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Will Amey Trees Rampage Cost Paul Blomfield Sheffield Central Labour Seat, Green Win?

ElectionOracle / UK General Election Jun 07, 2017 - 04:01 PM GMT

By: N_Walayat

ElectionOracle

The Green Party are fielding their party leader Natalie Bennett in the Sheffield Central constituency hoping to unseat Paul Blomfield from what has been a rock solid Labour seat since 1945, to whom the Labour baton was passed in 2010 from Richard Caborn. The Green party are eager to capitalise on local issues such as the felling of thousands of Sheffied's big and beautiful trees by the Spanish Ferrovial Family owned Amey as part of a £2 billion PFI outsourcing contract by Labour Sheffield City Council that has angered and outraged many tens of thousands of Sheffielders, prompting dozens of campaign groups to spring up that will likely play a major role in the oucome of the next 2018 local elections.


Watch the following video for a taste of Sheffield's Tree's issue's and the Labour city council and MP's blind disregard for what's best for the people of Sheffield.

So will Labour Paul Blomfield Lose Sheffield Central to Green Party Natalie Benefit at the June 8th election?

Sheffield Central (2015)

Labour Paul Blomfield 24308 55%
Green Party Jillian Creasy 6999 15.8%
Conservative Stephanie Roe 4917 11.1%
Liberal Democrat Joe Otten 4278 9.7%
       

 

Whilst the Green Party did place second at the 2015 General Election, and are likely to improve their poll standing in the wake of Amey's Tree's rampage. However the gap between Labour and the Green Party is as huge 40%! It would require a swing from Labour to the Green Party of 20% to unseat Paul Blomfield which is just not going to happen!

So yes, the Green Party will improve their standing by increasing their share of the vote by 5%, to 20%. However that will barely make a dent in Labour's huge polls lead. Therefore Paul Blomfield is destined tohold on to Sheffield Central as a Labour heartland seat that will likely take several more decades of Green party campaigning before they have any real chance of unseating a Labour MP. Though Amey / Sheffield City Council has accelerated that process.

For the more on the prospects for Paul Blomfield and Sheffield's other Labour MP's watch the following video.

Sheffield Election 2017 Battles - Hallam Clegg, Blomfield Central, Trees and Greens

And what about former Lib Dem Leader Nick Clegg? Can he hold on to his Sheffield Hallam seat, with Labour snapping at his heels just 4% away.

Can Labour Win Nick Clegg's Sheffield Hallam Seat in Election 2017?

And here is Nick Clegg in his latest desperate election message to Sheffield Hallam voters.

Nick Clegg's Desperate Election 2017 Message to Sheffield Hallam Voters

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2017 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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