Category: Gold and Silver 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Gold Sentiment Is Just Ugly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
The headlines are dramatic, ugly and depressing to anyone who holds gold right now. Broad market sentiment has shifted from disdain and dismissive to highly negative. Hedge funds are shorting gold aggressively, hedge funds that own gold are being “outed”. The market pundits are are sticking the proverbial knife in and twisting it with glee. The Financial Times published an interesting article over the weekend.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Gold is Still a Falling Knife: Why I Remain Bearish in the Short Term / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jason_Hamlin
Precious metals showed bullish technical signs in early 2015, including gold making a higher low at $1,141 versus the November 2014 low of $1,130. However, in late May gold failed to make a higher high, which was a pivot point and signal that lower prices could be ahead. This bearish signal was confirmed on July 20th, when gold dropped below both the 2014 and 2015 low and we published an article stating our bearish short-term outlook. Prices have continued to slide since then, with gold down another 4% and mining stocks falling by nearly 14%.
Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Investment Silver Demand Draining COMEX Vaults / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
If there are words to characterize the precious metals markets for July, it would be “divergences” and “shortages.” There was heavy selling in the leveraged futures market and extraordinary buying demand and shortages in physical coins, rounds, and bars.
Despite turmoil surrounding Greece and a huge sell-off in Chinese equities, traders dumped wheelbarrow loads of paper gold and silver. The expected safe-haven buying was concentrated entirely in physical bullion. Spot prices fell relentlessly during the month.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Plan for Surviving Gold's Summer of Discontent / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: The_Gold_Report
While Randall Abramson, CEO and portfolio manager with Toronto-based Trapeze Asset Management, freely admits that we are living through the summer of discontent in "Commodityland," he says investors should step back and look at commodities, especially gold, from a macroeconomic and historical perspective. In this interview with The Gold Report, Abramson discusses the magnet he expects to pull gold to around $1,400/oz inside 12 months, and he also offers some of his favorite names in the gold space.
The Gold Report: July 13–20 was an unusual week in the gold market. In a May newsletter to Trapeze Asset Management clients, you argued that the glass is "half full" for investors given current macroeconomic signals. Much water has traveled under the bridge since. Has your view changed?
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Monday, August 03, 2015
The Gold Investment Demand Juggernaut / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Whenever the mainstream media decides to undertake one of its periodic attacks on gold and gold ownership, it almost always begins by laying out gold's long history as a proven inflation hedge. It then proceeds to explain that inflation is not a problem at the present, and, as a result, no one with any common sense would bother to own it. This argument is a set-up – a pretext meant to confuse investor thinking and redirect interest away from the one investment vehicle likely to do them some good in these uncertain times.
Monday, August 03, 2015
The Reality of Available Gold and Silver Bullion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Peter_Schiff
Dickson Buchanan writes: The month of July has seen the most intense demand for physical gold and silver since April of 2013, setting numerous records for the year. On the heels of the spectacular drop in spot prices, buyers of physical metal have come out in droves. In fact, available supply is hardly able to keep up with the demand for immediate delivery of metals.
Monday, August 03, 2015
Gold – The More Hate, The More Bullish We Become / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: SecularInvestor
After gold’s breakdown on Sunday July 20th, we have seen an avalanche of negative commentaries. Admittedly, from a chart perspective the breakdown does not bode well. We have to get that straight. The technical breakdown is going to lead the price of gold in US dollar terms towards $1,000 /oz, potentially lower.
But if we compare this breakdown in gold with the one in April and June of 2013, we would say the one from last week is a small dip on the long term chart while the one of 2013 was a real collapse. However, the negativity that was triggered by the latest small price drop is much stronger.
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Silver Price - Are We There Yet? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
For an individual to fix Libor is a crime. For a central bank to suppress European bond yields is an act of financial statesmanship. - Jim Grant
ca·pit·u·la·tion
kəˌpiCHəˈlāSH(ə)n/
noun
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Gold Price Near Intermediate Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Savage
Let me remind everyone that intermediate cycle lows (ICL), and especially yearly cycle lows in the metals are always hard to hold onto. Even if you catch the exact bottom, they usually resist for a week or more and try to shake everyone off. The metals bottom differently than the stock market. When stocks form an ICL they rocket launch straight up. Traders get instant gratification and a market that quickly moves away from their stop. Gold on the other hand forms much more difficult bottoms. It will usually churn back and forth for a week or longer as traders try to decide whether or not a bottom is forming. It’s during this churn, and especially after a destructive bloodbath phase, that traders can rationalize any number of reasons to get knocked off the bull no matter how good the setup is. Understandably after witnessing a devastating bloodbath phase traders are nervous and skittish that the drop is going to continue.
Sunday, August 02, 2015
Gold And Silver Charts Are The Compelling Story. Fundamentals Do Not Apply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Not in 2013, not in 2014, and so far, nothing positive for the price of gold and silver has developed in what looks like for the balance of 2015. Most of the highly regarded gold and silver sites and bloggers have been expecting an upside breakout, some even saying an explosive breakout. As we have been saying for the past few years, the "eyes" have it. Just by following developing price activity, in chart form, it is more than obvious that price continues to languish at recent 4 -5 year lows with NO signs of ending.
