Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, November 01, 2008
The Financial Crisis Next Shoe to Drop / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Marty_Chenard
To many, things are starting to look rosier. Bank liquidity flows are starting to improve ... not great, but showing some improvement.
At the same time ... Bush knows it hasn't been enough of an improvement, so he warned banks that they better start opening up the lending spigots. Banks are afraid, risk averse, and resisting. Twenty five percent of "excellent credit rating borrowers" are being declined when trying to get a new car loan. Next, I expect that Bush will push the bank Regulatory Agencies to put a lot of pressure on banks to start lending.
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Saturday, November 01, 2008
Stock Markets Rise Wall of Worry as Consumer Spending Slumps / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The consumer votes “ No Confidence .” - “The October survey recorded the largest monthly decline in consumer confidence in the history of the surveys. “Consumer confidence had already declined by mid 2008 by more than prior to any past recession and the steep October loss indicates that accelerated cutbacks in spending can be expected during the months ahead,” according to Richard Curtin, the Director of the Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. Overall, the data indicate that this will be the bleakest holiday spending season since 1980. “Consumers held the least favorable assessments of their finances in more than a half century and viewed their job prospects more negatively than at any other time since the end of 1980,” according to Curtin. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 01, 2008
Global Stock Markets Get Halloween Relief / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
I will be covering a global stock market performance round-up after the month end, but thought it would make for interesting reading to briefly review the action of the past three days.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Stocks Bear Market is Not Over More Selling Expected / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Reviewing the big-picture, monthly S&P 500 chart, let's notice that the monthly momentum (RSI) confirmed this month's (Oct '08) plunge and remains pointed straight down, which argues that the low has not yet been established. While the SPX -- and its corresponding ETF, the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) -- could rally a bit more based on my nearer-term oversold work, perhaps into the 1040-1060 area, the overall chart structure suggests very strongly that thereafter we should expect another vicious period of selling pressure that drives the SPX beneath the 2002 low at 768.60 prior to the emergence of a sustainable "bullish" period. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Worst is Likely Behind Us / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Derrick
To get some perspective on the current market conditions, it may be helpful to look at what some bear markets of the past have looked like.
Below is a chart that goes back to 1940, and you can see that what we've recently gone through was the second-worst five-day period of time over the last 68 years. It was essentially a market crash. The only other thing that's really even close was the crash of 1987.
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Friday, October 31, 2008
The Securities Investors' Bill Of Rights (SIBORAP): Part 4/4 / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Steve_Selengut
SIBORAP includes these ten specific sections: (1) Product Transparency, (2) Regulation and Education, (3) Protection from Speculators (4) Control of Hedge Funds, (5) Brokerage Account Statements, (6) Retirement Account Investments, (7) Executive Compensation, (8) Corporate Financial Statements, (9) Taxation of Investment and Retirement Income, and (10) Transactional Greed and Fear Controls. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 31, 2008
Seeing Through the Financial Markets Panic to Profits … / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: First, some important news no one else is telling you: The Dow is now trading at the equivalent of the 2,500 level, down a whopping 77% from its high.
Yes, you read that right. In terms of “honest” money — gold — the Dow Jones Industrials has already lost 77% of its value!
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Friday, October 31, 2008
Stock Market Price Earnings Reversion Towards the Mean / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Hans_Wagner
If you want to beat the market, it is a good idea to learn how the Price Earnings ratio (PE ratio) is used. To investors the PE ratio is the most widely used indicator of the value of a stock and of the market. When the PE ratio of the market index such as the S&P 500 is high, it is considered a sign that the market may be over valued. On the other hand when the PE Ratio of the S&P 500 is low, it is normally a sign that the market is under valued. What is the PE Ratio telling us now? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Emerging Market ETF Soars Following U.S. Fed Loans / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Fed's decision to "selectively" lend $30 billion (each) to Mexico, Brazil, S. Korea and Singapore to try to ensure financial stability in the emerging markets triggered a late-session pop in the iShares Emerging Markets Fund ETF (AMEX: EEM) -- notwithstanding the plunge in ALL equity indices during the final 10 minutes of trading yesterday -- which extended into this morning.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Stock Market Forecast Current and for Next 30 Years / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Weekly_Wizards
WHEN WILL THE MARKET BOTTOM? Following you will find Daniel Ferrera's cycle forecast of the S&P 500 for the next 30 years, out to 2036, as well as a projection of an expected rally for the next 3 weeks. Read on for details...
FERRERA S&P 500 CYCLE FORECAST TO 2036
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Thursday, October 30, 2008
Fed $120 Billion Bailout of Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin D Weiss writes: While all eyes were focused today on the Fed's rate cut, the big news was the Fed's latest cockamamie effort to save world.
