Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
THEY DON'T RING THE BELL AT THE CRPTO MARKET TOP! - 20th Dec 24
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER? - 18th Dec 24
Nvidia Stock 5X to 30X - 18th Dec 24
LRCX Stock Split - 18th Dec 24
Stock Market Expected Trend Forecast - 18th Dec 24
Silver’s Evolving Market: Bright Prospects and Lingering Challenges - 18th Dec 24
Extreme Levels of Work-for-Gold Ratio - 18th Dec 24
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Holds Well...Earnings On Tap...

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010 Jan 10, 2010 - 05:23 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The market had every excuse on planet earth today to just fall out of bed. A very bad jobless report hit the street when there was a loss of 85,000 jobs. Expectations were for a loss of 10,000 jobs. The market didn't like the news initially as the futures took a pretty hard hit although not nearly as hard as I expected once the news actually came out. If the Dow futures had fallen one hundred points, I don't think there's a bull around who would have said that doesn't make sense.


The market has been doing very well and most feel it's time for some selling thus when the news hit, it was sell time. The selling lasted all of about one hour. The Nasdaq started getting the first bid as the financials were somewhat overbought and were lagging all day today. As the day progressed everything started to climb gradually. Everything closed basically on their highs. Solid strong action once again for the bulls. The bears have to feel a bit snake bitten these days. The market was truly impressive today considering the morning news.

The bears have tried very hard to keep this market from rocking higher and to some degree the overbought daily conditions have done the job for them. However, the market is grinding higher for the time being. The bears are looking at poor economic news, overbought weekly charts and somewhat overbought daily charts not to mention a 31% spread in sentiment bulls to bears yet they can't sustain any downside action. It may require the bull bear spread to shoot over 40% which historically has been the end of bull runs. Doesn't have to go that high to end things but the bull run is so strong here it may take that kind of extreme. For now, no matter how many red flags there are, the bulls remain in firm control of this market. Shorting is just not working here.

We played another game of rotation today. The financials got very overbought on the sixty minute time frame charts and needed to cool down. That combination along with the bad news on the jobless front should have knocked this market to its knees. However, the recent laggards, the technology stocks, got violently oversold with many of them printing RSIs in the low 20's and thus they blasted off today. Rotation is the game. Money is still not leaving this market. As long as this process remains in play, the bears have no chance. Big money is making sure this market stays up for now, for whatever the reason may be. We don't have to understand why it's rotating around. It is and thus we must respect it.

There have been some very good earnings numbers thus far from stocks such as Bath Bath & Beyond (BBBY) and Shaw Group (SHAW). We also had good news today from United Parcel Service (UPS) which raised guidance. Next week we have the earnings season getting started in earnest. In two weeks it gets very intense. Next week we see numbers from Intel (INTC) on Thursday and J.P. Morgan (JPM) on Friday. Alcoa (AA) kicks it off on Monday. The bears seem to be shying away and I can understand why. With some strong showings already, maybe they're a bit scared of getting too aggressive on the short side worrying about good earnings taking individual stocks higher along with the rest of the market. The bar has been set quite low on many of these thus it's no shock that news is coming in better than we thought so far. These CEOs know what they're doing folks. Say things stink even if they don't. Get people negative on their company and then spring a surprise.

I can go on and on about how this market seems to be inappropriate based on news that is coming in from all parts of our economy not to mention other parts of the world. There are bankruptcy's all over the place. States are in bankruptcy for crying out loud. Some countries as well. The market doesn't care for now and that's the only message you need to be focused on. We have been long only since March of 2009 and will stay that way until we get the type of action that suggests things are no longer good for the bulls.
Sector watch:

The Transports, Cyclicals, and Industrials all broke out to new 52-week highs this week. See our 4th and 5th charts today. A rotational theme continues in place off our March lows. When one area or group gets severely extended it takes a breather for a while, while other groups in strong basing patterns pick up the slack and get rotational flow. Most groups continue to remain in strong bull trends including the Aerospace, Financials/Brokers, Commodities, Retail and key Technology areas among others. As long as these key sectors remain in bullish trends our bias continues with the long side. At some point we'll get strong volume weekly reversal candles on the major indices likely out of 70+ RSI territory which will set the top for a while. Until we see that reversal our bias continues to remain with the trend in place.

Peace

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 30-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2010 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in