Friday, November 20, 2015

The End Of The Economic Recovery, In One Chart / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Rubino

One of the questions on analysts’ minds lately is whether stock prices can keep moving up when corporate sales and profits are falling. But the same can be asked about the overall economy. Why would companies hire more people if they’re selling less stuff? The answer is that they probably won’t. As the chart below — put together by good friend Michael Pollaro — illustrates, business sales and employment have tracked closely since at least the 1990s. When sales have fallen, companies have responded with less hiring and more firing.

Friday, November 20, 2015

Stock Market Nifty-Fifty Becomes Fab-Five; Return of the 'Four Horseman' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Mike_Shedlock

Anyone recall the logic in the 1960s and 1970s that suggested there were only 50 stocks one needed to look at, and those 50 stocks could never go wrong?

That theory was labeled the "Nifty-Fifty ".

Nonetheless, the long bear market of the 1970s that lasted until 1982 caused valuations of the nifty fifty to fall to low levels along with the rest of the market, with most of the Nifty-Fifty under-performing the broader market averages.

Friday, November 20, 2015

Waiting for Goldot Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

In August of 2005 I wrote an article entitled Waiting for Goldot.  It seems silly now but the mood of the time was one of frustration for many gold bugs as the S&P 500 was on a robo grind upward and gold was seemingly going nowhere.  The theme of the article was to have patience, gold was just fine.  Of course, that period was in the midst of a more traditional inflation, when gold and commodities out performed stocks.  So any measure of patience then was a tiny thing compared to what is needed today.

Friday, November 20, 2015

A Secret New Government Tax -- Unveiled / Companies / Taxes

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

Did you know for one major financial sector the Great Recession never ended?

One look at this chart of the KBW Bank Index and the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index, and you can see it for yourself:

Friday, November 20, 2015

Consumer Choices - Why Buyers Buy / Personal_Finance / SME

By: Submissions

Veselina Dzhingarova writes: A look at the buying process and how and why consumers make the choices they do.

Most businesses, especially small businesses, don’t pay much attention to why buyers buy. According to Allen Stanley, President of Best Attorney Rankings “Many go about their business with an attitude of providing a good product with good customer service at a fair price. “ While that seems reasonable enough, a better understanding of the buying process and how and why consumers make the choices they do can be extremely beneficial for any size business.

Friday, November 20, 2015

Michael Curran Goes Down-Market Shopping for Gold Stock Winners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Most of the low-cost gold producers are fairly valued, says Michael Curran, managing director and mining analyst with Beacon Securities, so he's heading down-market to the advanced development opportunities and early-stage explorers that he thinks could become low-cost producers. Sure there is risk, as Curran explains in this interview with The Gold Report, but the reward could come via either a takeover bid by an established producer seeking to lower its overall costs or by supporting these companies as they transition into emerging producers.

The Gold Report: Please give us two or three key investment themes that you envisage happening in the mining equities space in 2016.

Friday, November 20, 2015

Syrian Refugees and the Republicans’ Rhetoric of Hate and Fear / Politics / US Politics

By: Walter_Brasch

Fear, laced with paranoia, is driving the American response against allowing Syrian refugees into the United States.

President Obama has said he would accept 10,000 refugees, all of them subjected to intense scrutiny before being admitted to the country. France, with a population about one-fifth that of the United States, despite the worst attack on its soil since World War II, will accept 30,000 refugees.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Why Isn’t This Incredibly Bearish Bond Market Development Making the News? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Casey_Research

By E.B. Tucker

Editor’s Note: This is one of the most important essays you’ll read all year. In this special edition of the Casey Daily Dispatch, E.B. Tucker shares an urgent warning you’re unlikely to hear anywhere else.

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Thursday, November 19, 2015

SPX Appears to have Stopped its Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX peaked beneath formation resistance at 2087.59 this morning. We may need an alternate structure should it go higher. At the moment, the first level to watch is Short-term support at 2077.40. A decline beneath this puts SPX back on an aggressive sell if you have moved some money to cash. The 200-day Moving Average is at 2077.40, beneath which SPX may be on a confirmed sell signal.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Japans Sinking Economy - Is Anybody Okay Out There? / Economics / Japan Economy

By: John_Rubino

In normal times, the world’s major economies are a mixed bag. Some are up, some are down, some are placid, some are in crisis. It’s only at the boom/bust extremes that everyone finds themselves in more-or-less the same boat.