It does not matter how much gold China has bought, how many gold/silver coins have been sold to the public, even record numbers. It does not matter how low is the existing supply for silver and its excessive and growing demand. So far, it has not mattered how the miners have been suffering and are closing down operations.
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Saturday, August 01, 2015
Mining Companies, Regulators Deathly Silent after Midnight Raid on Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
With gold and silver on the defensive following a dramatic midnight raid on gold prices last week, Mike Gleason reached out to Chris Powell, Secretary Treasurer at the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, also known as GATA to discuss possible gold price manipulation.
Mike Gleason: Several days ago, we had another attack on the gold market – right as it was holding above a critical price support zone. Someone sold several billions of dollars in gold futures contracts during the wee hours of the night immediately before the Chinese trading day began. It happened during a time of low liquidity like it normally does, and it took the price down over $40 in the matter of a few seconds, halting trading twice for a brief period. What are we to make of all this Chris?
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Friday, July 31, 2015
Gold’s Amazing Resiliency / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold has certainly had a rough summer, facing withering selling pressure from record futures shorting. The resulting new secular lows have greatly exacerbated the already-extreme bearish psychology long plaguing this metal. But considering the howling headwinds gold has suffered in recent years, it has actually proved amazingly resilient. This indicates strong latent demand due to accelerate as sentiment shifts.
The consensus view on gold today is overwhelmingly bearish, with virtually everyone convinced it is doomed to spiral lower indefinitely. They argue that gold yields nothing, so therefore why bother owning it? Especially with the first Fed rate hikes in over 9 years looming! As interest rates begin inexorably mean reverting higher, rising yields will leave gold even farther behind. Keynes’ “barbarous relic” can’t compete.
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Friday, July 31, 2015
In Gold We Trust 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
As always in June, Incrementum AG (an independent asset management & wealth management company based in the Principality of Liechtenstein) published its annual “In Gold We Trust” report, the extended version of which can be downloaded here. We know that it was published one month ago; however, it took a while to dig through the 140-page text. Because it offers many interesting insights into the current global economy and the gold market, we provide a short summary for you today.
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Friday, July 31, 2015
Gold and Silver Markets in Limbo / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Gold and silver remain close to their lows for the year, discouraged as usual by dollar resilience. Precious metals appear to be in limbo: speculative buyers are discouraged above all by their disappointing performance during the Greek crisis, and the possibility that a Chinese stock market crash might lead to forced selling of gold by Chinese speculators. So far, the latter concern has proved unfounded with public demand in China accelerating on lower prices and exceeding global mine output on its own.
Friday, July 31, 2015
Silver – A Century of Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
The graph below shows 100 years of silver and crude oil prices on a log scale using the annual average of daily prices. Example: The price of silver peaked in 1980 at about $50 but the smoothed annual average was about $16.
Friday, July 31, 2015
Demand for Gold Bullion Surges – Perth Mint, and U.S. Mint Cannot Meet Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Perth Mint sees surge in demand and cannot keep up with demand
- “Our biggest restriction is the amount of unrefined gold we’re getting in from producers”
- Very high demand for Perth Mint coins, bars coming from Asia, U.S. and Europe
- U.S. Mint sees highest sales of gold coins in over 2 years
- U.S. Mint restrictions on silver coins due to very high demand
- Gold sentiment has moved from despondency to depression (see chart)
- Current negative sentiment despite strong demand is good contrarian indicator
Friday, July 31, 2015
Are Silver Spot Prices Poised for an Increase? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Submissions
Jenna Cyprus writes: As anyone with significant investments in silver knows, prices have been on a steady decline for the better part of four years now. In fact, you have to go all the way back to the beginning of 2012 to find prices above $40. Since then, the trajectory has firmly pointed downwards. Currently you can purchase an ounce of silver for less than $15. Analysts suspect this won’t be the case for long. While ‘experts’ have predicted for months now that silver is finally positioned for growth, there seems to be more tangible proof for today’s predictions. Things finally appear to be looking up and now may be the time to diversify your portfolio.
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Thursday, July 30, 2015
Threat Of Cyber Warfare the “Other Reason To Own Physical Gold” Warns Rickards / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- “Physical gold is a non-digital asset. You can’t attack it with cyberwarfare” – Rickards
- Greek crisis was necessary step towards fiscal unity in Europe
- “Euro creators want to force common fiscal control – Eurobonds”
- Currency wars between U.S. and China may resume next year
- Rickards emphasises importance of holding physical gold
- Eschews “paper gold” in the form of ETFs, futures or unallocated storage
- Gold insurance against “catastrophic event” … “on the horizon”
Wednesday, July 29, 2015
More Ritholtz on Gold, and Another Response / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Anyone who has been bearish on gold for the last 4 years has been right. They have been right in Euros and though the trend appears to have been gently changing over the last year or two, they have been right in Canada & Aussie (i.e. commodity currencies) dollars as well. Certainly, they have been right that gold as measured in most global stock markets has been (and remains) bearish.
Wednesday, July 29, 2015
Has China Manipulated The Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The financial press and blogosphere are still exploring the topic of Chinese reserves. Recently, some voices have arisen that China supported the recent plunge of the gold price in order to boost its reserves. Are these opinions justified?
The disappointment increase in China's reserves led to a heated debate. On Friday, two articles were published (here and here), which suggest that China manipulated the gold market by under-reporting its official reserves to lower the gold price and increase its reserves.
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