Friday, February 01, 2019
40 Years of Chinese Economic Reforms and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The economic development of China is one of the most important events in the history of the world. In an unprecedentedly short time, millions of people have been taken out from poverty. But, as no country has ever developed so fast, that great story raises important worries.
We invite you to read our today’s article about the great progress China made in the last forty years and find out whether it’s too good to be true and it must end with some catastrophe, triggering rally in the gold prices.
One of the biggest risks for the global economy which can materialize this year is the slowdown of China’s economic growth. So, it is wise to analyze the current state of the Chinese economy – its implications for the gold market and what will happen next. As December 2018 marked the forty years of market reforms in China, we will adopt a long-term perspective, explaining how China transformed itself from a poor, backward and isolated country to the world’s economic power. We will examine what the global economy and the precious metals market can expect in China’s fifth decade of reform and development.
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Friday, February 01, 2019
Fed Statement Commentary / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Peter_Schiff
While some may have been confused by Fed Chairman Powell's circular statements in yesterday's press conference, the takeaway should be abundantly clear: the period of Fed tightening, is over. The Fed will now hold steady on interest rates, and when they move again, they are more likely to lower rates than to raise them. And while the Fed's program of balance sheet reductions is technically still underway, Powell made it clear that the program is no longer on "automatic pilot" and that the $50 billion per month of bond sales will likely diminish, and ultimately, conclude much earlier than anyone had predicted just a few weeks ago.
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Friday, February 01, 2019
5 Charts That Explain Disruption Investing 2019 / Companies / Investing 2019
By: Stephen_McBride
“Stephen… what is disruption investing exactly?” I often get asked this question.
Most folks know me as the “disruption guy.”
I recommend disruptive companies that upend entire industries and invent the future.
In this article, I want to show you five charts that will help you understand the driving forces behind disruption.
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
Peak Gold and the Coming Supply Crunch / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
During the lackluster and otherwise unremarkable trading of 2018, a hugely important development took place in the precious metals markets. Gold production, in the estimation of some top industry insiders, peaked.
Peak gold represents the point at which the total number of ounces being pulled out of the ground by miners reaches a maximum.
It doesn’t necessarily mean gold production will suffer a precipitous fall. But it does mean the mining industry lacks the capacity to ramp up production in order to meet rising global demand and even higher prices would not make it happen.
Thursday, January 31, 2019
Why Amazon and Google’s Best Days Are Ahead / Companies / Investing 2019
By: Stephen_McBride
Imagine standing on the curb and your taxi pulls up… but there’s no driver inside.You climb in the back and press the “start ride” button.
The car begins moving. It’s driving itself.
Sounds futuristic, right?
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
Counter Cyclical Market Winds Blow, Gold Miners Front and Center / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Gary_Tanashian
As the stock market cracked on October 10th we noted…
Looks Who’s Holding Firm Amid the Carnage; the Gold Miners
And sure enough the GDX bottoming pattern noted in that post (and before that in an NFTRH subscriber update) played out perfectly amid the stock market carnage going on all around it.
Was I trying to predict something? Of course not. I was just following general rules we’ve had in place through all of NFTRH’s 10-plus year history and privately for myself since early in the bull market that began in 2001. Very simply, the counter-cyclical winds must blow and the Macrocosm must come front and center for a constructive fundamental view of the gold stock sector. That first crack in the stock market was a good start.
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
Will Fed’s Dovish Shift Support Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Big win for the doves! And for gold, as it jumped above $1,320 amid the soft FOMC statement. What’s next?
Committee Will Be Patient
Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on January 29-30th. In line with the expectations, the US central bank unanimously kept the federal funds rate unchanged at the target range of 2.25 to 2.50 percent (the Fed also kept other interest rates unchanged and reaffirmed its “Statement of Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy”):
In support of these goals [maximum unemployment and price stability], the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 2-1/4 to 2-1/2 percent.
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
Holiday Travel Warning - Test Your Digital Luggage Scales for Accuracy Before Travelling / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays
By: HGR
Planning your summer holidays for 2019? We'll here's what you need to know about cheap digital luggage scales that can be bought from the likes of Amazon for £10 or less, as we see how accurate and consistent typical digital luggage scales tend to be by using a variety of weight lifting plates to test a number of digital luggage scales.
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
When Can A Payday Loan Make Sense? / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: OutreachMama
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
Flash-Balls, Pitchforks And A Backstop / Politics / European Union
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It’s educational and even somewhat entertaining to observe the role of the western press in the ongoing erosion and demise of democracy in Europe. But while it’s entertaining, it also means their readers and viewers don’t get informed on what is actually happening. The media paints a picture that pleases the political world. And it it doesn’t please politicians to lift a veil here and there, too bad for the public.
The Shakespearian comedy that was performed last night in the UK House of Commons is a lovely case in point. Basically, MPs voted whether or not to allow PM Theresa May to change the Brexit deal she had told them about a hundred times couldn’t possibly be changed. Brexit has turned full-blown Groucho by now: “Those are my principles, and if you don’t like them… well, I have others.”
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
The Real Secrets for Successful Trading / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the second article in my Learn to Trade series on how to successfully interpret and trade the financial markets, most of which is exclusive to Patrons.
