Stocks Continue Their Rally As Investors Remain Bullish Ahead Of Earnings Releases

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,100, and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 1.1% and 1.3% on Wednesday, extending their short-term uptrend, as investors' sentiment improved ahead of quarterly corporate earnings releases, among others. The S&P 500 index broke above its recent consolidation along the level of 2,050. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 2,080, marked by the late December high. The next resistance level is at 2,100-2,120. On the other hand, support level is at 2,030-2,040, marked by recent consolidation, and the next level of support is at 2,000-2,020, marked by previous level of resistance. The index continues to trade within a descending medium-term trading channel, as the daily chart shows:

Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are slightly negative, with index futures currently down 0.2%. The European stock market indexes have been mixed so far. Investors will wait for some economic data announcements: Consumer Price Index, Initial Claims at 8:30 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract trades within an intraday consolidation, as it fluctuates along the level of 2,070, following yesterday's advance. The nearest important level of support is at around 2,060-2,065, marked by recent consolidation. On the other hand, resistance level is at around 2,075, marked by yesterday's local high, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract follows a similar path, as it fluctuates along the level of 4,550, following yesterday's rally. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 4,550, and support level is at 4,500-4,520, among others. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some short-term overbought conditions:

Concluding, the broad stock market broke above its recent consolidation, as the S&P 500 index reached its late December local high above the level of 2,080. We still can see technical overbought conditions that may lead to uptrend's reversal or downward correction at some point. Therefore, we continue to maintain our speculative short position (opened at 2,045.56 - last week's Wednesday's opening price of the S&P 500 index). Stop-loss level is at 2,100 and potential profit target is at 1,950 (S&P 500 index). You can trade S&P 500 index using futures contracts (S&P 500 futures contract - SP, E-mini S&P 500 futures contract - ES) or an ETF like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF - SPY. It is always important to set some exit price level in case some events cause the price to move in the unlikely direction. Having safety measures in place helps limit potential losses while letting the gains grow.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
SunshineProfits.com

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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