Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
Peloton 35% CRASH a Lesson of What Happens When One Over Pays for a Loss Making Growth Stock - 1st Dec 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: I Fear For Retirees For The Next 20 Years - 1st Dec 21 t
Will the Anointed Finanical Experts Get It Wrong Again? - 1st Dec 21
Main Differences Between the UK and Canadian Gaming Markets - 1st Dec 21
Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion - 30th Nov 21
Omicron Covid Wave 4 Impact on Financial Markets - 30th Nov 21
Can You Hear It? That’s the Crowd Booing Gold’s Downturn - 30th Nov 21
Economic and Market Impacts of Omicron Strain Covid 4th Wave - 30th Nov 21
Stock Market Historical Trends Suggest A Strengthening Bullish Trend In December - 30th Nov 21
Crypto Market Analysis: What Trading Will Look Like in 2022 for Novice and Veteran Traders? - 30th Nov 21
Best Stocks for Investing to Profit form the Metaverse and Get Rich - 29th Nov 21
Should You Invest In Real Estate In 2021? - 29th Nov 21
Silver Long-term Trend Analysis - 28th Nov 21
Silver Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 28th Nov 21
Crude Oil Didn’t Like Thanksgiving Turkey This Year - 28th Nov 21
Sheffield First Snow Winter 2021 - Snowballs and Snowmen Fun - 28th Nov 21
Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value - 27th Nov 21
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD 66% Performance Loss After 6 Months of Use - Benchmark Tests - 27th Nov 21
Stock Maket Trading Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets - 26th Nov 21
SILVER Price Trend Analysis - 26th Nov 21
Federal Reserve Asks Americans to Eat Soy “Meat” for Thanksgiving - 26th Nov 21
Is the S&P 500 Topping or Just Consolidating? - 26th Nov 21
Is a Bigger Drop in Gold Price Just Around the Corner? - 26th Nov 21
Financial Stocks ETF Sector XLF Pullback Sets Up A New $43.60 Upside Target - 26th Nov 21
A Couple of Things to Think About Before Buying Shares - 25th Nov 21
UK Best Fixed Rate Tariff Deal is to NOT FIX Gas and Electric Energy Tariffs During Winter 2021-22 - 25th Nov 21
Stock Market Begins it's Year End Seasonal Santa Rally - 24th Nov 21
How Silver Can Conquer $50+ in 2022 - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Betting on Hawkish Fed - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast - 24th Nov 21
Your once-a-year All-Access Financial Markets Analysis Pass - 24th Nov 21
Did Zillow’s $300 million flop prove me wrong? - 24th Nov 21
Now Malaysian Drivers Renew Their Kurnia Car Insurance Online With - 24th Nov 21
Gold / Silver Ratio - 23rd Nov 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Can We Get To 5500SPX In 2022? But 4440SPX Comes First - 23rd Nov 21
A Month-to-month breakdown of how Much Money Individuals are Spending on Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
S&P 500: Rallying Tech Stocks vs. Plummeting Oil Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
Like the Latest Bond Flick, the US Dollar Has No Time to Die - 23rd Nov 21
Cannabis ETF MJ Basing & Volatility Patterns - 22nd Nov 21
The Most Important Lesson Learned from this COVID Pandemic - 22nd Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis - 22nd Nov 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Fixing FUBAR: Next Week in Washington D.C.

Stock-Markets / Market Regulation Nov 30, 2010 - 12:07 PM GMT

By: Janet_Tavakoli


Next week, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, hosts its Supervision Summit. Attendees comprise 300 "stakeholders," whom I'll address the morning of Wednesday, December 8, 2010 with a presentation titled: Repairing the Damage of "Fraud as a Business Model."

Among other things I'll remind them that wide-spread foreclosure problems have festered for years. In January 2008, I submitted the manuscript for my book, Structured Finance, to my publisher. I explained that the rating agencies should be stripped of their NRSRO designation for structured products. Among a host of other problems, the rating agencies were clueless as to how to account for failures in the way the assets were handled in the creation of the deals they rated:

Executives at Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch said they were waiting until foreclosure sales before recognizing losses, but they did not comment on the rising number of vacant homes on which foreclosures had not occurred, the complaints of trustees who could not foreclose because they could not "find" the required documentation to prove they had the right to foreclose or on the possibility of non-economic mortgage restructuring which would simply delay foreclosure. They also did not comment on the rising delinquencies which most often led to inevitable foreclosure.

NRSRO stands for "Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization." Moody's, Standard and Poor's, and Fitch were the key rating agencies participating in rating collateralized debt obligations, yet they failed to follow basic statistical principles. When the SEC solicited comments for its proposed rules for the Credit Rating Agencies, mine was the first letter it posted on its web site in February 2007. I recommended the SEC revoke the NRSRO designation for the rating agencies with respect to rating structured finance transactions.

By the end of 2007 and through 2008, rating agencies scrambled to keep up. Moody's kept changing its models and "correlation" assumptions. At one point it announced that "new correlation" would equal three times "old correlation." In December 2007, Standard and Poor's announced an increase in capital requirements in order for certain financial guarantors to maintain "triple-A" ratings only to materially increase its loss assumptions in January of 2008. Fitch announced it might issue one notch downgrades for Ambac and MBIA [the two largest municipal bond insurers] in December 2007, only to downgrade Ambac two notches in January 2008 when Ambac announced larger than expected losses in its credit derivatives portfolio. The rating agencies were inconsistent, ill-informed, and floundering.

Structured Finance & Collateralized Debt Obligations, (excerpt from Chapter 17) Wiley, 2008.

MBIA eventually slid from "AAA" to a junk rating. Ambac filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection November 8, 2010.

Of course, I will also give my recommendations on how to fix the rating agencies. The least controversial part of my presentation will be on the rating agencies, but it is worth mentioning this small preview in advance. None of the issues I'll talk about next week is new, and "financial reform" is late to the party and dead on arrival.

By Janet Tavakoli

web site:

Janet Tavakoli is the president of Tavakoli Structured Finance, a Chicago-based firm that provides consulting to financial institutions and institutional investors. Ms. Tavakoli has more than 20 years of experience in senior investment banking positions, trading, structuring and marketing structured financial products. She is a former adjunct associate professor of derivatives at the University of Chicago's Graduate School of Business. Author of: Credit Derivatives & Synthetic Structures (1998, 2001), Collateralized Debt Obligations & Structured Finance (2003), Structured Finance & Collateralized Debt Obligations (John Wiley & Sons, September 2008). Tavakoli’s book on the causes of the global financial meltdown and how to fix it is: Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from Wall Street (Wiley, 2009).

© 2010 Copyright Janet Tavakoli- All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in