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Category: Global Debt Crisis

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Monday, October 24, 2011

Global Debt Crisis, What They Are Doing? / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Euro and You described a fundamental problem of world finance. The quantity of debt grows as the quality recedes. The problem of bad loans is no longer just the pre-2008 mortgages, CDOs, and LBOs. Debt issued after the bust is defaulting, such as Greek sovereign bonds, issued in June 2010. Some securities are born to part investors from their money, but it's remarkable the extent and variety of such instruments issued in 2011. The world choked on similar bonds and derivatives only three years ago, many of which are still held at false prices on financial institutions' books.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 24, 2011

Another U.S. Sovereign Downgrade Likely By 2011 Year End, Says Merrill / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: EconMatters

While some of us are still recovering from the first ever U.S. sovereign credit downgrade from S&P in August, BofA Merrill dropped another bomb.  From Reuters,

"The United States will likely suffer the loss of its triple-A credit rating from another major rating agency by the end of this year due to concerns over the deficit, Bank of America Merrill Lynch forecasts.   

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 21, 2011

QE4, Wall Street and Student Debt Foregiveness / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAmong the demands of the Wall Street protesters is student debt forgiveness—a debt “jubilee.” Occupy Philly has a “Student Loan Jubilee Working Group,” and other groups are studying the issue.  Commentators say debt forgiveness is impossible.  Who would foot the bill?  But there is one deep pocket that could pull it off—the Federal Reserve.  In its first quantitative easing program (QE1), the Fed removed $1.3 trillion in toxic assets from the books of Wall Street banks.  For QE4, it could remove $1 trillion in toxic debt from the backs of millions of students. 

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 21, 2011

Four Moves to Make Before Greece Defaults / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: The very austerity measures that Greece implemented to remedy its sovereign debt crisis have crippled its economy so badly the country is actually sinking deeper into the red, making default all but inevitable.

Already suffering from a four-year-old recession, the Greek economy has been dragged down further by the series of austerity measures - tax increases combined with cuts in pensions and wages. As a result, the Greek economy is expected to contract 5.5% this year and 2.5% in 2012.

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Currencies

Friday, October 21, 2011

What Currency Charts Say About European Debt Crisis / Currencies / Global Debt Crisis

By: David_Grandey

We have a pending news driven event out of the EU this weekend or maybe just more extend and pretend. So expect a lot of rumbles into it and of course misinformation and rumors too. What is going to happen is going to happen. We have no clue as to what though with the circus parade over there.

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Politics

Monday, October 17, 2011

For Europe, Breaking Up Is a Hard Thing to Do / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEveryone is looking with horror at Europe, waiting for the European Economic and Monetary Union to break up and for the PIIGS to start dropping like flies, taking the rest of the euro zone and the global economy with them. Unlikely!

European monetary union was a great experiment that made a lot of sense on paper. Europe, which had roughly the same size population and economy as the U.S., was at a competitive disadvantage, as dozens of currencies embedded extra transaction costs in cross-border trade and each currency separately had little chance to compete with the U.S. dollar for reserve currency status. Germany — the largest country in Europe and one of the world’s biggest exporters — was at a disadvantage too: The strong deutsche mark made its products more expensive and less competitive in the rest of Europe

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 15, 2011

ECB Rate Cut: Eyes on Aussies / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Investors sent German government bonds higher, banking on a rate cut from the European Central Bank. Now just days after bullish bond sentiment reached its peak, investors have backed off, realizing that a rate cut might be less likely than once thought.

Rates are already held low by the European Central Bank, which stopped short of actions on a magnitude to mirror the United States. The ECB currently offers a 1.5% rate on its main financing operations, known as fixed-rate tenders.

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Politics

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

The European Crash Dummies Will Hit the Greek Brick Wall / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA crash dummy has some of the physical characteristics of a human being. It is used to test the safety of the interior of a car that has suffered a major accident. A pair of dummies are strapped into the front seat of a car that is on a track. Then the car is run into a wall at high speed. The engineers then examine what happened to the dummies. If the dummies had been human beings, would they have been killed? Dismembered?

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 09, 2011

How Long Before The Eurozone Debt Crisis Catastrophic Avalanche Occurs? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis

By: DK_Matai

1. Time left is limited now, as a number of well placed sources envisage weeks � not months � before the Eurozone crisis deteriorates into a catastrophic avalanche;

2. October 8th is the date the Greeks were expecting to receive 8bn Euros from the IMF-EU-ECB troika to enable payments of wages to public sector workers by mid-October and to maintain public services. This payment has been postponed as the conditions for the bailout and the total sum involved are being recalculated by the troika;

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 09, 2011

An Irish Debt Haircut / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust as only four short years ago it was All Subprime, All the Time, and then it was the Credit Crisis, now it is Europe. (When) will Greece default and which banks will implode as a result? Is there another banking crisis in our future? I just came back from a whirlwind four-country visit to Europe, and I will try to offer a few insights. This week we start with Ireland, move to the problem of Europe at large and, if we're not out of space (and your patience!), we'll visit some last-minute data points. There is a lot to cover, so let's jump right in.

