Friday, June 22, 2018
Gold - How Long Can This Last? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Yields are rising. The global economy has adapted so far without any major problems. So far. But how long can this last? And what does it ultimately mean for the gold market?
Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, the U.S. long-term interest rates have been rising since September 2017. And they breached 3 percent in the second quarter of 2018, attracting investors’ attention all over the world.
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Friday, June 22, 2018
Dow Has Fallen 8 days in a Row. Medium-long Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The Dow Jones has fallen 8 days in a row. But as always, market stage matters (the same kind of price action means different things in different market stages). The Dow has fallen 8 days in a row while it’s still in an uptrend (i.e. is above its 200 daily moving average). This is uncommon – most 8 days in a row streaks occur when the Dow is in a downtrend (i.e. is below its 200 daily moving average).
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Friday, June 22, 2018
US Dollar Index Technical Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
Previous analysis updated – price has continued rallying right up to the previous swing high and I believe the 2018 top was made today at 95.22. The expectation of a mini crash in the second half of the year remains unchanged.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 22, 2018
Gold's Relative Strength Index Indicating a Bottom Is Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger explains why he believes gold is bottoming. Today's missive is going to be brief as there are no need for words when you have the chart below indicating every major low in gold was accompanied by an RSI reading below 30. GLD (the physical gold ETF) is sporting a 27.46 RSI this morning and while we have seen readings lower than this at other bottoming periods, it is time to open a 25% position in the GLD July $120 calls at $1.40, where I was filled shortly after the New York opening. I am now attempting to add a second 25% tranche at $1.50 with the current market $1.54.
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Friday, June 22, 2018
Trouble Spotting Market Trends? This Can Help / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
Learn How You can Spot a Market Trend – Before it Starts
Let it be stated upfront that there is no perfect way to analyze and forecast financial markets. No crystal balls.
Yet, let's be just as quick to add that in Elliott Wave International's review of market analysis methods, none approach the utility of the Elliott wave model.
The reason for the Elliott wave model's usefulness is easily explained: Elliott waves are reflections of the repetitive patterns of investor psychology, which is the real driver of prices, not news or events.
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Friday, June 22, 2018
Contrarians See Gold and Silver Opportunity in Negative Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Gold and silver markets entered this summer with sentiment toward the metals in something of a deep freeze.
For several months, precious metals prices have gone essentially nowhere. No sustained rallies to attract momentum traders; no washout plunges to attract bargain hunters. The long, protracted stalemate between bulls and bears has frustrated metals investors and, frankly, bored the public.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
Financial Markets Analysis and Trend Forecasts 2018 - A Message from Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Greetings fellow traders and investors.
I am sure you will be aware that the volume of my analysis and forecast postings has greatly diminished over the past year or so, but before I explain why, I'll give you the good news which is my forthcoming schedule of analysis that includes a detailed look at the current state of the UK and US housing bull markets, as well as for in-depth updates for markets I have already been covering this year i.e. gold, silver, crude oil and bitcoin. And then a really in-depth look at the prospects for the stock market which will include specific stock's to profit from in my machine intelligence investing series, more in my following video:
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
SPX Bouncing Above Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
SPB futures have been bouncing along the two trendlines near 2760.00 this morning. Should the break down, we may see a decline to the 50-day Moving Average at 2710.37. However, the Cycles Model is unclear about near-term direction. We should be open to the possibility of another probe of the Cycle Top. Depending on the strength of the potential move, we may see a challenge of the March 13 high.
ZeroHedge reports, “It started off well enough, with S&P futures in the green and the Nasdaq set for another all time high after trade war concerns eased further after Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told the Senate neither the U.S. nor China want a trade war, while President Donald Trump said he expects to announce new trade deals with unspecified countries soon.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
Things You Need To Know If You Want To Invest In Bitcoin Now / Currencies / Bitcoin
2017 was a wonderful year for Bitcoin but 2018 did not yet live up to initially set expectations. Basically, people that are specialized in Bitcoin and crytpocurrency investments are now divided. Investing in Bitcoin is something so many are interested in but before you do this, there are some things that you absolutely have to know.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
The NASDAQ’s Outperformance vs. the Dow is Very Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
First of all I’d like to thank Shawn. He raised a good question, one that I’ll answer in this study.
