Stock Market Trend Forecast Early 2022 - Tech Growth Value Stocks Rotation

Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022 Jan 18, 2022 - 01:13 PM GMT

2022 has gotten off to a great start with many of the target AI tech giants having taken a early year tumble to fresh swing lows that is failing to register in the general indices such as the Dow, and which acts as an harbinger of what to expect during a volatile 2022, whilst my stock market trend forecast will seek to map out the trend for Dow into the end of the year. However my primary focus is on accumulating AI tech stocks and thus my analysis also includes individual price targets for each of the AI tech stocks.

However, I have had a spanner thrown into my analysis works as one of my supposedly made to last 5+ years Corsair MP600 NVME drives decided to kick the bucket early (within 9 months) which resulted in the untimely loss of my data drive and along with it about 8 days of work, I kid you not!

So rather rewriting all that I had lost, I have mostly gone off on a tangent by focusing on that which I deem to be most important as my focus is on accumulating during what should turn out to be a great year for buying AI tech stocks and so given oft repeated questions from patrons, I have been focused on also writing a concise guide on how to successfully invest in stocks, which is useful for both Patrons and myself to act as a relatively quick summary reminder of what to focus on when investing whilst my Dow stock market trend forecast for 2022 will follow in a few days time. Nevertheless my recent analysis already acts as a good guide for early year trend.

Note: The information provided in this article is solely to enable you to make your own investment decisions and does not constitute a personal investment recommendation or personalised advice.

Recap of stock market trend forecasts for 2021 and expectations for early 2022.

The Dow ended the year at 36,338 for a strong gain of 18.7% which is set against my early year expectations for a year end target of 35,000.

9th Feb 2021 Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2021

Revised in Mid September to -

Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Dow Trend Forecast Sept 2021 to May 2022

And then came the warning from Stock Market Crash / Bear Neural Net (CI18) of 6th Dec, warning to skew stock market expectations lower. Remember CI18 is a weighting tool / indicator and not a trading signal, i.e. after the signal is triggered it is up to me to determine the downwards trend implications and so i revised my stock market trend forecast a lower to expect a year end close of near Dow 36,000 ahead of a deeper mew year sell off.

STOCK MARKET CRASH / BEAR INDICATOR TRIGGERED - 103.4% vs 100% = Switched ON!

Which brings us to the present with the Dow trading lower off an early year new all time high, but as expected most of the downside action is taking place in the tech giants due to the valuation reset in progress which should deliver several good buying opportunities during much of 2022 that we received a small taste of on Monday, that saw Google trade down to $2662, and being the lucky bugger that I am I bought half a Google at $2667, posting my trade live in the comments section ON my last post on Monday. "Bought a small amount of Google (fractional share) at $2667 ahead of buying level of $2625.". LUCKY!

(Charts courtesy of stockcharts.com)

The over valued tech giants are lead the markets lower whilst under / even fairly valued stocks are not only withstanding the sell off but actually rising, such as IBM, INTEL and LMT amongst many others, much as I have been flagging to expect to happen for several months, a pattern that is likely to repeat for much of 2022 where we see GOOD over valued stocks take a plunge just as we have seen, only to be met by buy the dippers who push the prices back up in advance of the next wave of selling to result in a choppy volatile year which is one of the primary focuses of my stock market trend analysis for 2022 to try and determine the magnitude of the intra-year draw downs for each of the AI tech stocks for better buys.

And as for where we currently stand, I would be very wary of any rallies by reminding all of my existing analysis and trend forecast that paints a picture for at least a bearish January and beyond , the trend for which I will cover into the end of the 2022 in my forthcoming extensive analysis and concluding detailed trend forecast.

Also article is an excerpt from my most recent compressive analysis on how to successfully invest in stocks during 2022 and beyond.

HOW TO SUCCESSFULLY INVEST IN STOCKS During 2022 and Beyond

CONTENTS:
1. UNDERSTAND WHAT INVESTING IS
2. INVEST IN GOOD COMPANIES
3. UNDERSTAND THAT WHICH ONE IS INVESTING IN
4. STOCK PRICES
5. EARNINGS CATCHUP TRADING RANGE TREND PATTERN
6. EMOTIONAL INVESTING
7. MONITORING AND LIMITING EXPOSURE IS MOST IMPORTANT
8. BUY AND SELL on the Basis of VALUATIONS
9. INVESTORS BIGGEST MISTAKE
10. BEST TIME TO BUY STOCKS
11. WORST TIME TO BUY STOCKS
12. BUY VOLATILITY
13. INVESTING TIME
14. FUND MANAGERS
15. OPTIONS
16 . INFLATION
17. INVEST AND FOREGET
AI Tech Stocks Draw down and End of Year 2022 Price Targets
CATHY WOOD ARK GARBAGE

The whole of which was first been made available to Patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Also access to my recent in-depth analysis that updates the current status of my High Risk Bio and Tech Stocks portfolio.