This is looking like one of those times — and the boat is sinking. Japan, for instance, is back in recession…

Thursday, November 19, 2015

The Fed induced Stock Market Farce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: James_Quinn

The minutes from the last Fed meeting were released on Wednesday afternoon. The minutes, along with a squadron of jabbering Fed heads lying about the economy doing great, pretty much locked in the most talked about .25% interest rate increase in world history.  Evidently the Wall Street titans of greed have convinced the muppets higher interest rates are great for stocks, as the market soared by 250 points. As institutional money exits the market on these rigged up days, the dumb money retail investor buys into the market with dreams of riches just like they did with Pets.com in 2000, McMansions in 2005, and Bear Stearns in 2007.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Stock Market Investors' Sentiment Continues To Improve, But Will It Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, November 19, 2015

The Great Fall Of China Started At Least 4 Years Ago / Economics / China Economy

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Looking through a bunch of numbers and graphs dealing with China recently, it occurred to us that perhaps we, and most others with us, may need to recalibrate our focus on what to emphasize amongst everything we read and hear, if we’re looking to interpret what’s happening in and with the country’s economy.

It was only fair -perhaps even inevitable- that oil would be the first major commodity to dive off a cliff, because oil drives the entire global economy, both as a source of fuel -energy- and as raw material. Oil makes the world go round.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Using Elliott Waves: As Simple As A-B-C / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Two resources from Elliott Wave International can help you get started

When Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered the Wave Principle nearly 70 years ago, he explained how social (or crowd) behavior trends and reverses in recognizable patterns. You can learn to identify these patterns as they unfold in the financial markets, and use them to help anticipate where prices will go next. Elliott Wave International has developed a free comprehensive online course -- The Elliott Wave Tutorial: 10 Lessons on the Wave Principle -- which describes these patterns and explains how they relate to one another.

To use the Wave Principle as you analyze the markets, you need a basic understanding of the Elliott method -- the rules and guidelines, the literal shape of individual waves, even when the larger trend may turn.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Has Deflation Been Ddefeated? / Stock-Markets / Deflation

By: Clif_Droke

The last 15 years have been among the most turbulent on record.  Since the year 2000, America has experienced two recessions (including a near depression), two stock market crashes, numerous selling panics, two terrorist attacks, and one of the slowest economic recoveries on record.

Just when it appears there might be some light at the end of the tunnel and the consumer is getting his confidence back, the threat of global deflation has appeared and has given them reason to remain cautious.    This time around the threat of deflation is coming from overseas, specifically from China.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Fed Talk... Rates To Rise.... Watching S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The stock market has been resilient no doubt. The bulls are buying up moves lower over and over ever since the bull-bear spread got down to minus 10%. In a bear market minus 10% reading isn't all that important. It can and will go much lower than that, but since all we had was a correction when we reached minus 10%, the bulls became active once again. There hadn't been any real distribution volume on that last correction, so that was one way to recognize that the bear had yet to begin. Let's face it, the best way to blast off a new bear market would be to make new highs and get a negative divergence in real time on those horrible-looking, monthly index charts.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Strong Stock Market Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The correction appears to be in the final leg. It has two probable targets. First is the 61.8% retracement value, which it has already achieved. The second is the top of Wave [iv] at 2086.94.

This retracement has gone much further than I had expected, but the Leading Diagonal was not at the top of my list, either. Leading Diagonals can fool a lot of people, since they camouflage their true impulsive nature. Notice that I had to use the 10-minute chart to get enough granularity to trace this pattern out.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Dow Jones Stock Market Index is Not Going to Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

Empty pockets never held anyone back. Only empty heads and empty hearts can do that. ~ Norman Vincent Peale

We have published several articles over the past few months refuting proclamations from experts calling for a crash, two of which are Market sell off time to panic? And The Dow index is getting ready to soar . Instead, we viewed each so-called crash event through a bullish lens. We even went so far as to tell our clients to celebrate while the markets were pulling back, a practice that is unheard of today.

Look at the bright side; you get to do something you have never done before. Drink while everyone is screaming bloody murder and sing when the markets are sinking. Who knows you might be a budding singer in the makings. Yes, most will call you insane, but instead of being stricken with fear, you will now be the master of your destiny instead of a slave to another's. Drink and be merry for the markets are letting out some well-deserved steam. We see no reason to worry and no reason not to sleep well at night. ~ Interim Market Update July 9, 2015

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

The World's First Cashless Society Is Here - A Totalitarian's Dream Come True / Politics / Global Financial System

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

Central planners around the world are waging a War on Cash. In just the last few years:

• Italy made cash transactions over €1,000 illegal;
• Switzerland proposed banning cash payments in excess of 100,000 francs;
• Russia banned cash transactions over $10,000;
• Spain banned cash transactions over €2,500;
• Mexico made cash payments of more than 200,000 pesos illegal;
• Uruguay banned cash transactions over $5,000; and
• France made cash transactions over €1,000 illegal, down from the previous limit of €3,000.

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Central Banks Will Not Be Able to Halt Economic Collapse / Economics / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

In 2008, the world experienced the worst economic collapse in 80+ years. This collapse triggered a stock market crash that erased $30 trillion in wealth.

Since that time, collectively Central Banks have cut interest rates over 600 times and have printed over $15 trillion in new money… money that has failed to generate sustained economic growth… money that has set the stage for another stock market crash.