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Politics

Saturday, October 08, 2011

Debt Deflation in Europe and America / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Michael_Hudson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Without consumption, markets are going to shrink.Companies won’t invest, stores will close, “for rent” signs will spread on the main streets and local tax revenues will fall. Companies will lay off their employees and the economy will shrink more. Why aren’t economists talking about theseeffects of debt deflation, which are becoming the distinguishing phenomenon of our time?Theyadvocategiving more money to the banks, hoping that somehoweverything will be okay, as if the banks would lend out the money to fund new production and employment.Mainstream economics and political leaders in both parties are failing to askwhy the banks are using these giveaways to speculate abroad, pay their managers bonuses and high salaries or to pay dividends rather than to lend to small businesses or do other things to actually get the economy moving again. This phenomenon cannot be explained without seeing that debt service is siphoning off revenue into the financial sector, which is not recycling it back into the production-and-consumption economy.”

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Politics

Saturday, October 08, 2011

Eurozone Debt Crisis: Disruptions of Financial Markets Worldwide / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSaving the euro, the euro zone and the European Union obviously is far more important to Europe politician’s and their masters than any national interests.

After having lost seven elections in a row the Christian Democratic Union and their partners in Germany still voted 523 to 85 for an extension of money and power to the European Financial Stability Facility, the EFSF. We would say the yes voters stand a good chance of defeat at their next elections, especially when 75% of Germans were at odds with the vote. The big loser was the CDU partner’s, the Free Democratic Party that under the constitution must garner 5% of the vote to stay eligible. The power position of the CDU could well be in jeopardy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 07, 2011

Navigating the Eurozone Debt Crisis and Preparing for Greeceā€™s Failure / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFolks, you hear a lot about the eurozone crisis, but what you don't run across very often is a coherent idea on how to move forward. My friends at STRATFOR, a private intelligence company, have done us all the courtesy of saying out loud what everyone else shies away from: Eject Greece from the eurozone.

It's not pretty. It belies the lovely concept of a unified and prosperous Europe. And the worst part: it comes with a big fat price tag, of the 2-trillion-euro variety. But it may be the only way to steer the train before it derails completely.

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Politics

Monday, October 03, 2011

Waiting for Bastiat: The Curse Mutates to Austerity / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe smart-set Claude Frédéric Bastiat called the “sophisticates” are holding their breath, this time waiting for November when there is a glimmer of hope that the plan to make a plan to deal with the Euro-zone banking crisis will distil into a…Plan.

Which is a bit of a turnaround from what the elegant European monetary affairs commissioner Joaquin Almunia pronounced in February 2010…“There is no bailout and no "plan-B" for the Greek economy because there is no risk it will default on its debt”, oh dear, looks like the inevitable is just…inevitable, regardless of what King Canute said.

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Politics

Monday, October 03, 2011

Greek Cabinet to Fire 20% of Public Sector Workers To Meet Troika Austerity Targets / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernment workers make up 20% of the Greek labor force. Worse yet, most of them cannot be fired for virtually any reason. That is about to change, and it's a much needed change for the better.

However, the idea that it will reduce the budget deficit to required levels by 2012 or even 2014 is ludicrous. When that does not happen larger haircuts will be unavoidable.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Greece Debt Crisis Keeps Getting Worse, ECB Will Inflate / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The politicians giveth, and the free market taketh away." ~ traditional saying that I just made up.

The Greek government is going to default on its interest payments to the bonehead European bankers and investors who thought that getting high interest rates on Greek debt was a great way to avoid suffering the low-interest rates on German government bonds. After all, Greece would pay interest in euros. No problem!

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Euro-Zone Prepares to Print Trillions in Advance of Greece Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's not just the financial and economic world that's being turned upside down with fast changing events in motion that will impact for many years. Last week saw that maybe energy does not equal mass X the speed of light squared. Eeeek ! There goes Einstein's theory of general relativity and the past 100 years of physics (if true) over the event horizon and into a black hole, though the theory has always had something major missing which is why there existed the fundamental disparity between quantum mechanics and general relativity that maybe we will get much closer towards understanding if E=MC2 is busted.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 26, 2011

Euro-zone Debt Crisis Contagion Has Spread / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Capital3X

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA chart is worth a thousand words and therefore we focus on charts and analysis. So with a few introductory words, we will present the charts.

The problem for the policy makers is that risk is being repriced faster than they counteract.The EU banking system is under-strain because they are being denied funding and also deposits are moving elsewhere. The speed of the adjustment is difficult for the banks to maintain their solvency. The confidence virus is a self-reinforcing one that requires an entity to backstop it just as the Fed did it during 2008. The under-capitalised EU banks are being required to de-leverage faster than they can re-capitalise.

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Politics

Friday, September 23, 2011

Greek Politicians have had Enough of Austerity, EU Prepares to Abandon Greece / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Even politicians have had enough of Greek austerity programs as noted in Measures divide PASOK

Prime Minister George Papandreou and Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos on Thursday began the tough task of talking round PASOK MPs who are opposed to the austerity measures announced by the government over the last few days, as the prospect of the steps being rejected by Parliament becomes a strong possibility.

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Politics

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Greece forced to swallow EU's bitter pills / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Pravda

There are two noticeable trends in the story of public debt of Greece. The first is the intent of the EU to save the financial system of the country with loans - the only aid of the capitalist economy. The program is accompanied by unprecedented pressure on the Greek government that is forced to take a series of commitments on economic reform.

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