For the past 10 years I have wanted to write a book on the real secrets for successful trading but never found the time to get around to doing so. However, I have alluded to where the primary secret lies many times over the years. The most notable of which is suggesting those wanting to learn the real secret for successful trading should watch the early 1980's film Excalibur, for the seed for their own light bulb moment.
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
US Stock Market Recovery Hinges On The Next Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The research team, at The Technical Trades Ltd., has been calling this market move quite accurately. We made predictions on September 17, 2018, that called for a -5~8% downside market rotation, followed by price support just before the November 2018 US elections. After that, we called for a deep “Ultimate Low” price rotation to setup followed by a strong price rally. Even though we under-estimated the ultimate low-price rotation which was much deeper, our trend predictions from 120 days earlier are playing out quite accurately.
Currently, we are writing this message to all our followers to inform them that the Feb 1 Jobs report, as well as other critical earnings and economic data, are the “unknown factors” that have stalled this upside market move. At this time, it is our belief that capital has already started re-entering the US stock market and that a good portion of these investors are waiting for further evidence that a resurgence of price appreciation will continue without any new crisis events unfolding. Our September 17, 2018 analysis suggested that the US markets would find support after a “revaluation event” and continue an upward price bias. As this point, we believe we have reached the “momentum launchpad”.
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
A Major Silver Breakout Ahead? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Hubert_Moolman
Silver is currently going for a major breakout.
Here is a chart I featured months ago:
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
The Macro Economy is Weakening. What this Means for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
Not much has changed with the S&P 500 hovering around its 50% retracement. We will have a flood of macro data over the next few weeks to digest now that the government shutdown is over. This is very important when it comes to understanding whether or not this bull market will have 1 last leg up or not.
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Thursday, January 31, 2019
ECB and Fed Dance With Gold at $1,300 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
ECB’s meeting is behind us, while the gathering of the Fed officials is ahead of us. In the meantime, the price of gold jumped above $1,300. Will it stay for longer?
Slowdown in the Eurozone, but not Recession
On Thursday, the ECB held its monetary policy meeting. It left the policy on hold. The bank also maintained its forward guidance about the future path of interest rates unchanged (they are expected to “remain at their present levels at least through the summer of 2019”). However, in his introductory statement, Draghi acknowledged the weaker momentum, caused mainly by an increase in general uncertainty:
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Wednesday, January 30, 2019
Oil Majors Near Inflection Point As Spending Rises / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil prices are still down sharply from the highs of October 2018, but the industry may still increase spending this year. The cost of developing new projects might rise along with higher spending levels.
A survey of top industry executives by DNV GL suggests that capital spending on oil and gas could rise in 2019. Of the 791 senior professionals in the energy industry surveyed by DNV GL, 70 percent said they plan on either maintaining or increasing capex this year. That is up significantly from the 39 percent who said the same in 2017.
“Despite greater oil price volatility in recent months, our research shows that the sector appears confident in its ability to better cope with market instability and long-term lower oil and gas prices,” said Liv Hovem, the head of DNV’s oil and gas division, according to Reuters. “For the most part, industry leaders now appear to be positive that growth can be achieved after several difficult years.”
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Wednesday, January 30, 2019
Gold & Silver Awaken from Eight-Year Slumber / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Two years ago at a conference during which I both presented and attended, a Keynote speaker, "Rich Dad" Robert Kiyosaki, introduced me to a different way of looking at things. He posed the question, "How many sides does a coin have?"
The correct answer is "three." The front (obverse), back (reverse) and… the edge!
When you think about it, this makes sense. From this angle – uncommon to most observers – a person can begin to look more deeply at a given subject. From the edge, you are able by definition, to see "both sides" of the story.
Using Rich Dad's perspective as a research tool helps define and validate the premise of this essay… that the price action right now of gold – and soon silver – are giving us important clues about the direction, strength, and durability of the next price trend.
Wednesday, January 30, 2019
This Is the Key to Understanding China’s Economy / Economics / China Economy
By: John_Mauldin
China is facing many challenges. That’s probably not news to you.
But what we often fail to understand is this: China will deal with those challenges in a much different way than what we are used to in the West.
To solve Europe’s financial woes in 2012, ECB President Mario Draghi promised to do “whatever it takes.” Yet central bank policy was his only tool.
Xi Jinping has a vastly larger toolbox. It is hard for us in the Western world to understand that.
Wednesday, January 30, 2019
Europe Has No Control Over Its Future. Period. / Economics / European Union
By: John_Mauldin
Whenever we talk about the European economy, Germany drives the discussion.
Yes, the UK and France are big, but Germany is the giant. If Germany sneezes, the rest of the continent catches cold.
And it is sneezing hard right now.
Wednesday, January 30, 2019
Gold Price Trend Forecast - 45 Days Until A Multi Year Breakout In Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Today is the day we want to warn our followers that we expect the precious metals to continue to base with a fairly narrow price range for about 45 to 65 more days before upside pricing pressures start to take hold of the markets. There has been quite a bit of chatter about Gold breaking above $1300 recently. Many people have been expecting it to move much higher fairly quickly. We don’t believe that will be the case – but expect it have another significant rally in April, May or June.
Monthly Gold Forecast Chart – Posted October 2018
Back in early October 2018, we shared this chart with all of our followers suggesting that Gold and precious metals would rally to above $1300 near December/January using our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system. We’ve been suggesting to our followers for many months that Gold, Silver, and miners would begin a new upside price swing, yet we knew the big breakout moves were still many months away.
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