Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Micro Strategy Bubble Mania - 10th May 24
Biden's Bureau of Labor Statistics is Cooking Jobs Reports - 10th May 24
Bitcoin Price Swings Analysis - 9th May 24
Could Chinese Gold Be the Straw That Breaks the Dollar's Back? - 9th May 24
The Federal Reserve Is Broke! - 9th May 24
The Elliott Wave Crash Course - 9th May 24
Psychologically Prepared for Bitcoin Bull Market Bubble MANIA Rug Pull Corrections 2024 - 8th May 24
Why You Should Pay Attention to This Time-Tested Stock Market Indicator Now - 8th May 24
Copper: The India Factor - 8th May 24
Gold 2008 and 2022 All Over Again? Stocks, USDX - 8th May 24
Holocaust Survivor States Israel is Like Nazi Germany, The Fourth Reich - 8th May 24
Fourth Reich Invades Rafah Concentration Camp To Kill Palestinian Children - 8th May 24
THE GLOBAL WARMING CLIMATE CHANGE MEGA-TREND IS THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND! - 3rd May 24
Banxe Reviews: Revolutionising Financial Transactions with Innovative Solutions - 3rd May 24
MRNA - The beginning of the end of cancer? - 3rd May 24
The Future of Gaming: What's Coming Next? - 3rd May 24
What is A Split Capital Investment Trust? - 3rd May 24
AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season Stock Market Correction Opportunities - 29th Apr 24
The Federal Reserve's $34.5 Trillion Problem - 29th Apr 24
Inflation Still Runs Hot, Gold and Silver Prices Stabilize - 29th Apr 24
GOLD, OIL and WHEAT STOCKS - 29th Apr 24
Is Bitcoin Still an Asymmetric Opportunity? - 29th Apr 24
AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season Opportunities - 28th Apr 24
S&P Stock Market Detailed Trend Forecast Into End 2024 - 25th Apr 24
US Presidential Election Year Equity Performance in the Presence of an Inverted Yield Curve- 25th Apr 24
Stock Market "Bullish Buzz" Reaches Highest Level in 53 Years - 25th Apr 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Golds Wyckoff Price Road Map

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018 Aug 25, 2018 - 06:31 PM GMT

By: readtheticker

Commodities

Applying Richard Wyckoff and Richard Ney logic. (A wealth of knowledge on this subject is disclosed via the RTT Plus service found at readtheticker.com)

Question: Is there evidence to suggest a accumulation within gold.

First, we must understand gold is controlled large positions of : futures longs, futures shorts, futures calls buy and sell, futures puts buy and sells. Each of these will be large and must be positioned before a powerful move higher or lower can occur.

1) The sharp sell off during 2013/14/15 allowed the shorts to profit, short covering occurred late 2015/16/17. The short trade from the 2011 high is done! This is good news for bulls as these positions are mostly cleared.



2) The two very sharp sell offs in 2016 and 2018 (from $130 to $110) allowed large professionals to accumulate futures longs positions during a down swing. This is important as the professionals do not want to build a position when price is making new highs, well they can but the average cost basis will be poor plus they would have to compete with unwanted public demand. Professionals use bad news to buy from the weak hands. Plus these sharp sell offs are well timed to benefit from futures option trades, nice! Buying gold using cash secured puts is good business.

3) Early 2018 the gold price did not make new high (ie MSOS), it was held under $130. Therefore gold did not create break out news headlines in the media which would have attracted the public masses. The informed do not want the public to build up a position, they wish to do this for themselves. New 5 year highs attract the public and professionals do not want this yet. The pubic are used to build positions against or move price to a target cheaply.

4) The opposite to (3), if the professionals really wanted to build up a large futures gold short position it would have been very beneficial to get to gold break out to at least $145 early 2018 to attract the uninformed public masses, thus allowing the professionals to take the other side and crushing the public long positions when price fell.

5) The actions completed by the professionals in (2) and (3) have been done so with little damage to the chart. The professionals who are on a accumulation campaign do not want to break the chart as it to expensive to repair. This is very bullish.

Price action is a history of position preparation for a larger move. The above 5 points suggest gold is enduring an accumulation (unless other evidence emerges in the near future).



Sure fundamentals do matter, and so does market timing (entry, stops and exit), here at readtheticker.com we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles and Wyckoff Logic is the best way to secure better timing than most, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. With our website you can chart any security in the world.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Readtheticker

My website: www.readtheticker.com

We are financial market enthusiast using methods expressed by the Gann, Hurst and Wyckoff with a few of our own proprietary tools. Readtheticker.com provides online stock and index charts with commentary. We are not brokers, bankers, financial planners, hedge fund traders or investment advisors, we are private investors

© 2018 Copyright readtheticker - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The material is presented for educational purposes only and may contain errors or omissions and are subject to change without notice. Readtheticker.com (or 'RTT') members and or associates are NOT responsible for any actions you may take on any comments, advice,annotations or advertisement presented in this content. This material is not presented to be a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument (including but not limited to stocks, forex, options, bonds or futures, on any exchange in the world) or as 'investment advice'. Readtheticker.com members may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in