Fed Interest Rate Cut Probability

Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates Feb 11, 2025 - 08:48 PM GMT

The market is in a constant state of flux flipping between a rate cut coin toss to currently sit at 70% chance of a rate cut some 12 days out.

So what happened to the 6 or 7 rate cuts in the pipe line? All now apparently vanished, which illustrates just how clueless the market usually tends to be. If you follow the market talking heads, and even tools such as CME watch you will consistently find yourself on the wrong side of the trade!

The Fed WILL cut rates in December, the US is only 1 rate cut into a rate cutting cycle so there will be several more rate cuts during 2025 after pause in January, all of which will feed the asset price bubbles during 2025.

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By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

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