Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Rip the Face Off the Bears Rally! - 22nd Dec 24
STOP LOSSES - 22nd Dec 24
Fed Tests Gold Price Upleg - 22nd Dec 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Why Do We Rely On News - 22nd Dec 24
Never Buy an IPO - 22nd Dec 24
THEY DON'T RING THE BELL AT THE CRPTO MARKET TOP! - 20th Dec 24
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER? - 18th Dec 24
Nvidia Stock 5X to 30X - 18th Dec 24
LRCX Stock Split - 18th Dec 24
Stock Market Expected Trend Forecast - 18th Dec 24
Silver’s Evolving Market: Bright Prospects and Lingering Challenges - 18th Dec 24
Extreme Levels of Work-for-Gold Ratio - 18th Dec 24
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

To Be Truly Dominant, America Must Regain Its Values

Politics / UK Politics Dec 09, 2011 - 10:58 AM GMT

By: Barry_Elias

Politics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week’s column described the dynamics of our lost half century in America.

The decline was principally due to a devastating deterioration of values. For America to regain in pre-eminent status, its values deficit needs to be rebalanced.


The previous column focused on the insatiable demand for debt to accommodate myopic, materialistic consumption. This demand was based primarily on self-centric, immediate gratification at the expense of future generations. As a result, long-term investment in real value added products and services were sacrificed.

In this column, I describe the dynamics that promulgated the supply of funds and credit that enabled this massive debt accumulation.

The supply of credit was based on the demand for passive, unearned income.

In lieu of education, knowledge, and wisdom, our society valued income generated without direct work involvement. This demand for unearned income led to a massive supply of loanable funds, anticipating sizable returns on investment (ROI).

This high degree of anticipation led the managers of this money to increase ROI in ways that were unsustainable.

Financial engineering permitted product development that camouflaged the real long-term risk. While it provided sizable income for some over short periods of time, the result was a massive transfer of liabilities to future generations.

This massive demand for unearned income and debt-driven consumption increased demand for financial services to extraordinary levels. During the previous half century, average annual expenditures for the financial services sector rose 8.7 percent according to Bureau of Economic Analysis (U.S Commerce Department).

To reiterate: spending for financial services rose 8.7 percent each year for 50 years.

According to a recent Flow of Funds report by the Federal Reserve Bank, financial services only added 1 percent to GDP, while its profits were nearly 25 percent of the total. The profits do not include the exorbitant compensations, benefits, and bonuses that have been all too prevalent in recent decades.

At best, this suggests financial services have not added an appropriate value to society for many decades. In fact, given the state of the global economy since 2008, one could accurately conclude that financial services have severely eroded global value and equity.

Bloomberg News recently interviewed William Gross, co-founder of PIMCO (over $1 trillion under management) and Larry Fink, co-founder of Blackrock (over $3 trillion under management). Their assessment of the previous three decades is well aligned with mine.

Larry Fink informed the audience that financial services became much too large during this period, and he let down the American people. He wishes the political cognoscenti would recognize their cataclysmic shortfall as well. William Gross indicated that the return on capital greatly exceeded that for labor during this time period.

Despite these rhetorical sentiments, the two demonstrated an unfortunate behavior that seemed external and removed from the events they helped orchestrate to large degree.

Clearly, the financial community profited handsomely at the expense of the average worker.

This conclusion is a reflection the values deficit: society did not adequately value productive labor and investment.

The financial industry functions best when it leverages and enables entrepreneurial activity to flourish: providing real engineering of real products for real people.

Instead, the financial community financially engineered its own products that created little value for society.

In fact, over the long run, the financial industry has had a detrimental on society. The industry modus operandi permitted an inordinate, unjust transference of societal wealth that will reverberate for decades to come.

According to The New York Times, the leader of a religious service that I recently attended poignantly stated: “The 13 years I’ve been here, I’ve never seen people go from a regular life to rags. I’ve seen that up-front and personal.”

These dire economic circumstances have motivated this individual to focus intensely on charitable giving within the community.

This is a poignant backdrop to congressional testimony provided this week by Jon Corzine, former CEO of MF Global and Goldman Sachs and former New Jersey Governor and Senator. During his testimony to the U.S. House Agriculture Committee, he declared $1.2 billion of MF Global clients funds are missing.

At best, this comment suggests a high degree of incompetence.

To place this in perspective, $1.2 billion is:

1. Three times what Jon Corzine received ($400 million) in 1999 when Goldman Sachs issued an Initial Public Offering (IPO).

2. 24,000 times the median annual family income (approximately $50,000 per family).

By Barry Elias

eliasbarry@aol.com, beb1b2b3@gmail.com

Barry Elias provides economic analysis to Dick Morris, a former political adviser to President Clinton.

He was cited and acknowledged in two recent best-sellers co-authored by Mr. Morris: “Catastrophe” and “2010: Take Back America - a Battle Plan.” Mr. Elias graduated Phi Beta Kappa from Binghamton University with a degree in economics.

He has consulted with various high-profile financial institutions in New York City.

© 2011 Copyright Barry Elias - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in