Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Trump A Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
In light of the developing trade war between the US and China, let’s review the all-important Semiconductor sector and in particular, the Semi Equipment segment, which is a key economic early bird (and canary in a coal mine).
Various sectors took hits on Friday as Trump moved forward with Tariffs on China. But most of those sectors and industries are follow-on aspects of the economic cycle, which got its start when the early bird chirped in early 2013.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Minor Car Accident! What Happens After You Report Your Accident to Your Insurer / ConsumerWatch / Motoring
By: N_Walayat
So you have been involved in an minor accident that's not your fault. Initially you may be confused and bewildered by the numerous options of what to do next of which the easiest to implement is to just let your insurer handle everything from arranging the repairs, courtesy car, to claiming all of the costs off of the other drivers insurer. Unfortunately, what's easiest to implement usually turns out to be the cheapest for the insurers even if they eventually claim all of the costs back. So find out what to expect when you decide to go with your insurer in terms of repairs and the supposed like for like courtesy car that tends to be promised for you to drive whilst your car is being repaired.
Monday, June 18, 2018
US Majors Flush Out A Major Pivot Low and What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Closing out a big week in the markets, we see the US markets rotating a bit lower after a number of news events. Some of these were very positive and others were negative. The take away from last week can be condensed into the following:
_ The US Dollar strengthened all week and shot up above $120 near the end of the week
_ Crude Oil tanked on Friday – falling nearly 3% to just below $65.00 ppb
_ EURUSD fell nearly 2% on QE concerns in Europe as well as trade issues that are mounting
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Monday, June 18, 2018
Cocoa Commodities Trading Analysis / Commodities / Cocoa
By: Austin_Galt
Latest Price – $2552
Pattern – we have a pattern of lower lows and lower highs on this chart signifying a downtrend. Given that price has risen sharply this year so the question becomes is this the start of a new bull trend? No, not in my opinion.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
Stock Market Consolidating in an Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and we are in a new intermediate uptrend which should take SPX to a new all-time high.
Monday, June 18, 2018
Russell Has Gone Up 7 Weeks in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
Last week I published a study demonstrating what happens to the stock market when the Russell 2000 (small caps) index goes up 6 weeks in a row. The Russell has extended that streak to 7 weeks in a row.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
Ethereum & Bitcoin: First Sign of Unravelling Cryptos / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Ryan_Wilday
In articles starting in April I discussed the bullish impulse we had seen off the April lows for nearly every coin I track. And, I discussed how the lows on May 28 were testing levels that, if broken, threatened the continuation of that impulse.
Unfortunately, as of writing, those levels have broken. These levels were $7075 in bitcoin (BTC-USD) and $505 in ethereum (ETH-USD). And, while we have a few outliers in the cryptocurrency, most coins are following suit.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
Orange Juice Commodity Trading Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Latest Price – $159.90. Previous analysis updated – price has traded exactly as outlined, rallying before finding resistance and I now believe the next leg up has commenced.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
What Happens Next to Stocks when Tech Massively Outperforms Utilities and Consumer Staples / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Troy_Bombardia
The tech sector has massively outperformed the utilities and consumer staples sectors over the past year.
- The S&P 500 Information technology sector is up 33%…
- While the Utilities sector is down -8%….
- While the Consumer Staples sector is down -8%
Some people see this as a bearish sign for the stock market because “tech is in a bubble”.
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Monday, June 18, 2018
The Trillion Dollar Market You’ve Never Heard Of / Companies / Banking Stocks
By: OilPrice_Com
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Sunday, June 17, 2018
The Corruption of Capitalism / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Harry_Dent
I call it “killing the golden goose.”David Stockman, a speaker at this year’s Irrational Economic Summit, calls it “the corruption of capitalism.”
Andrew O’Hehir, a contributor for Salon, recently interviewed Yanis Varoufakis about the story behind Greece’s financial crash. He was the prime minister during the height of the Greek crisis, elected in early 2015 in response to the Greece debt default crisis.
And in July of 2015, Varoufakis resigned after the ECB (European Central Bank) and IMF (International Monetary Fund) forced a bailout package that went against what he and his SYRIZA party had promised the Greek people.
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Sunday, June 17, 2018
What Are Corporate Tax Cuts Doing to Wages? / Economics / Wages
By: Harry_Dent
There’s no end to the insanity. Our central bankers and politicians are trying to keep this artificial bubble going at all costs.How shortsighted. How arrogant. How selfish!
