Goldvybe writes: Not much has changed since our gold correction commentary post on the 10th (here) except that gold had spiked up to $1263 on Thursday after global equities weakness and continued fears about European banks.

The fib retracements have stayed pretty much the same except now moving up a bit. For the most part, our analysis has not changed as we still anticipate a move lower from the seasonal February high into a seasonal low (March-April) of between $1130-$1150.

Of course gold could stay strong and correct only down to its 38.2% retracement level but if history is any guide, we should see a correction of at least 50 to 61.8%. When gold fired off its previous long-term buy signal on January 20th, 2009, gold immediately shot up to $1007 and by April it came all the way back down to $864.

In conjunction, gold came back down to its 37EMA which is ideal for establishing long-term positions if the gold price has already moved much higher. While we will get our anticipated long-term buy signal on this coming Monday’s open, we would certainly not want to establish leveraged positions this far away from the 8/37EMAs.

Prudence suggests to wait until prices back down to the seasonal low timeframe and anticipated price zone and we should start entering long positions in the late-March / early-April timeframe.

By Goldvybe

About Goldvybe.com can be found here: http://www.goldvybe.com/about.html

© 2016 Copyright Goldvybe - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.