Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Stock Market Melting Up, A Different Take / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Guy_Lerner
Over at the ZeroHedge website, they have a post attributed to Michael Panzer of the Financial Armageddon website entitled: "The Latest Red Flag - The Market's Rate of Melting Up". Here is a different take.
From the Panzer article, I quote: "Based on data going back 90 years, whenever the 12-month rate of change (ROC) in the Dow Jones Industrials Average has exceeded 40 percent, it has generally signaled trouble ahead."
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Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Stock Market Trend Lateral Into Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market that just won't fall didn't again today even though it should. Should is a tough word in this bull market because what it should be doing and what it is actually doing are quite different. It should be pulling back to unwind some negative divergences on the daily chart and because the oscillators from MACD to RSI to stochastics all need to rest. It's not happening. The market is holding up now, in all likelihood, due to end of quarter buying and because few shorts want to step in front on Friday's jobs report.
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Stock Market Correction or Continuation? Market Will Answer Very Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Steven_Vincent
BullBear traders have been long US equities (with the exception of a brief 2 day interlude) since the February 5th bottom. We took half of our profits in anticipation of a minor wave 4 correction but we continue to hold 50% of our long positions with an eye towards a mid-late April wave 5 of 5 top to the major Wave 1.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Trading Strategies for Unpredictable Markets, Current Wave Pattern Creates Difficult and Dangerous Trading Environment / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Glenn_Neely
This article is the first in my series, titled “Trading Strategies for Unpredictable Markets.” Here, I discuss the U.S. stock market’s current phase of pattern development – a strange Wave phenomenon – and how it impacts trading strategies and risk management. The U.S. stock market has entered the center of a 20-year correction, and I’ll discuss what this means to traders and investors.
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
U.S. Stock Market Returns, What's in Store? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: John_Mauldin
It has been some time since we have looked at stock market valuations and expected future returns. I made a large point in Bull's Eye Investing that long term returns are closely correlated with the valuation of the stock market upon entry. In fact, I argue that secular bull and bear markets should be viewed in terms of valuation and not prices. The market clearly goes from high valuations to low and back to high again over very long periods of time. The average length of a secular bull or bear cycle is 17 years.
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Stock Market Grinding Further..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
So much of the move lately has been a grind. Makes sense as an overbought market on the daily charts just can't keep exploding higher. Now you have a few small negative divergences showing up making the job of the bulls tougher, but definitely not stopping them from a nail to the chalkboard move higher. Day by day we inch upward in to the teeth of these problems for the bulls and it makes you wonder when this market will finally take a right to the chin it just doesn't see coming.
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Monday, March 29, 2010
Three Breakouts That Could Break the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Justice_Litle
Three “breakouts” of recent days – interest rates, the U.S. dollar and China trade tensions – give ample reason to be cautious.
Upside breakouts are normally seen as bullish. But in the past few trading days, we’ve seen a few that are anything but.
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Monday, March 29, 2010
When The Stock Market Music Stops Will You Have A Chair? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Grandey
When the music stops, will you have a chair to sit on? What we mean by that is the market can't keep going up like this forever. At some point in time we will get a correction -- quite possibly a meaningful correction. And when we do, will you be prepared?
In the weekend newsletter we pointed out a lot of extended names that needed to come back down to earth. That would be in line with the 5th wave needing some work. When we said it needed work we mean that it's got 3 waves up but yet no clear 4 or 5 (SPX daily chart below).
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Monday, March 29, 2010
Economic Optimism Lifts Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
For the most part equities, commodities and debt traded within a narrow range on Friday. Most of the action was in FX-land with the Euro benefiting from confirmation that the EU leaders had reached an accord to provide backstop financing to Greece if needed. According to the EU leaders, “As part of a package involving substantial IMF financing and a majority of European financing, Euro Area Member States are ready to contribute to coordinated bilateral loans… Interest rates will be non-concessional, i.e. not contain any subsidy element.” Beyond that, the details are as sketchy as ever, perhaps because most (including the Greek PM) believe that the package will not require implementation.
