UK Coronavirus Infected Numbers Going Parabolic - Day 35 Update

Politics / Pandemic Mar 04, 2020 - 09:01 AM GMT

The total number of infections recorded in the UK has now started to increase on a daily basis, which now include community spread that is unable to be tracked back to one of the growing outbreak hot spots across the world i.e. people who have brought the virus into the UK from China, South Korea or Italy which currently are the main transmission points for the virus.

Also I observed puzzling BBC and Channel 4 news reporting today on the case fatality rate of 3.5% only being twice as deadly as the regular flu! When 3.5% is 90 times as deadly as the flu! So it looks like the UK Government has instructed the mainstream broadcast media to start preparing the general population for a lot of Coronavirus deaths! And thus to start peddling propaganda that it is only twice as deadly as the flu! Which I will include the footage of in future videos.

The fact that the UK only has 51 cases does not alter the fact that the UK is in the calm before the coronavirus storm stage as my forecast of 14th Feb 2020 concluded in the number infected to trend to 5000 by the end of March resulting in some 90 deaths which would represent a huge parabolic increase from the current tally of 51 infected.

However, my analysis of what is happening in South Korea illustrates that community spread outbreaks tend to be explosive, soon jumping from 1 to 1000 infected in a matter of days, which is the likely pattern to expect in the UK, that I am sure will prompt emergency even a panic response such as cancellation of virtually all public events, schools, universities and colleges being closed, and infected hot spots being quarantined, all likely to start taking place by Mid March as I first warned to expect to happen several weeks ago. And where Britain's schools could remain closed until September!

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Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

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