Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
Silver Long-term Trend Analysis - 28th Nov 21
Silver Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 28th Nov 21
Crude Oil Didn’t Like Thanksgiving Turkey This Year - 28th Nov 21
Sheffield First Snow Winter 2021 - Snowballs and Snowmen Fun - 28th Nov 21
Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value - 27th Nov 21
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD 66% Performance Loss After 6 Months of Use - Benchmark Tests - 27th Nov 21
Stock Maket Trading Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets - 26th Nov 21
SILVER Price Trend Analysis - 26th Nov 21
Federal Reserve Asks Americans to Eat Soy “Meat” for Thanksgiving - 26th Nov 21
Is the S&P 500 Topping or Just Consolidating? - 26th Nov 21
Is a Bigger Drop in Gold Price Just Around the Corner? - 26th Nov 21
Financial Stocks ETF Sector XLF Pullback Sets Up A New $43.60 Upside Target - 26th Nov 21
A Couple of Things to Think About Before Buying Shares - 25th Nov 21
UK Best Fixed Rate Tariff Deal is to NOT FIX Gas and Electric Energy Tariffs During Winter 2021-22 - 25th Nov 21
Stock Market Begins it's Year End Seasonal Santa Rally - 24th Nov 21
How Silver Can Conquer $50+ in 2022 - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Betting on Hawkish Fed - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast - 24th Nov 21
Your once-a-year All-Access Financial Markets Analysis Pass - 24th Nov 21
Did Zillow’s $300 million flop prove me wrong? - 24th Nov 21
Now Malaysian Drivers Renew Their Kurnia Car Insurance Online With Fincrew.my - 24th Nov 21
Gold / Silver Ratio - 23rd Nov 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Can We Get To 5500SPX In 2022? But 4440SPX Comes First - 23rd Nov 21
A Month-to-month breakdown of how Much Money Individuals are Spending on Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
S&P 500: Rallying Tech Stocks vs. Plummeting Oil Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
Like the Latest Bond Flick, the US Dollar Has No Time to Die - 23rd Nov 21
Why BITCOIN NEW ALL TIME HIGH Changes EVERYTHING! - 22nd Nov 21
Cannabis ETF MJ Basing & Volatility Patterns - 22nd Nov 21
The Most Important Lesson Learned from this COVID Pandemic - 22nd Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis - 22nd Nov 21
UK Covid-19 Booster Jabs Moderna, Pfizer Are They Worth the Risk of Side effects, Illness? - 22nd Nov 21
US Dollar vs Yields vs Stock Market Trends - 20th Nov 21
Inflation Risk: Milton Friedman Would Buy Gold Right Now - 20th Nov 21
How to Determine if It’s Time for You to Outsource Your Packaging Requirements to a Contract Packer - 20th Nov 21
2 easy ways to play Facebook’s Metaverse Spending Spree - 20th Nov 21
Stock Market Margin Debt WARNING! - 19th Nov 21
Gold Mid-Tier Stocks Q3’21 Fundamentals - 19th Nov 21
Protect Your Wealth From PERMANENT Transitory Inflation - 19th Nov 21
Investors Expect High Inflation. Golden Inquisition Ahead? - 19th Nov 21
Will the Senate Confirm a Marxist to Oversee the U.S. Currency System? - 19th Nov 21
When Even Stock Market Bears Act Bullishly (What It May Mean) - 19th Nov 21
Chinese People do NOT Eat Dogs Newspeak - 18th Nov 21
CHINOBLE! Evergrande Reality Exposes China Fiction! - 18th Nov 21
Kondratieff Full-Season Stock Market Sector Rotation - 18th Nov 21
What Stock Market Trends Will Drive Through To 2022? - 18th Nov 21
How to Jump Start Your Motherboard Without a Power Button With Just a Screwdriver - 18th Nov 21
Bitcoin & Ethereum 2021 Trend - 18th Nov 21
FREE TRADE How to Get 2 FREE SHARES Fractional Investing Platform and ISA Specs - 18th Nov 21
Inflation Ain’t Transitory – But the Fed’s Credibility Is - 18th Nov 21
The real reason Facebook just went “all in” on the metaverse - 18th Nov 21
Biden Signs a Bill to Revive Infrastructure… and Gold! - 18th Nov 21
Silver vs US Dollar - 17th Nov 21
Silver Supply and Demand Balance - 17th Nov 21
Sentiment Speaks: This Stock Market Makes Absolutely No Sense - 17th Nov 21
Biden Spending to Build Back Stagflation - 17th Nov 21
Meshing Cryptocurrency Wealth Generation With Global Fiat Money Demise - 17th Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Into Mid 2022 - 16th Nov 21
Stock Market Minor Cycle Correcting - 16th Nov 21
The INFLATION MEGA-TREND - Ripples of Deflation on an Ocean of Inflation! - 16th Nov 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Don't Believe the Gold and Silver "Bubble" Burst Hype!

Commodities / Gold & Silver Aug 19, 2008 - 04:47 AM GMT

By: Mark_OByrne

Commodities Gold finished trading in New York  yesterday at $ 800.50,  up $14.50 and silver was  up 33 cents to $13.19 .  Both  gold and silver have again fallen  in  European trading . Gold i s trading at $ 7 86 .00/7 86 .40 per ounce (10.30GMT).

