Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Silver Prices Soar When the Metal Gets This Hated

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Aug 05, 2012 - 04:48 AM GMT

By: DailyWealth

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBrett Eversole writes: You're not going to want to hear this. No one wants to hear it right now...

But we have an incredible opportunity to buy silver.

It doesn't feel good to trade precious metals here. Gold is down more than 10% from its highs this year. Platinum is down 20%. Silver is down about 27%.



But here's the thing: Everyone feels bad about precious metals... Silver in particular. And that's why it's such a big opportunity. Based on history, we can expect to make 20% or more over the next three months... by simply buying silver today.

Better yet, if this situation kicks off a new bull market – like it has three of the last four times – we have the potential to make even larger gains, as much as 100%, in the next six to 12 months.

Let me explain...

As I said, silver is hated right now. Specifically, futures traders speculating on silver are near all-time "short" levels today. As a rule, when futures traders all think the same thing, the market tends to do the opposite.

You can see it in the chart below...

When the blue line is high, silver traders are going long – and we expect silver to fall. When the blue line is low, silver traders are short... The contrarian investment is to buy silver.


You can see that silver traders are near all-time short levels today. In fact, we've only seen this extreme level four other times in the last seven years.

Every time was a great opportunity to buy silver.

If you bought silver the last four times it reached today's extreme, you'd be up an average of 20% over the next three months. All four trades were good for double-digit gains.

Importantly, three of these four trades signaled the beginning of a fresh, longer-term uptrend in silver. Those signals led to even larger gains over the following months. Take a look...


Of course, we can't know if today is the start of the push to new highs for silver. But 91% average returns in just nine months is enough to get me interested.

You can easily buy into this trade through the iShares Silver Trust (SLV). This simple fund does a fantastic job tracking the silver price.

One thing note... silver is in a real downtrend right now. Longtime DailyWealth readers know we prefer to wait on an uptrend. But with sentiment so negative, it's hard to imagine silver moving much lower from here.

If you do buy today, consider using a tight stop loss at SLV's recent low ($25.63). That's just 3% below today's price. But with 20%-plus upside and only 3% downside, it's an excellent risk/reward opportunity.

Remember, silver moved higher each of the last four times sentiment got this negative. Our average gain was 20% in just three months. And if this kicks off a bigger move in silver, we could make much, much more.

No one wants to hear about it... and the crowd says sell... So we're buying.

Good investing,

Brett Eversole

Further Reading:

Jeff Clark also thinks silver is attractive today. "If it breaks to the upside... we could see it trading at $35 per ounce," he says. Jeff suggests aggressive traders should consider buying here.

http://www.dailywealth.com

The DailyWealth Investment Philosophy: In a nutshell, my investment philosophy is this: Buy things of extraordinary value at a time when nobody else wants them. Then sell when people are willing to pay any price. You see, at DailyWealth, we believe most investors take way too much risk. Our mission is to show you how to avoid risky investments, and how to avoid what the average investor is doing. I believe that you can make a lot of money – and do it safely – by simply doing the opposite of what is most popular.

Customer Service: 1-888-261-2693 – Copyright 2011 Stansberry & Associates Investment Research. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This e-letter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Stansberry & Associates Investment Research, LLC. 1217 Saint Paul Street, Baltimore MD 21202

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Daily Wealth Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in