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Thursday, June 21, 2018
Trump’s Trade Tariffs Undermining America’s Economic Future / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
As President Trump is again suspending the opportunity for trade compromise, new US tariffs are not only alienating US allies and partners but undermining America’s own future prospects.On Monday, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose a new 10 percent tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods. That will not only re-escalate the trade war with China but contribute to new risks of collateral damage to the US economy.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Jaguar Land Rover to Start Dumping Production of Car's in Eastern Europe / Companies / Auto Sector
Land Rover owners and drivers got some very bad news this week as Indian (Tata) owned Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) announced it's intentions to start dumping production of their cars in Eastern Europe, specifically Slovakia starting with the Discovery Model with the loss of about 1000 jobs in the UK that is in addition to 1000 job losses announced in April, so this year has seen JLR slash 2000 jobs or prospective Land Rover buyers from the UK. JLR is the UK's largest remaining car manufacturer and so in the name of 'saving money' they are going to transfer production to factories in eastern europe.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
The Fed’s “Inflation Target” is Impoverishing American Workers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
At one time, the Federal Reserve’s sole mandate was to maintain stable prices and to “fight inflation.” To the Fed, the financial press, and most everyone else “inflation” means rising prices instead of its original and true definition as an increase in the money supply. Rising prices are a consequence – a very painful consequence – of money printing.
Naturally, the Fed and all other central bankers prefer the definition of inflation as a rise in prices which insidiously hides the fact that they, being the issuers of currency, are the real culprit for increased prices.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Warning All Investors: Global Stock Market Are Shifting Away From US Price Correlation / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Well over a month ago we warned our followers of a “capital market shift” that was taking place in the global markets. Nearly 3 months before that time, we warned that China’s economy was about to enter a sustained economic downtrend cycle that could be dangerous to the global markets. Today, we offer further evidence that the global markets are, in fact, shifting away from a price correlation to the US stock market and this move could be a warning sign that emerging markets and global markets could lead the world into an extended stagflation cycle.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Dow Fell 6 days in a Row. EXTREMELY Bullish Medium & Long term Sign for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The Dow Jones has gone down 6 days in a row. This is the first time in 15 months in which the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days. But more importantly, the Dow has fallen 6 consecutive days while remaining above its 200 daily moving average.
In other words, this is the first time in a long time in which the Dow has fallen consistently.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Crude Oil Price May Have Turned Down for Good! / Commodities / Crude Oil
Hi everyone,
Hope the day went well for you.
Tomorrow,
the big three central bank heads,
will open their mouths and potentially cause havoc!
I am on record with my recommendations for how central bank chair persons should be treated when entering office.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Gold GLD ETF Update… Breakdown ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Just a quick update on a few of the GLD charts we’ve been following closely. Below is the daily line chat which shows the breakout from the blue triangle that formed as the backtest to the larger 5 point bearish falling wedge reversal pattern. The bulls tried as hard as they could but they couldn’t take out the bottom rail of the falling wedge reversal pattern. Friday’s decline was on heavy volume.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
EURUSD: Why the "Next Day or Two" are Critical / Currencies / Euro
An Open House insight from our Currency Pro Service editor
Every week, our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, records a new video focusing on EURUSD, USDJPY and other markets. Learn why "the next day or two" should determine the next move in the euro in this clip from Jim's June 17 video.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
The Fed Is Driving Down Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
The U.S. dollar has jumped to its strongest level in nearly a year, raising questions about how a strong greenback could act as a drag on debt and oil demand in much of the world.
The U.S. Federal Reserve announced another rate hike a few days ago, which helped edge up the dollar to a new high for the year.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Open House is Now On! A $1,180 Ticket to New Trading Opportunities, Free / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Dear Reader,
Elliott Wave International is opening the doors to its entire lineup of trader-focused Pro Services -- but only for a week! It's a ticket that's worth $1,180.
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