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FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

Balancing the U.S. Budget, Radical Plan to Cut Military Spending

Politics / Government Spending Apr 28, 2011 - 04:42 AM GMT

By: Mike_Shedlock

Politics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy long held belief is the US cannot afford to be the world's policeman. Moreover, I question whether it is wise to pursue such a policy even if we could pay for it. Regardless, it is beyond absurd to leave cuts in defense spending off the table when the budget deficit is $1.5 trillion.


The US has troops in 140 countries. Admittedly many of those are small operations. However, why should the US be meddling in the affairs of those countries in the first place?

The US has 150,000 troops in Europe and Asia. Why? The cold war is over, the odds Europe will be invaded by Russia close to zero, and even if the odds are higher, why should it be US troops and US expense protecting Europe?

The question I have had is what would a massive pullback in troop levels save? Courtesy of Foreign Policy magazine, today I have an answer.

Please consider A Radical Plan for Cutting the Defense Budget and Reconfiguring the U.S. Military by retired Col. Douglas Macgregor.
In the spirit of spending wisely, here is my plan to reconfigure the military for the demands and threats of the 21st-century world and, in doing so, dramatically cut the Pentagon budget:

Today, there are more than 317,000 active-duty U.S. military personnel stationed or deployed overseas. In the Central Command theater of operations, encompassing Iraq and Afghanistan, there are approximately 180,000 active-component personnel as well as over 45,000 reservists. Approximately 150,000 active-component U.S. military personnel are officially assigned to Europe and Asia. And some estimates note that there are two civilians and supporting contractors for each service member in certain locations.

The United States long stayed secure without this kind of sprawling imperial apparatus. But as the Cold War drew to a close, instead of adjusting force structure and spending to a strategic environment newly friendly to U.S. and allied interests, the U.S. military began a dramatic expansion of its overseas presence into areas where, historically, it had been episodic at best. America's Cold War commitments, meanwhile, continued without interruption. After expelling the Iraqi Army from Kuwait in 1991, the U.S. military was directed to stay in the Persian Gulf and build massive facilities. And following the 9/11 attacks, the global war on terror resulted in major new Army and Air Force installations from Europe to Central Asia.

Why does America need all these facilities? The original Cold War goal of protecting European and Asian societies from communist threats and internal subversion has long ago been met, and many overseas U.S. bases are now redundant. What better time than now, when the United States faces fiscal calamity but few real military threats, to judiciously sort those that are truly needed from those the Pentagon can live without? It's time to declare victory and go home.

U.S. troops remained ashore in Europe and Asia long past the point when it was clear that a military presence was a needless drain on American resources. Today, new technology and a different mix of forces enables a lighter, less intrusive footprint. For instance, area control is no longer a mission that demands a large surface fleet on the World War II model. The U.S. nuclear submarine fleet augmented with fewer surface combatants employing long-range sensors, manned and unmanned aircraft, communications, and missiles can dominate the world's oceans, ensuring the United States and its allies control access to the maritime domain that supports 91 percent of the world's commerce.

In the Islamic world, the U.S.-led interventions were and remain speculative investments with questionable returns on taxpayers' investments. For the moment, operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, and more recently over Libya, have resulted in less and less funding available to reorganize and replace obsolescent, unsustainable, or worn-out Cold War-era forces designed for aerospace, maritime superiority, and ground combat -- one more reason to end or drastically reduce U.S. involvement in those conflicts as soon as possible.

 

Other Worthy Ideas

In a four page article Mcgregor goes on to highlight a number of areas where the US can and should save money. Here are his ideas.

  • Estimated annualized savings resulting from withdrawals from overseas garrisons and restructuring the United States' forward military presence: $239 billion
  • Estimated annualized savings from reorganizing the Army and Marine Corps: $18 billion
  • Estimated annualized savings from reductions in naval surface forces and Marine fixed-wing aviation: $10 billion
  • Estimated annualized savings from eliminating the F-35B: $2.5 billion
  • Estimated annualized savings from reducing the number of unified commands and single service headquarters: $1 billion
  • Estimated annualized savings from eliminating the Department of Homeland Security and restructuring national intelligence and the Army National Guard: $7 billion

Total Savings: $279 Billion

I agree with all of Macgregor's points. His total savings: $279.5 billion a year.

Note that would be $2.79 trillion over 10 years if the savings could be made at once. That is not practical but it should be possible to make those changes over a 5 or six year period.

Balancing the Budget

We are not going to balance the budget unless that is the goal. Thus, I have a simple proposal: Balance the budget by 2022 come hell or high water

Moreover, we are not going to balance the budget unless Ryan and the Republicans agree to huge reductions in military spending or raise taxes. Otherwise it cannot be done.

I continue to suggest the need to cut military spending dramatically and am pleased to see Col Macgregor agree.

Next, if we could get rid of the Department of Education and Department of Energy, end student loans, and adopt other ideas of Paul Ryan we would be well on the way to balancing the budget.

Add in some pro-growth policies like a national right-to-work law and scrapping Davis-Bacon and all prevailing wage laws, then whatever remains to be done can be done with minimal tax hikes.

As the plans sit right now, neither President Obama nor Paul Ryan has come close to balancing the budget. For details, please see Interactive Map: Paul Ryan vs. Obama Budget Details; Path of Destruction

Footnote: Col. Douglas Macgregor (ret.), a decorated combat veteran, writes for the Committee for the Republic in Washington, D.C. His most recent book is Warrior's Rage

By Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management . Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

Visit Sitka Pacific's Account Management Page to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

I do weekly podcasts every Thursday on HoweStreet and a brief 7 minute segment on Saturday on CKNW AM 980 in Vancouver.

When not writing about stocks or the economy I spends a great deal of time on photography and in the garden. I have over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Some of my Wisconsin and gardening images can be seen at MichaelShedlock.com .

© 2011 Mike Shedlock, All Rights Reserved.


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