Indeed, just when you thought the insanity couldn't get crazier, the Fed announced it's now going to funnel a massive $120 billion of U.S. funds into Brazil, South Korea, Singapore, and Mexico.
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Thursday, October 30, 2008
Stock Market Sharp Sell-off in Last 10 Minutes / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets had a very strong session before -- and then after -- the FOMC announcement, when it lowered rates. Initially they dropped,but they rallied back sharply to new rally highs, then literally in the last 10 minutes the indices fell apart. The S&P 500 dropped nearly 50 points in 10 minutes, and the Dow 400 points, and they closed with a thud, down on the day on all the indices except the Nasdaq 100 which managed to salvage a small gain. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 30, 2008
The Securities Investors' Bill Of Rights (SIBORAP): Part 3/4 / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: Steve_Selengut
SIBORAP includes these ten specific sections: (1) Product Transparency, (2) Regulation and Education, (3) Protection from Speculators (4) Control of Hedge Funds, (5) Brokerage Account Statements, (6) Retirement Account Investments, (7) Executive Compensation, (8) Corporate Financial Statements, (9) Taxation of Investment and Retirement Income, and (10) Transactional Greed and Fear Controls.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Investors Diversify Away From the Dollar Into Cheap Value Stocks / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: John_Henry
Today's financial papers read like a history of economic turmoil. In no particular order we have warnings the bank recapitalisation will not be enough if assets continue to fall (shouldn't be a surprise), a surging yen hitting Japan (who largely avoided the bank credit issues), worries over the IMF being swamped with it's relatively small fund of $250bn, Hungary, Iceland and the Ukraine looking into the abyss, global property prices falling at ever faster rates, mass redemptions of hedge funds, $3 trillion of corporate debt needing refinancing in the next 24 months, a BOE report that is frankly as depressing as you're ever likely to read (I hope) and to cap it all worries about the confidence in government debt if any or all of the above continues. Now that has to challenge even the most optimistic of all contrarian investors.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Seasoned Investors Search for Stock Market Values / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: David_Shvartsman
As we mentioned yesterday in, "Are we too bearish?" , today's post focuses on areas of investment that are starting to look attractive to seasoned investors. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Stock Market Conflicting Evidence for a Bottom / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Richard_Shaw
The fact is that today's stock markets were extraordinary in their strength. Emerging markets (proxy EEM) up about 20% and the S&P 500 (proxy SPY) up about 11%.
There are important positive facts to consider:
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Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Stock Market Bottoms Following the Mother of All Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Boxer
It was the mother of all rallies today, as the indices exploded in the afternoon after backing and filling all day, holding support. The indices took off in mid-afternoon and rallied strongly into the close, with as strong a thrust as we've ever seen.
The Dow exploded to over 900 at one point, closing up 889 on the day. The S&P 500 ran from 860 to 940, 80 points in the last 2 hours, closing up 91 1/2. And the NDX ran from 1190 to 1290, more than 100 points actually, closing up almost 128. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) jumped nearly 20 and gained around 9% today.
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Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Financial and Economic Crisis Save Havens for Investors / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: It must now be horribly clear to everybody with an investment portfolio – indeed, to anyone who watches the financial markets – that no country or sector is safe from a bear market of the magnitude of the one we're suffering through right now. When stocks get marked down
en masse, as they have, literally everything drops. What's more, there may be very little rationale for which stocks drop — or how much they drop by: When the wave of selling meets very few buyers, good stocks can easily fall more than bad ones. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Deflation Monster Coming as Credit Losses Far Exceed Capital Injections / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mick_Phoenix
This week an Occasional Letter From The Collection Agency looks at what might be on the horizon as we peer into the macro-economic future. As ever we start with a reminder of the scenario that I have been following over the past 6 years or more:
bubble, easy money, inflation in fiat money supply, inflation in commodities and hard assets, inflation, fear of inflation, rising rates, YC inverting, flattening, rising and inverting again, tightening, withdrawal of liquidity, corrections, crashes, talk of stagflation, FEAR, withdrawal of speculative funds, further corrections and crashes, demand collapse.......Deflation.
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Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Stock Markets Crash Back to Bear Market Lows-Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Got your seatbelt and crash helmet on? After a hair raising rally this morning, the markets have reversed back down to test the lows. The SPX came within 6 points of making a new low in October this morning. I would not be surprised to see a much lower SPX by the end of the day. What amazes me is that he bullish sentiment published by the American Association of Individual Investors is well over 50% for small investors. In other words, a lot of investors are getting sucked back into the market too soon, trying to pick a bottom. Read full article... Read full article...