Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold and Silver Markets Brief - 18th Feb 25
Harnessing Market Insights to Drive Financial Success - 18th Feb 25
Stock Market Bubble 2025 - 11th Feb 25
Fed Interest Rate Cut Probability - 11th Feb 25
Global Liquidity Prepares to Fire Bull Market Booster Rockets - 11th Feb 25
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: A Long-Term Bear Market Is Simply Impossible Today - 11th Feb 25
A Stock Market Chart That’s Out of This World - 11th Feb 25
These Are The Banks The Fed Believes Will Fail - 11th Feb 25
S&P 500: Dangerous Fragility Near Record High - 11th Feb 25
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Get High on Donald Trump Pump - 10th Feb 25
Bitcoin Break Out, MSTR Rocket to the Moon! AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season - 10th Feb 25
Liquidity and Inflation - 10th Feb 25
Gold Stocks Valuation Anomaly - 10th Feb 25
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto's Under President Donald Pump - 8th Feb 25
Transition to a New Global Monetary System - 8th Feb 25
Betting On Outliers: Yuri Milner and the Art of the Power Law - 8th Feb 25
President Black Swan Slithers into the Year of the Snake, Chaos Rules! - 2nd Feb 25
Trump's Squid Game America, a Year of Black Swans and Bull Market Pumps - 24th Jan 25
Japan Interest Rate Hike - Black Swan Panic Event Incoming? - 23rd Jan 25
It's Five Nights at Freddy's Again! - 12th Jan 25
Squid Game Stock Market 2025 - 5th Jan 25

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Mistakes When Investing With A Commodity Trading Advisor

InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest Nov 08, 2009 - 10:43 AM GMT

By: Andrew_Abraham

InvestorEducation

There are exist numerous mistakes when investing with a commodity trading advisor. After being on both sides of allocating to commodity trading advisors as well as being one myself it has become very clear to me some of the mistakes that investors make.


1. It is imperative that the investor fully understand the methods used by the commodity trading advisor.

2. The investor must understand EXACTLY how the commodity trading advisor approaches risk.

3. The investor must understand trend following is almost like fishing. One can be the best fisherman but if the fish are not biting then this best fisherman will not catch any fish. The same holds true for a commodity trading advisor. There must be trends. If there are not any trends ( and no promises you there will be for any period of time) virtually all commodity trading advisors will not generate returns. Some will argue they are counter trend…or pattern traders.. but I have never seen them make any money during periods there are not trends.

4. The investor must be committed to at least 3 years to any commodity trading advisor… 5 years is more of a better time frame.

5. The investor must temper his expectations… Commodity trading is a marathon. If one truly wants to succeed, they will only do so if they are patient and realize that any 1 year..or even 2 years does not mean anything. It is the compounded annual rate of return over many years. The reality is that investors throw money at commodity trading advisors after they had a good year ( like last year) and then this year..when nothing has happened ( yet) they get nervous and start redeeming. I have seen this over and over again. I have had phone calls throughout this year…asking why are they not making any money. My answer is simply nothing has to happen when trend following. There are no real trends.. We had a nice Sugar Trade… a nice sell short US dollar…and not maybe a gold trade cooking.. but nothing extended…

6. Remember these words.. or better yet write them down.. Patience and Discipline. If one can maintain these attributes they stand a very good chance of compounding their money over time. It is extremely hard. I have been there. You start to question yourself if trend following does not work any more. However with experience and maturity ( and logic) trends have always existed historically. Even since the time in the Bible with Wheat in Egypt there have been trends. It is beyond improbable that trends will stop now.

Andrew Abraham
www.myinvestorsplace.com

Andrew Abraham has been in the financial arena since 1990. He is a commodity trading ddvisor and co manager of a Commodity Pool. Since 1993 Andrew has been a proponent of quantitative mechanical trading programs. Andrew's major concern is not only total return on investment but rather the amount of risk that one would have to tolerate in order to achieve returns He focuses on developing quant models that encompass strict risk adherence and correlation. He has been a speaker at conferences as well as an author of numerous articles. Andrew has spent years researching ideas that have the potential to outperform indices as well as maintain fewer draw downs.

Visit Angus Jackson Partners (http://www.angusjacksonpartners.com) Contact: A.Abraham@AngusJackson.com (mailto:A.Abraham@AngusJackson.com)

© 2009 Copyright Andrew Abraham - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in