become accustomed to seeing since last September.

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Friday, February 27, 2009

Stock Indices Close Near The Lows for the Week / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had a very volatile session, swinging back and forth at least 12 times, failing on several occasions to breakout to the upside, but also holding early morning support lows for most of the day. But, near the end of the day they came down near the session lows and closed in a very negative fashion, particularly on the S&P 500, which closed right at the morning spike lows around 735 and just pennies off the low.

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Friday, February 27, 2009

Robert Pretcher's Greatest Trade Ever! Stocks Bear Market Could See Spike Higher / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With the Dow trading some 50 points lower today at 7120, earlier in the week, the 30 year veteran technical analyst, Robert Prechter announced both in his Elliott Wave Theorist newsletter and publicly on Bloomberg TV that he was covering his stocks bear market short position call that he recommended to subscribers over 18 months ago when the Dow was trading at 13,900.

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