Monday, March 29, 2010
Critical Week for Stock Market Ahead of March U.S. Employment Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Mike_Paulenoff
This week is going to be one of the most critical in a long time to the markets. The Government releases the employment report for March on Friday (a market holiday), expected to be the first positive data on additions to payrolls in months.
Monday, March 29, 2010
Stock Market Set To Surprise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Captain_Hook
Within the space of 24-hours we discover the Fed is still scared stiff (of deflation), the ECB is bailing out Greece (because deflation is already occurring), and the Japanese are doubling recent monetization efforts (because they have been deflating for decades), all pointing to a continuation of a highly accommodative stimulus disposition world wide. This is a large part of the reason stocks are enjoying a record advance, where now we also know why bonds look precarious moving forward, with US Treasuries center stage given a breakout from long-term resistance (see Figure 2) is in the making.
Monday, March 29, 2010
Should Investors Believe in the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes: Bears have been scratching for a vulnerable spot in the bulls' narrative in the past few weeks, but have been coming up empty, as they logged a blistering March.
Sellers tried to sink the market back in February as the long-simmering Greek debt fiasco roared into the headlines, but that didn't work out so hot for them. And early last week they tried again by both highlighting new reports of discord between the European Monetary Union authorities and Greece, and by flogging the news of a Fitch Ratings Inc. downgrade of Portuguese debt.
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Sunday, March 28, 2010
You're Not Hearing the Reasons Why Stocks Will Rise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: DailyWealth
Frank Curzio writes: It's not difficult to find a bearish opinion on the market these days...
After all, the S&P 500 is up more than 70% from its March 2009 lows. The Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks is up 100%. As of Tuesday, the market was higher 27 out of the last 30 days. It's only natural for the market to take a break.
Sunday, March 28, 2010
Stock Market Rally, S&P 500 is on a Mission to Reach 1200 Over the Short-term / / Stock Markets 2010
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014.
SPX: Long-term trend - Up! We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear market. This bull market should last until 2011
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Sunday, March 28, 2010
Stock Market Investing Game Plan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Toby_Connor
Stocks:
I’m going to start off with a few breadth charts.
The NYSE new highs – new lows chart is now on a sell signal as both the slow and fast average have rolled over and are accelerating downward.
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Saturday, March 27, 2010
Major Stock Market Sell Off Warning, Investor Defensive Plays / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Burnick writes: Since Bryan is on vacation this week, Martin asked me to pinch-hit as a guest editor today. And it couldn’t come at a better time, because at present, the Weiss Capital Management† investment team is on high alert for a potential market sell-off.
We’ve had a nearly uninterrupted market rally over the past 12 months, but now we believe it’s time to play good defense … and take steps to help protect your gains. Let me explain why …
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Saturday, March 27, 2010
Stock Market Slowly But Surely Unwinding..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
No real follow through again today by the bears after yesterday's reversal stick. The market is trying to find a way to unwind those overbought oscillators without creating too much price damage within the major indexes of the market. So far so good, but by no means does the selling have to be over nor by no means does it mean we have to have a lot more either.
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Saturday, March 27, 2010
Stock Market Selling Pressure Increasing in Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
U.S. Michigan Consumer Index remains Flat.
Confidence among U.S. consumers was higher than anticipated in March as companies slowed the pace of job cuts and stocks advanced.
Friday, March 26, 2010
Stock Market in Upward Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Peter_Navarro
do not usually go to cash when the market's bullish trend is still in place. However, this last Friday morning, as the market opened up, I decided that it was time to take a breather. As I promised I would on the Kudlow Report the evening before, I cashed out for all of my business cycle-sensitive positions except that in CYB.
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Friday, March 26, 2010
Stock Market Gap Up And Late Reversal...Topping Stick Short-Term..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
One way for a market to top short-term is to have a long run up overall over several weeks or months and then have a gap up to new highs that reverses during the day and closes below the open creating a black candle. This means an up day but on balance sellers after the gap up. In other words, exhaustion! It's never a guarantee to be the top but often signals as such and thus we have to respond to it when it prints which it clearly did today. It doesn't necessarily mean the end of the bull market. Not by any means.
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