Category: Credit Crisis 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, February 20, 2015
The Myth That This Time Is Different / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
Remember subprime?
It’s not that it’s back. It never left.
But this time is different.
Remember how low interest rates led investors into buying packaged, securitized boxes with black holes?
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Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Fourth Turning – The Shadow Of Crisis Has Not Passed / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
“Imagine some national (and probably global) volcanic eruption, initially flowing along channels of distress that were created during the Unraveling era and further widened by the catalyst. Trying to foresee where the eruption will go once it bursts free of the channels is like trying to predict the exact fault line of an earthquake. All you know in advance is something about the molten ingredients of the climax, which could include the following:
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Monday, February 09, 2015
Sovereign Bonds Mispricing / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2015
Today’s obvious mispricing of sovereign bonds is a bonanza for spending politicians and allows over-leveraged banks to build up their capital. This mispricing has gone so far that negative interest rates have become common: in Denmark, where the central bank persists in holding the Krona peg to a weakening Euro, it is reported that even some mortgage rates have gone negative, and high quality corporate bonds such as a recent Nestlé euro bond issue are also flirting with negative yields.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2015
The Swiss 10-Year Bond Illustrates Central Banks` Flawed Monetary Policy / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2015
Negative 15 Basis Points
Switzerland`s 10-Year Bond Yield is now negative 15 basis points, yeah that`s right we don`t even have to bring up the notion of inflation and real rates of return, the actual 10 year bond for Switzerland is charging investors 15 basis points for the privilege of buying Swiss debt, and you thought CD rates were bad.
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Saturday, January 24, 2015
Financial Tsunamis Most Often Come Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
On Thursday, January 15th, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) discontinued its three year effort to maintain its minimum currency floor of the Swiss franc. In a single day the move sent the Swiss Franc (SWF) climbing a massive 21% against the U.S. dollar and 41% against the euro. The move sent shockwaves of unprecedented ferocity through the massive foreign exchange (FX) market, which is by far the largest, and most highly levered, trading market in the world. The monetary tsunami threatened both FX participants and even their brokers. But more importantly, even as the rest of Europe looks to suffocate itself in a blanket of debased currency, the Swiss have opened a window of reality on the massive central bank scheme. Hopefully some of the fresh air will spread throughout the rest of the world.
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Friday, January 23, 2015
Francs, Bonds, Barrels, and Bail-Ins / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
As recently as a few weeks ago, the European Union directed its member nations to draft their own independent legislation for dealing with the resolution of a failed G-SIFI (Globally Significant Financial Institution). At the same time, we have all sorts of seams opening in the currency, bond, and commodity markets. The Swiss Franc is now un-pegged from the Euro, there have been wild swings in the bond markets in Europe due to the aforementioned action, and oil is in an absolute free-fall. There are many geopolitical (and likely criminal) maneuverings behind all of these phenomena, however the chaos in the financial world thus far has been remarkable in that there hasn’t been much given everything going on.
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Monday, January 19, 2015
The Financial End Game 2.0 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
“If you’re going through hell, keep going.” - Winston Churchill
The events of the past few months seem astounding when taken in all at once. It appears to be a plan to destroy the U.S. dollar and the American middle class. And it seems to be moving faster.
In the wake of the March 2013 Cyprus 'bail in', where depositor accounts were used to save creditors, the G20 nations agreed that bank deposits would no longer be considered money.
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Monday, January 12, 2015
Low Oil Prices Benefit at the Pump and in the Market / Commodities / Credit Crisis 2015
Peter Krauth writes: Low oil prices is certainly one of the biggest stories of the past six months.
Indeed, as the price of crude continues to drop, currently hovering just under a once-unthinkable $50 per barrel price, the issue is sure to be in the news well into the foreseeable future.
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Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Amber Alert: Emerging Markets Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
Fasten your seat belts, 2015 is going to be extremely turbulent if the US Fed keeps tightening monetary policy. Such is the addiction of the global patients now, that unless the Federal Reserve prints dollars again -- which they won’t as long as the US GDP is recovering robustly -- the withdrawal symptoms from cheap money injections are going to be manifest as massive volatilities in emerging markets and ricochet back to the developed world, as they are already doing.
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Tuesday, December 09, 2014
European Banks At Risk Of Bail Ins In 2015 Warn Moody's and S&P / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
Europe's banks are vulnerable in 2015 due to weak macroeconomic conditions, unfinished regulatory hurdles and the risk of bail-ins according to credit rating agencies.
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