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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Index Trading

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 26, 2009

Stealth Stocks Bull Market, Sell in May and Go Away? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe stealth stocks bull market that has soared by 27% on the Dow and 20% on the FTSE these past 7 weeks has left the bears battered and bruised after EVERY decline that 'MUST' signal the proverbial resumption of the bear market was subsequently BUSTED, with some of the herd piling in on the tail end of the rally these past few weeks with the bulk still awaiting the RETEST. To answer many requests for an update to may last article (5th April 09) of where next, this is therefore an interim update that aims to give my immediate term view on where the stock market could be heading. The full in depth analysis that will aim to map out the trend for several months will follow later, to receive this you email in box make sure to subscribe to my always free newsletter.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 24, 2009

S&P 500 Stock Index Price Level and GDP Growth Rate / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBased on US and world nominal GDP growth rates from 1981 through 2008, we make a case for the likely price of the S&P 500 between 650 and 800.

The Facts:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Stock Market Indices Late Rally Saves the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices saved the day with a late rush, but with a half hour to go they were unchanged on the session and vacillating back and forth.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 23, 2009

Stock Market Indices Roll Over Sharply in the Afternoon to Closed Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets were doing fantastic until the last 45 minutes when a sudden plunge dropped them sharply, and dropped the Dow, S&P 500 and OEX to losses on the day.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Nasdaq Q's Heading Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The daily chart on the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq:  QQQQ) is scary because is so bullish – and represents a much more powerful pattern than the SPYs.  The reason that it is scary is because the Q’s are poised to confront the declining 200 DMA, now at 33.34, which is 3% above current prices.  However, my upside measured targets off of the huge base pattern are 35.20/40, and then 38.00.  The weakness earlier in the week in the Q’s tested and held critical intermediate-term support at 32.00-31.80 and since yesterday morning the price structure has turned up—and is accelerating towards a test of the 200 DMA (34.50 area).  Only a plunge that breaks 31.80 will wreck the near and intermediate-term bullish set-up.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Surprisingly Strong Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The markets had a surprisingly strong session after yesterday's sharp losses. The indices were strong from the get-go, then had a steep early pullback that retested the lows but held, and then rallied back up to new session highs on the S&P 500, but the NDX at that point trailed miserably. On several occasions, they tried to punch through key overhead resistance but couldn't and they rolled back in the early afternoon, first bounced and then thrust to new session snapback highs, pulled back with about 15 minutes to go, but closed strongly right near the session highs.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 20, 2009

Stock Market Ominous Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had a very sharp decline on Monday that may very well have reversed the entire 6 week uptrend. With the indices closing at the lows for the day and down sharply, led lower by the financials which had led the market up, it was a seemingly significant negative day on Wall Street.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 20, 2009

Over Bought Stock Market Pauses / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThat’s where we are in terms of whether equities, and the inflation mindset, continue to fill with air past this point – it’s time for a pause. This is basically what Carl Swenlin is pointing out in making the observation intermediate-term technicals are now overbought, and that the stock market should pullback somewhat from here before building the necessary steam to produce a more lasting breakout. And this is what I expect also, as long as increasingly negative sentiment in the betting parlors allows prices to continue climbing the wall of worry. Because as alluded to in discussing our fraudulent and dysfunctional markets last week, you should understand that all of our markets work on the same premise, where the gamblers and speculative sentiment largely control price movements, not fundamentals, at least not until it’s too late.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Stock Market Maintains Firm Footing to Close Slightly Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices managed to eke out gains at the close, but had an uneventful end to the week on options expiration day.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Stock Market Indices Surge Out of 3-Day Downtrend, Rally to New 5-Month Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

Another strong session going into options expiration tomorrow. The indices had a large gap up at the opening, backed and filled, pulled back quickly in the morning but held support. That was key. When support held they started a rally that retested the highs, backed off and then moved through them, and in the last hour spiked up, reaching new 5-month highs, at 870 on the S&P 500 and nearly 1359 on the Nasdaq 100. Only in the last 15-20 minutes did the market pull back and pare the gains.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Nasdaq Trails in Mixed Session, As Blue Chips Hold Support and Rally Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

