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Britain's Hyper Housing Market

Housing-Market / UK Housing May 27, 2022 - 07:02 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Housing-Market

In Britain we have long since known and factored into the equation the China effect on London's property market that has long since sent it soaring into the stratosphere following the stagnation of the Mid 1990's which was probably one of the best times in decades to buy a property in terms of bang for ones buck i.e. it was before immigration soared into the stratosphere courtesy of the open door policy of Tony Blair's Labour government as the socialists enticed millions of eastern european's to come to the UK and become new Labour voters that sent house prices soaring across Britain and eventually putting housing out of the reach of many millions of prospective home buyers who enjoyed a brief respite in the aftermath of the great financial crisis when demand slumped along with the economy.


Then we had BREXIT! Again function of Tony Blair's policy for importing millions of new Labour voters that only briefly acted to dampen the pace of UK house price inflation.

Surely a global pandemic should have finally triggered the perma carrion cry of the CRASH IS COMING MSM?

No, not even a global pandemic could put a dent into RAMPANT money printing on an epic scale that even today few grasp the magnitude of that went to extent of paying millions of workers to stay at home for over a year! THAT IS RAMPANT INFLATIONARY MONEY PRINTING when people are PAID to do NOTHING for over 18 months as Britain only closed it's Jobs Retention Scheme at the end of September 2021! 18 MONTHS of paying people to do nothing, which is on top of the existing 8 million in receipt of benefits for NOT working! All of which is INFLATIONARY on an epic scale

So I think you are getting the picture early on in this analysis that many prospective home buyers and even those looking to move up the ladder are probably not going to like the direction of travel of this analysis, as it is tough to see what is going to crack the UK housing market nut, the relentless dynamics of upwards price pressure all largely courtesy of Tony Blair's government which even BREXIT has FAILED to fix the damage done.

Today we hear a lot in the MSM of how Poland is housing some 2+ million Ukrainians whilst the UK has put many obstacles in the way of Ukrainian migration. Whilst few fail to grasp the point that Poland has plenty of empty apartments left over from when some 4 million Polish economic migrants moved to settle in the UK over a 20 year period thus playing their part in driving Britains perma housing crisis where supply has never been able to keep up with demand for over 2 decades!

This article in an excerpt from my most recent extensive analysis focused on UK House Prices Three Trend Forecast 2022 to 2025, where I pealed away multiple layers of the UK housing market of to arrive at a high probability trend forecast.

UK House Prices Trend Forecast 2022 to 2025

THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND
WE HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO INVEST IN STOCKS AND HOUSING
High Inflation Forecast for Whole of this Decade Due to Rampant Money Printing
Fed Inflation Strategy Revealed
Russian Sanctions Stagflation Driver
RECESSION RISKS 2023
UK Debt Inflation Smoking Gun
Britains' Hyper Housing Market
UK Population Growth Forecast 2010 to 2030
UK House Building and Population Growth Analysis
UK Over Crowding Ratio
Overcrowding Implications for UK House Prices
UK Housing Market Affordability
UK House Prices Real Terms Sustainable Trend
UK House Prices Relative to GDP Growth
UK House Prices Momentum Forecast
UK House Prices and the Inflation Mega-trend
Lets Get Jiggy With UK INTEREST RATES
Is the US Yield Curve Inversion Broken?
UK house Prices and Yield Curve Inversions
Interest Rates How High WIll they Go?
Work From Home Inflationary BOOM?
Formulating a UK House Prices Forecast 
UK House Prices 2022 to 2025 Trend Forecast Conclusion
Peering into the Mists of TIme
Risks to the Forecasts
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2022-2024

That was first made available to patrons who support my work.So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Whilst my recent analysis include -

My Main Analysis Schedule

  • UK House Prices Trend Forecast - Complete
  • US House Prices Trend Forecast - 70%
  • Global Housing / Investing Markets - 60%
  • US Dollar / British Pound Trend Forecasts - 0%
  • Stock Market Trend forecast into End 2022 - 0%
  • High Risk Stocks Update - Health / Biotech Focus - 0%
  • How to Get Rich - 85%
  • Gold and Silver Analysis - 0%

Again for immediate access to all my work do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

And ensure you are subscribed to my ALWAYS FREE newsletter for my next in-depth analysis.

Your analyst BUYING the panic selling falling knives.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2022 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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