High Risk Bio and Tech Stocks Portfolio Q4 2021 Update

Contents:
Exponential AI Mega-trend
INVESTING PRIORITY
Why Most Investors LOST Money by Investing in ARK FUNDS
ETF BUBBLE Primed to EXPLODE!
INVEST AND FORGET
BREWING FINANCIAL CRISIS 2.0 - RECESSION 2022
FED TAPER CON TRICK
CP LIE - INFLATION vs DEFLATION
UK Inflation Fraud - Real Inflation is 15%+
The 2% Inflation SCAM, Millions of Workers take the Red Pill
Why Inflation is Soaring
Flip Side High Inflation Winners
Warren Buffetts $130 billion Master Plan
STOCK MARKET CRASH INDICATOR
The Quantum Entangled Stock Market
Unloved Biotech Sector
High Risk Stocks Portfolio
COINBASE $247, Risk 1, P/E 19, +0%
TAKEDA $13.7 - Risk 1, PE 10, -19%
Western Digital $56.7, Risk 2, PE 13, -2%
ABBV $132, Risk 2, PE Ratio 11, 4% Dividend, +24%
CORSAIR $21.7 - Risk 3, PE 11, -26%
Neurocrine Bioscience (NBIX) $84, PE 18, Risk 3
ALI BLAH BLAH BABA (9988) $120, PE 17.2, Risk 3
TENCENT TCEHY (0700) $57, PE 19, Risk 4, -9%
RBLX $95. Risk 6, +7%
CRISPR $74, PE 15.3, RIsk 6, -39%
AVIR P/E 30.5 , Risk 9, -71%
APM $1.88, -37%
ACCUMULATING
AI Stocks Portfolio
Limit Orders
Best Stock Investing Platforms
CRYPTO BRIEF
OMICRON a Fuss About NOTHING

Also Access to the most recent compressive analysis on how to successfully invest in stocks during 2022 and beyond.

HOW TO SUCCESSFULLY INVEST IN STOCKS During 2022 and Beyond

And access to my extensive analysis on how to capitalise on the metaverse. Best Stocks To Profit From the $1+ Trillion Emerging Metaverse Mega-trend

Contents:
VR and Gaming Becomes the Metaverse
A Video Message from Your Metaverse Analyst
PRIMARY META-VERSE STOCKS
QUANTUM AI METAVERSE STOCKS
METAVERSE STOCKS UNIVERSE
Google Glass a Big Fat FAIL
META (Facebook) Dominating VR
APPLE AR Headset Coming 2022
ROBLOX - High Risk
TENCENT- Chinese High Risk GAMING
XXXXXX - CAD - $254 RISK - 3 OUT OF 10
XXXXXX - RISK 3 OUT OF 10.
XXXXXX NEW LIFE FOR AGEING GAMING GIANT? RISK 2 OUT OF 10
XXXXXX - DIGITIZING THE REAL WORLD - RISK 8 OUT OF 10
INTEL Black Friday Sale!
IBM The REAL Quantum Metaverse STOCK!
NVIDIA THE KING OF THE METAVERSE!
XXXXX
AI Stocks Portfolio Current State
AI Stocks - What's Cheap
AI Stocks - What's far value
AI Stocks - What's expensive?
Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State
Current State of Cathy Wood ARKK Garbage
RIVIAN IPO Illustrates We are in the Mother of all Stock Bubbles
DECENTRALAND
SANDBOX
How to Get Rich in the MetaVerse
Bitcoin Trend Analysis
Crypto Current Portfolio
Covid19 Winter Storm Fuel for Financial Crisis 2.0
OMICRON - The 'Oh Dear' Worst Ever Covid Strain?
Consequences for the Stock Markets?
Financial Crisis 2.0 Current State - TAPERING
Financial Crisis 2.0 Stock Market Bubble Investing Strategy
Why You Should Not Fear a 50% Draw down in Your Stocks Portfolio
What's driving asset price inflation?
Inflation Forecasting a Recession In 2022
UK Inflation Hits 30 year High of 6%
UK Energy Customers Falling into Energy Firms Fixed Rate Tariffs Trap
Fin tech Stock - NEW STOCK

So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

My analysis schedule includes:

Stock Market Trend forecast 2022 - Currently underway
UK House Prices Trend Analysis, including an update for the US and a quick look at Canada and China - 65% done
How to Get Rich! - 90% done - This is a good 6 month work in progress nearing completion.

US Dollar and British Pound analysis
Gold Price Trend Analysis - 10%

Again for immediate access to all my work do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $4 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

And ensure you are subscribed to my ALWAYS FREE newsletter for my next in-depth analysis.

Your metaverse invested analyst.

Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 35 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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