Category: Stocks Bull Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, August 04, 2018
The Inflationary Exponential Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
This is part 2 of my stock market in-depth analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast. Part 1 (Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President). The whole of this analysis that includes my core analysis and detailed trend forecasts was first made available to Patrons who support my analysis. To get immediate access First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
This is a good time to remind my readers of the difference in perception of between bull and bear markets for they are not the same. The stock market does not exist in a trading range that oscillates between roughly equal bull and bear market price gyrations. The primary over riding trend is always INFLATIONARY which means Bear markets are CORRECTIONS.
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Monday, June 04, 2018
NASDAQ Leading the S&P is a Bullish Sign / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The NASDAQ and S&P are both up this year from January – May. However, the NASDAQ has massively outperformed the S&P by more than 6%.
Here are all the historical cases in which the NASDAQ outperformed the S&P by more than 6% from January-May (while both indexes are positive), and what happens next to the S&P for the rest of the year.
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Saturday, July 22, 2017
Prepare for a 30-year Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Heading into 2017, Wall Street was excited by the prospect of a U.S. president who sympathized completely with business. His promised tax and healthcare reforms were widely cheered by investors in the wake of his election. Yet the Congress has so far failed to deliver on those promises and investors are no longer giving the Trump administration a free pass based on the assumption that tax breaks are on the way.
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Wednesday, May 31, 2017
The New Stocks Bull Market of 2017! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
I cannot stress strongly enough the importance of understanding where the markets are currently technically located, with regards to different time frames and which help to guide all my trading and investing decisions.
The longer that the SPX is inside a ‘consolidation pattern’ and going sideways, the bigger the ‘Break Out’. There is a very strong bullish posture on all time frames within the markets. A unique ‘Sentiment Indicator’ has now been reset from being overbought to oversold, therefore, there is huge potential to the upside. Momentum has been reset! In my market article review, from last February 28th, 2017, I discussed that the “Stealth ‘Bull Market’ In Stocks Is Still In Progress!”.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
Could Trump's Economic Policies Propel Hated Stocks Bull Market Even Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
"I add this, that rational ability without education has more often raised a man to glory and virtue, than education without natural ability." Marcus T. Cicero
Before we get into the meat of this article, we would like to state at the onset that this article is not politically orientated. This election has probably been more divisive than any other election in U.S history. There are those who love Trump and those who detest him. Our views are based on market trends and not politics. Before the election results came in, we went on record to state that a Trump win would from an investing perspective prove to be a great buying opportunity and the masses would panic and dump their shares. We took the same stance on Brexit, and as they say, the rest is history.
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Sunday, August 07, 2016
Stocks Bull Market Climbs Wall of Worry, Bubble? When Will it End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The Dow once more appears imminently ready to set a new all time high after closing Friday at 18,543, barely 50 points away from the last closing all time high of 18,595. Well given the perma-doom of not just the past year but for the duration of this bull market then it should be clear that most stock market analysts, perhaps as many as 95% just don't get it, and likely never will. Which is indicative of a systemic defective thought process which again should not be so surprising since its a case of new analysts learning from old failed analysts forced to make a living by writing and selling books on trading markets.
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Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Zero Percent Mortgages Debut Setting up the Next Stage for this Stock Market Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Although gold dust is precious, when it gets in your eyes it obstructs your vision.
Hsi-Tang
Economists stated that main trigger for the financial crisis of 2008 was the issuance of mortgages that did not require down payments. The ease at which one could get mortgages in the past is what drove housing prices to unsustainable levels. Post-crisis all banks vowed to end the practice forever, or that is what they wanted everyone to believe. When the credit markets froze, we openly stated that the 1st sign that banks were getting ready to lower the bar again would come in the form of Zero percent balance transfer offers that had all but vanished after 2008. A few years after 2008, banks started to mail these offers out, and now everywhere you look you can find 0 % balance transfer offers ranging from 12 months to 18 months. The next step after that would be for banks to lower the 20% down payment required to something much lower. Currently, Bank of America and a few other banks are offering 3% down mortgages.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
Another Reason This Stocks Bull Market Will Not Buckle Soon / / Stocks Bull Market
"A champion is afraid of losing. Everyone else is afraid of winning." ~ Billie Jean King
Over 50% of Americans don't have enough money to invest in stocks; a scary statistic for a country that claims to be the only superpower left in the world. It makes one wonder at what cost are we maintaining this superpower status when from an economic perspective we appear closer to a third world nation. Americans appear to be living hand to mouth making it harder and harder for the average to focus on his or her financial security. One in seven Americans still depends on food stamps despite this so-called economic recovery.
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Friday, July 22, 2016
S&P 500 Suggests Much Higher Prices Coming In 2016 And 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Let’s get things straight: when an asset consolidates for more than 2 years, refuses to break down when the whole world seems to be falling apart, but then decides to break out from its consolidation pattern, it is a clear message that it has sufficient energy to go much higher.
We are talking U.S. stocks.