Gold rebounded from very oversold levels yesterday but market weakness has resumed overnight in Asia  and early in London as the dollar has continued to rally (reaching a 6 month high at 1.4631 to the euro) .  Speculative interest in the precious metals has fallen dramatically as seen in the recent CFTC data and this usually presages a rally in the precious metals.


As ever the important short term influences on gold will be whether the dollar can keep strengthening and whether oil prices continue to fall. However, it is likely that the important fundamental long term drivers of increasing macroeconomic and systemic risk (as seen in the fresh fears regarding the financial system yesterday on increasing money market liquidity tightening and sharp falls in Fannie and Freddie and former IMF chief economist Kenneth Rogoff said the worst of the global financial crisis is yet to come and has warned that a major US bank will fail within 3 months) and geopolitical risk (increasingly bellicose statements from the Russian President Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladmir Putin).

Also inflation continues to surge internationally as seen in Germany this morning. German producer-price inflation accelerated to 8.9 percent, the fastest pace since October 1981, reinforcing speculation the European Central Bank will keep interest rates at a seven-year high even as the economy cools.

While the sheen has been taken off gold's inflation hedging and safe haven attributes by the recent sharp sell off, those who write gold off do so at their peril.

Gold (bullion) remains the ultimate safe haven asset and a finite currency that is one of the few assets that has no counterparty risk and these essential attributes will lead to it's safe haven status being reaffirmed in the coming weeks and months.


Gold "Bubble" Burst?
Much of the financial media is once again heralding the bursting of the "gold bubble" or "precious metals bubble" and many seem to think that this is the end of the bull markets in gold and silver.

It is interesting that it is the same commentators who never predicted a bull market in gold and the barely acknowledged a bull market was in existence and yet they are again gleefully banging the "precious metals bubble is burst" drum.

The extent of the bearishness amongst many commentators and institutions is a classic contrarian indicator and is exactly what happens in bull markets which climb a 'wall of worry'. Bull markets do not normally end with the majority calling the top correctly rather they end when the majority (including the media) have been conditioned to expect ever higher prices and have given up attempting to call a top.

Only when the prevailing mass psychology is all bullish do bull markets end. As by then there are few buyers left to prop up prices and there is often a final exhaustion rally prior to the end of a bull market.

We are a long way from that now with much of the media continuing to completely ignore gold most of the time and only some specialist financial media covering it on a regular basis. There is blood in the street in the futures market and worry and fear is at levels not seen so far in this bull market and this should see prices bottoming in the coming days. 

Also it is worth recalling the hugh sell off in 1974. Gold had surged from it's fixed Gold Standard price of $35 per ounce to over $200 in 1974 prior to a brutal sell off that saw prices fall in half to nearly $100. At the time, many called a market top and they were proved very wrong when prices subsequently rose  8 fold in the next 6 years.

The fact that an asset class can be considered in a bubble when it has only recently surpassed it's all time record nominal high of 28 years ago is astonishing and will be seen as so in the coming years when gold likely reaches it's inflation adjusted high of some $2,400 per ounce.

Don't believe the gold and silver "bubble" burst hype!

Today 's Data and Influences
Housing starts and building permit figures released in the US today are expected to come in lower than last month and the dollars early gains may be tested by data that comes in weaker than expected.

Gold and Silver
Gold is trading at $7 86 .80/7 86 .40 per ounce (1 0 3 0 GMT).
Silver is trading at $1 2.78 /1 2.83 per ounce (1 0 3 0 GMT).

PGMs
Platinum is trading at $13 15 /13 25 per ounce (1 0 3 0GMT).
Palladium is trading at $2 72/ 2 77 per ounce (1 0 3 0 GMT).

By Mark O'Byrne, Executive Director

Gold Investments
63 Fitzwilliam Square
Dublin 2
Ireland
Ph +353 1 6325010
Fax  +353 1 6619664
Email info@gold.ie
Web www.gold.ie
Gold and Silver Investments Limited
No. 1 Cornhill
London,
EC3V 3ND
United Kingdom
Ph +44 (0) 207 0604653
Fax +44 (0) 207 8770708
Email info@www.goldassets.co.uk
Web www.goldassets.co.uk

Gold and Silver Investments Ltd. have been awarded the MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analyst of 2006.

Mission Statement
Gold and Silver Investments Limited hope to inform our clientele of important financial and economic developments and thus help our clientele and prospective clientele understand our rapidly changing global economy and the implications for their livelihoods and wealth.
We focus on the medium and long term global macroeconomic trends and how they pertain to the precious metal markets and our clienteles savings, investments and livelihoods. We emphasise prudence, safety and security as they are of paramount importance in the preservation of wealth.

Financial Regulation: Gold & Silver Investments Limited trading as Gold Investments is regulated by the Financial Regulator as a multi-agency intermediary. Our Financial Regulator Reference Number is 39656. Gold Investments is registered in the Companies Registration Office under Company number 377252 . Registered for VAT under number 6397252A . Codes of Conduct are imposed by the Financial Regulator and can be accessed at www.financialregulator.ie or from the Financial Regulator at PO Box 9138, College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland. Property, Commodities and Precious Metals are not regulated by the Financial Regulator

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

All the opinions expressed herein are solely those of Gold & Silver Investments Limited and not those of the Perth Mint. They do not reflect the views of the Perth Mint and the Perth Mint accepts no legal liability or responsibility for any claims made or opinions expressed herein.

Mark O'Byrne Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in