EUR-USD Already Bearish; GBP-USD Bears Yet To Come
Currencies / Forex Trading Sep 09, 2013 - 07:08 PM GMTEURUSD found a support on Friday after NFP report around 1.3100 area from where we have seen more than 80 pip rally back to the wave 2-wave 4 trendline. Usually when this occurs it means that five wave decline is complete and that market reversed into a temporary correction.
As such, we are now tracking an A-B-C retracement back to 1.3225-1.3250 region before we may turn bearish again. In that zone we can also see a former wave four that may react as a reversal level and cause a new sell-off for the pair.
EURUSD 4h Elliott Wave Analysis
Meanwhile we are also tracking GBPUSD which is stronger than EURUSD lately but it also has a bearish wave structure. Rally from March low on GBPUSD is a complex pattern most likely a flat in wave II where we may see test of 1.5750 this week after recent bounce from the lower side of a current upward channel.
However, this new high will be just a final leg, fifth wave within wave (C), so larger bearish trend remains in view but GBPUSD just needs more time to turn down when compared to EURUSD, but we think that sooner or later pound will also turn south and catch the euro weakness.
GBPUSD Daily Elliott Wave Analysis
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Gregor is based in Slovenia and has been in Forex market since 2003. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets; from candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty however is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful to traders.
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