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Friday, March 25, 2016
Dow Transports and Utilities Suggest Stocks Bull Market Is Back / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) and Dow Jones Utility Average (DJU) indexes are often seen as leading indicator of the overall stock market. With that in mind, let's analyse the technicals of each index.
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) is a stock market index of the American transportation sector. Price last traded at $7957.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2016
Why This Stocks Bull Market is Destined to Run for Much Longer Than Most Envision / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
"Every wall is a door." ~ Ralph Waldo Emerson
The markets are not free; corrections end at arbitrary points. In other words, the top players decide when the markets will correct and how far they will drop and or rise. This is why we focus on the trend and not absolute price targets as almost all free market forces have been removed. However, some individuals are still fixated to the idea of exact points, as opposed to the idea of viewing strong pullbacks as buying opportunities. This kind of mentality is what led these individuals to miss out on this 7-year bull market, and they look back sorrowfully wishing they had jumped in. What they forget is that they were doing the same thing today as they were doing yesterday; this is the reason this market is likely to trade much higher than most expect. Yes, the outlook certainly does not look rosy right now, and things look dire right now, but this has always been the case. Look at a past previous market disaster and see if anything has changed. As soon as the markets started to pullback, the Doctors of Doom started to blow their trumpets. Fast forward and the financial markets have not ended. This article is a perfect example of how the Media does nothing but fan the flames.
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Sunday, May 17, 2015
The No. 1 Reason Stocks Will Climb Higher / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Andrew Snyder writes: There’s no end in sight for this bull market. As long as money is cheap, the gains will continue. It’s great news as we embark on our journey to unleash liberty through wealth.
But before I show you why there’s plenty more gains to come, let me remind you of two key facts.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Nearly Six Years In... And Plenty of Upside Remains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: The Bernanke Asset Bubble will celebrate its sixth birthday this March...
But this bubble still has plenty of room to run...
Stocks are nowhere near "bubble" valuations today. And that means our upside is still high.
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Saturday, January 03, 2015
This Stocks Bull Market Is NOT Over Yet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: The U.S. stock market boom is nearly six years old... But the fun ain't over yet!
Yesterday, I showed you how stocks could go much higher... even as interest rates finally rise. And today I'll show one more reason why this great bull market is NOT over yet...
This reason is extremely simple...
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Nearly Six Years In And Plenty of Upside Remains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's got to be time to sell, right?
After all, stocks have been going up for nearly six years now – they've got to be near the end of their run... Right?
I disagree...
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Saturday, December 06, 2014
Third Longest Stocks Bull Market in History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The market started the week at SPX 2068, gapped down to 2050 on Monday, then made higher highs for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.55%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.40%, and the DJ World index lost 0.25%. Economic reports on the week were mixed. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM services, non-farm payrolls, long term investing, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, consumer credit, the WLEI, the ADP index, and the trade deficit. Next week we get Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.
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Monday, November 17, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Set to Continue After Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
SPX WEEKLY Current status - wave 5 - neutral - likely consolidation before breakout as has completed normal cycle.
Before we get into the technical stuff I need to have my rant first!
It is quiet incredible how short some of our memories are and how at times we can be so scientific in our decision making processes, yet with others we just do not look at the facts right before our eyes, let alone in over the past few weeks, and not a chance in hell over the last few months, and last few years - oh what is that??? Why is this I keep asking myself and the only consistent answer I keep getting to is our pride!
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Sunday, November 09, 2014
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Another week of all time new highs in the US indices. The week started off quietly from SPX 2018. Hit SPX 2024 on Monday, made its first lower daily low of the entire uptrend on Tuesday, then hit 2034 on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.90%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.05%, and the DJ World index was -0.20%. Economics reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing, the ADP, consumer credit, plus weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: construction spending, factory orders, ISM services, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, plus the trade deficit increased. Next week we get wholesale/business inventories, export/import prices and retail sales.
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Thursday, September 25, 2014
Stock Market Future Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
In a conversation this morning, I remarked how rapidly things change. It was less than 20 years ago that cutting-edge tech for listening to music was the cassette tape. We blew right past CDs, and now we all consume music from the cloud on our phones. Boom. Almost overnight.
A lot has changed about the global economy and politics, too. Things that were unthinkable only 10 years ago now seem to be reality. What changes, I wonder, will we be writing about a few years from now that will seem obvious with the advantage of hindsight?
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Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Dow Jones Secular Stocks Bull Market Projection / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
As an investor and a speculator I am mostly interested in Cyclical Markets (Cyclical Bull or Bear Markets). On average Cyclical Bull Markets last between 4 and 5 years and Cyclical Bear Markets last between 2 and 3 years. Cyclical Markets occur within Secular Markets that define the long term trend. Over the last 100 years, history has shown that the Dow Jones Secular Markets last about 17-18 years on average. For example the Secular Bull Market from 1945 to 1963 lasted 18 years and made over 350% gains, the Secular Bull Market from 1982 to 2000 lasted also 18 years and made over 1000% gains.
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