We had a very interesting session on Wednesday. Most indices managed to end in the positive column except for the Nasdaq 100 and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX), which pressured the NDX all day. But the story was how firmly the S&P 500 and Dow held despite three consecutive new intraday lows on the NDX. That positive divergence caused a late, short-covering rally that popped the indices and closed them near the highs for the day going away.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Stock Market Rally's Momentum Blunted, on Sharp Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

It was a decidedly negative session in a turnaround Tuesday as the indices gapped lower, bounced, and then moved sharply lower midday before an afternoon bounce brought them back. But in the last 10-15 minutes, they spiked lower again bringing the SPX and Dow near the lows for the day. Net on the day the Dow was down 137.63 at 7920.18, the S&P 500 down 17.22 to 841.51, and the Nasdaq 100 down 14.36 to 1522.31. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX) lost 6.10 to 250.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 12, 2009

VIX Breakdown Forecasts Stocks Bear Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Steven_Vincent

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVIX: Decisive breakdown validates near term buying panic hypothesis. A quick reversal above 40 needed to invalidate this view. Given the duration of the chart formation and the MA squeeze this is not likely to be a false move. Targeting 30 to coincide with SPX 1000.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 10, 2009

Stocks Close the Week with a Bang / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices ended the week with a bang in a huge up-session Thursday ahead of the holiday weekend. The day started out with a big gap up as the indices exploded on a better-than-expected earnings pre-announcement from Wells Fargo (WFC) which sent the financial sector surging 15.5%, and which induced buying in the broader market as all three major indices were able to log their best single session percentage gain in two weeks and close at their session highs.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 08, 2009

Stock Market Indices Hold Support and Close Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had 5 distinct sharp swings today, but a last-hour rally brought them back from a severe test of support, particularly on the S&P 500 at 815. When that was successful, for the 5th time in 2 days, they rallied back sharply.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 08, 2009

Recovery Rally in S&P 500 Short SPY ETF / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The pullback in the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) from 84.80 to 81.30 since Monday has coincided with the recovery rally in the ProShares Single Leveraged Short SPY (NYSE: SH) from 73.00 to 76.00, which also happens to have filled the down-gap left behind last Thursday. Classic technical behavior would argue for the SH now to decline after having filled the gap. If such a scenario unfolds, then the SH should press back into the 74.00-73.80 area, which would imply a climb towards 84.00 in the SPY concurrently. We maintain a long position in the SH in our model portfolio as a partial hedge against an implosion in our long positions.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 08, 2009

More Sharp Losses for Stock Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices suffered more sharp losses today, as expected. The day started out with a large gap down. The indices moved sharply lower, tested support, bounced, and then took them out mid-day, reaching secondary support around 1270 NDX and 815 SPX. When that held for about an hour, they tried to rally and did so, but with about 10 minutes to go sold off very sharply and gave back the entire rally on the SPX, closing near the lows for the day on that index and not from it on the NDX.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Stock Market Indices Close Lower, though Pare Declines / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Harry_Boxer

The indices had a down session, but came back off the late morning session lows to pare the declines by quite a bit. The day started out with a gap down. They stair-stepped lower, then bounced around mid-morning, stabilized, and then started to rally. It was a 9-wave advance from 11:30 to the close that took the indices back up to neew highs for the session in the late 5 mintues.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 06, 2009

Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Could Extend for Several Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, April 03, 2009

Significant Upside Ahead for S&P 500 Short SH ETF? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that yesterday and today the ProShares Single Leveraged Short SPY (NYSE: SH) hit the exact same low at 73.00 and has since rallied to 74.40/60, leaving behind a potential near-term Double Bottom. Given the glaring positive momentum divergences that have been developing since 3/23, the Double Bottom at 73.00 could very well represent the (so far) elusive near-term low ahead of a significant upside corrective period. As long as 73.00 remains viable, I will be looking for the SH to climb to fill the gap left behind on yesterday's open, between 75.0 and 7.600 next, possibly on the way to a test of the March-April down trendline, now at 77.00/10.

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