These politicians will be roasted in history, not just for creating the greatest bubble ever, but for extending it far beyond any logic.
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Sunday, June 17, 2018
Comparing Wages Globally / Economics / Wages
By: Harry_Dent
Finally! I recently came across this great analysis that the OECD (the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) did to show how well off workers in different countries are after adjusting for income and entitlement taxes, like social security and health care.Basically, it measures what people get paid for a fair day’s work.
And we’re not talking average household income here. Household numbers are affected by choices: whether both spouses work full-time, one part-time, or one not work at all… Female participation rates AND the number of kids one chooses all have an effect on per capita numbers.
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Sunday, June 17, 2018
Climate Change and Fish Stocks – Burning Oxygen! / Politics / Climate Change
By: Richard_Mills
University of British Columbia students combed through studies of fish in the North Sea. Their results were surprising - some species are getting smaller due to warmer waters. That causes lower oxygen concentrations in the water, resulting in fish burning energy faster. Larger fish species can’t get enough oxygen to keep up with the higher metabolism, meaning they mature at a smaller size, explained Science magazine.
A story in IRIN, a blog about environmental and other crises, describes the “perfect storm” that is occurring in the oceans due to overfishing and climate change. The result could mean a dramatic decline in fish stocks, with the most serious affect being malnutrition in poor countries in tropical climates that depend on fishing as a protein staple.
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Sunday, June 17, 2018
How Oil Prices Are Affecting Real Estate / Commodities / US Housing
By: Rodney_Johnson
I had a finance professor in college who referred to self-evident ideas as BGOs, or blinding glimpses of the obvious.The term stuck with me, and my kids have heard it their entire lives.
And it came to mind recently when I considered if rising oil prices weighed on the real estate market.
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Sunday, June 17, 2018
North Korea, Trade Wars, Precious Metals and Bitcoin / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold, in a wide-ranging conversation with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, discusses issues from North Korea to Bitcoin. Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Bob Moriarty, the founder of 321gold, and 321energy.com, and the author of two of my personal favorite books, "The Art of Peace," and "Nobody Knows Anything." Welcome to the show.
I recall when President Trump took office, you shared he will either be the best president or the worst president we've ever had. Now I don't know where he fits into that narrative for you so far, but I have to say that President Trump is not afraid of breaking paradigms. There are series of geopolitical events occurring right now, that have the world’s attention, and I'd like to get your thoughts regarding those. Beginning with the G7 Summit, which just concluded last week. And it got a little testy, if you will, between the United States and the other members, in particular Canada. Give us your thoughts on why these events unfolded, and what do you see being the likely outcome?
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Saturday, June 16, 2018
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By: EWI
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Saturday, June 16, 2018
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold weathered the Federal Reserve’s 7th rate hike of this cycle this week. Gold-futures speculators and to a lesser extent gold investors have long feared Fed rate hikes, selling ahead of them. Higher rates are viewed as the nemesis of zero-yielding gold. But contrary to this popular belief, past Fed rate hikes have proven very bullish for gold. This latest hike once again leaves gold set up for a major rally in coming months.
The Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meets 8 times per year to make monetary-policy decisions. These can really impact the financial markets, and thus are closely watched by gold-futures speculators. These elite traders wield wildly-outsized influence on short-term gold price action due to the truly extreme leverage inherent in gold-futures trading. What they do before and after FOMC decisions really impacts gold.
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Saturday, June 16, 2018
Respite for Bitcoin Traders Might Be Deceptive / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Bitcoin has been denying the bullish ideas of some of the investors for some time now. At the moment, the currency is in a particularly important zone. One specific move out from this area could result in extreme moves, boosting profits on our hypothetical positions.
Bitcoin is still going down. As always, there is an explanation for every move. In an article on CNBC, we read:
The digital currency fell to a low of $6,133.31 as of 1 p.m. ET, according to data from CoinDesk. Bitcoin has lost half its value this year after skyrocketing to almost $20,000 in December.
Saturday, June 16, 2018
Trump - See? Now You Did It! / Politics / UK Politics
By: Raul_I_Meijer
This is something I’ve commented on many times. Like two months ago, when I wrote:
Read full article... Read full article...“As for Donald Trump, as much as we would like to engage in constructive criticism of the man and his government, we find we no longer can. The anti-Trump echo-chamber has turned so deafening that any intelligent debate about his policies is being drowned out amid the never ending flow of fake news and half truths and innuendo and empty smears that US media continue to spout. With a brief lull when the bombs fell on Syria.