Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
BREWING FINANCIAL CRISIS 2.0 Suggests RECESSION 2022 - 28th Jan 22
Financial Stocks Sector ETF XLF $37.50 Continues To Present Opportunities - 28th Jan 22
Stock Market Rushing Headlong - 28th Jan 22
The right way to play Climate Change Investing (not green energy stocks) - 28th Jan 22
Why Most Investors LOST Money by Investing in ARK FUNDS - 27th Jan 22
The “play-to-earn” trend taking the crypto world by storm - 27th Jan 22
Quantum AI Stocks Investing Priority - 26th Jan 22
Is Everyone Going To Be Right About This Stocks Bear Market?- 26th Jan 22
Stock Market Glass Half Empty or Half Full? - 26th Jan 22
Stock Market Quoted As Saying 'The Reports Of My Demise Are Greatly Exaggerated' - 26th Jan 22
The Synthetic Dividend Option To Generate Profits - 26th Jan 22
The Beginner's Guide to Credit Repair - 26th Jan 22
AI Tech Stocks State Going into the CRASH and Capitalising on the Metaverse - 25th Jan 22
Stock Market Relief Rally, Maybe? - 25th Jan 22
Why Gold’s Latest Rally Is Nothing to Get Excited About - 25th Jan 22
Gold Slides and Rebounds in 2022 - 25th Jan 22
Gold; a stellar picture - 25th Jan 22
CATHY WOOD ARK GARBAGE ARK Funds Heading for 90% STOCK CRASH! - 22nd Jan 22
Gold Is the Belle of the Ball. Will Its Dance Turn Bearish? - 22nd Jan 22
Best Neighborhoods to Buy Real Estate in San Diego - 22nd Jan 22
Stock Market January PANIC AI Tech Stocks Buying Opp - Trend Forecast 2022 - 21st Jan 21
How to Get Rich in the MetaVerse - 20th Jan 21
Should you Buy Payment Disruptor Stocks in 2022? - 20th Jan 21
2022 the Year of Smart devices, Electric Vehicles, and AI Startups - 20th Jan 21
Oil Markets More Animated by Geopolitics, Supply, and Demand - 20th Jan 21
WARNING - AI STOCK MARKET CRASH / BEAR SWITCH TRIGGERED! - 19th Jan 22
Fake It Till You Make It: Will Silver’s Motto Work on Gold? - 19th Jan 22
Crude Oil Smashing Stocks - 19th Jan 22
US Stagflation: The Global Risk of 2022 - 19th Jan 22
Stock Market Trend Forecast Early 2022 - Tech Growth Value Stocks Rotation - 18th Jan 22
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Are We Setting Up For A 'Mini-Crash'? - 18th Jan 22
Mobile Sports Betting is on a rise: Here’s why - 18th Jan 22
Exponential AI Stocks Mega-trend - 17th Jan 22
THE NEXT BITCOIN - 17th Jan 22
Gold Price Predictions for 2022 - 17th Jan 22
How Do Debt Relief Services Work To Reduce The Amount You Owe? - 17th Jan 22
RIVIAN IPO Illustrates We are in the Mother of all Stock Market Bubbles - 16th Jan 22
All Market Eyes on Copper - 16th Jan 22
The US Dollar Had a Slip-Up, but Gold Turned a Blind Eye to It - 16th Jan 22
A Stock Market Top for the Ages - 16th Jan 22
FREETRADE - Stock Investing Platform, the Good, Bad and Ugly Review, Free Shares, Cancelled Orders - 15th Jan 22
WD 14tb My Book External Drive Unboxing, Testing and Benchmark Performance Amazon Buy Review - 15th Jan 22
Toyland Ferris Wheel Birthday Fun at Gulliver's Rother Valley UK Theme Park 2022 - 15th Jan 22
What You Should Know About a TailoredPay High Risk Merchant Account - 15th Jan 22

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Flat...Still No Splat...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Dec 10, 2013 - 10:36 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

Poor bears. Even at the final bell they had to watch the Dow go from -5 to plus 6. Meaningless, of course, but it seems like a slap in their face as the market just won't give the bears even a sliver of a good vibe. Each sector was up a drop, refusing to go red seemingly in spite of the bears. This is why we have the sentiment problem we're dealing with now for a few weeks. The bears just can't gain any traction, and, of course, the moment the market sells even just a little bit the sentiment seems to be a rousing here we go. It hasn't happened with the bears growing increasingly frustrated. I can't even imagine how bad it has been for these bears the past many months as overbought has stayed that way while sentiment is flashing an outright sell signal.


So many have front run these conditions and felt the pain of playing emotionally. Today was no different. We tried to sell a few times today, yet each time the selling stopped when the market started to go red. It's as if red is against the law. The S&P 500 was still trading below 1813, but we're hovering not far below, and the bears are not getting it done in terms of removing price far enough away from this key level. They better do so soon, or this market will break above 1813 on a closing basis allowing for yet another leg up against all the odds. In the end, the market hung tough in the face of strong odds. Until the bears can kill this with a big gap down, hang in there with some small exposure.

The real problem for the bears longer-term is the economy, and the Fed in tandem here. The ISM Manufacturing Report caught the masses off guard as it blasted higher by two points above expectation. GDP was better than expectations. The economists caught off guard this time. Add in stronger jobs than anticipated, along with decreasing jobless claims reports, and the environment isn't exactly wonderful for the bears long-term. Now, add in Yellen, who is very dovish, and what chance do the bears have bigger picture other than the inevitable selling from too many bulls. She will keep rates low and liquidity high for a very long time to come. That's the perfect formula for investor confidence, and thus, higher prices for the stock market. Never straight up, but higher overall. The bears already recognize this and that's part of why the market hasn't sold hard yet. The future isn't too bright for the bears for now, although, once again, I warn you we can get hit very hard at any time due to sentiment.

What the bears really need is a strong gap down that doesn't get recovered in the first hour showing retail is not able to come in and bring it back up. These massive gap downs come out of the blue. I'm not talking the S&P 500 gapping down 5-7 points. I'm talking a 1% gap down that slowly runs lower all day. Once that's accomplished they can step down harder and bring the market below the first key level or the 20-day exponential moving average. They aren't in the neighborhood yet, but all it takes is one surprise gap down. Keep the bullish bias. Feel good about the big picture. Be more than appropriately light for the short-term would be my best advice.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2013 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in