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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 10, 2018

Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why the stock market could pullback for 1-2 weeks, but the medium term is bullish.

Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.

Long term is bullish

The Medium-Long Term Model states that there is no “significant correction” or bear market for U.S. equities on the horizon.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 10, 2018

End of the World Stock Market Chart! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

I have only one chart to show you tonight which I call the “History Chart of the End of the World,” which I built out in 2013. I usually show this chart a couple of times a year just to keep the big picture in perspective. This long term monthly chart shows all the earth shattering events that felt like the end of the world when they occurred and I can personally attest to that fact because I was in the markets in each one of those events.

The crash into the 2009 low was the last time we had anything that really felt like it would be a life changing event similar to the 1929 crash. As you can see, that end of the world event in 2009, formed the fourth reversal point in that 10 year blue triangle consolidation pattern. The last slightly little thing to put a scare into investors was the BREXIT vote in early 2016 that turned out to be a non event. Most have already forgotten about it, but for several weeks it was big news.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, June 10, 2018

All US Homes Are Overvalued / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

My long time pal Jesse Colombo, now at Real Investment Advice, recently linked on Twitter to a Zero Hedge article, which quoted CoreLogic as saying more than half of American homes are overvalued. CoreLogic calls itself “a leading provider of consumer, financial and property data, analytics and services to business and government.”

Well, CoreLogic is way off. All American homes are overvalued. How can we tell? It’s easy. It’s so easy it’s perhaps no wonder that people overlook the reasons why. But we all know them: The Fed has pushed some $20 trillion down the throats of the financial system. It has also lowered interest rates to near zero Kelvin. Then the government added a “relaxation” of lending standards and an upward tweak of credit scores. And Bob’s your uncle.

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ConsumerWatch

Sunday, June 10, 2018

Thorpe Theme Park London Car Park Exit Nightmare - Drivers Beware! / ConsumerWatch / Theme Parks

By: N_Walayat

Summer is here and families will be busy planning multiple visits to Britains theme parks, where the number 1 UK operator is the Merlin group with it's 32 theme parks and attractions including 10 or so in and around London, which includes Thorpe Park situated in Chertsey. However, motorists need to be fully aware of the nightmare that is this theme parks car park! As was our recent experience when we visited Thorpe Park for the first and LAST time! So whilst the theme park itself was great, especially the Walking Dead rides and attractions, unfortunately the living nightmare continued AFTER the park rides closed as the park becoming a dangerous nightmare to escape!

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Commodities

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Gold Price Summer Doldrums / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Early summer is the weakest time of the year seasonally for gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks.  With traders’ attention diverted to vacations and summer fun, their precious-metals interest and investment demand wane considerably.  Thus this entire sector, and often the markets in general, suffer a seasonal lull this time of year.  But these summer doldrums offer the best seasonal buying opportunities of the year.

This doldrums term is very apt for gold’s summer predicament.  It describes a zone in the world’s oceans surrounding the equator.  There hot air is constantly rising, creating long-lived low-pressure areas.  They are often calm, with little or no prevailing winds.  History is full of accounts of sailing ships getting trapped in this zone for days or even weeks, unable to make any headway.  The doldrums were murder on ships’ morale.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 09, 2018

How to Prepare for Economic Uncertainty with Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Chris Marcus of Arcadia Economics speaks with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable about what investors can do to prepare for economic uncertainty.

Maurice Jackson: Today we will cover equity markets in a clever, simple way to hedge your portfolio. Joining us for conversation is Chris Marcus, of Arcadia Economics.

Who is Arcadia Economics, and what is your underlying thesis?

Chris Marcus: Arcadia Economics is what I started after leaving Wall Street back in 2012 where I was sitting on the New York Stock Exchange when everything was imploding in 2008 and 2009. Eventually I started reading Austrian economics, realizing that things actually work quite a bit differently than we were told. I really left to share what I saw, which on one hand, I think is incredible, because if you're giving the real version of how interest rates affect the markets and all these things are interconnected, it sometimes may be of a longer perspective. But it reminds me of Grays Sports Almanac in "Back to the Future," where if you can understand that if the banks do this with the money supply, then you can get what's going to happen.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 09, 2018

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Our friends at Elliott Wave International (elliottwave.com) just released a new, free report: "5 'Tells' that the Markets Are About to Reverse”. It reveals many false indicators – a.k.a. “head fakes” -- investors like you and me see every hour of every day.

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Politics

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks / Politics / Protectionism

By: Richard_Mills

What’s the best way to deal with a teacher who comes into your school and starts threatening all the other teachers? Well if you’re Liberal party leader, and Canada’s Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, the answer is to lecture the bullying teacher about how his approach isn’t the way to get along with all the other teachers. If you’re the bully, you’re not going to listen to that, and instead, will react to the head teacher’s scolding by insulting him, or maybe putting him in a headlock. If that doesn’t work in getting your way, you could try to turn the other teachers against each other, dealing with them separately instead of with the whole teaching staff. “Divide and conquer” works well for bullies.

This little analogy is how we might look at the way Donald Trump has manipulated Canada and Mexico into a situation where not only have they failed to recognize and counter a typical Trump “art of the deal” strategy in coming up with a renewed tri-lateral trade agreement, but where the two countries may now be forced to negotiate separate trade deals with their largest trading partner. How did we get here and what does this ratcheted-up trade war mean for Canada, the United States and investors? This article will address these questions.

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ConsumerWatch

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Land Rover Discovery Sport ECO Mode Real World Driving MPG Fuel Economy / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

This is the latest video in our Land Rover Discovery Sport's series that answers the question of what to expect in terms of fuel economy for this great looking and Land Rover model as compared against Land Rovers sales pitch of 53.3MPG, which in reality no one really expects to achieve, still 40MPG for a fairly new car should be achievable should it not? Well find out in our real conditions world test of driving 1100 miles in ECO Mode so as to maximise fuel economy that answers what one should expect from a 18 month old Land Rover Discovery Sport where the driving was approx 50% on motorways (50-70 mph) and the balance in city driving.

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Commodities

Friday, June 08, 2018

Crude Oil Bullish Weekly Reversal vs. Bearish Monthly Reversal / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Crude oil moved significantly lower after topping at long-term retracement levels and since the monthly decline took place on big volume (biggest in almost a year), the black gold should move lower. But instead of moving lower this week, it seems to be forming a weekly bullish reversal. The individual daily volume levels were not low this week, so if the bullish reversal does indeed form, we’ll have a quite reliable bullish signal. Will the monthly bearish sign be invalidated? Will crude oil rally shortly?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 08, 2018

Fed’s Interest Rate Hike is Short term Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Fed is expected to hike interest rates next Wednesday.

Rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle have been a short term bearish factor for the stock market. The stock market has tended to go down or swing sideways during the next 2 weeks after a rate hike.

Here’s what happened to the S&P 500 after each rate hike in the current rate hike cycle.

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Commodities

Friday, June 08, 2018

The Deviant Conundrum Called Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses silver's mercurial aspects. When I was a young lad, there was a classmate (let's call him "Frankie") in the very early years of my education whose behavior was quite often deemed as "peculiar" and while I found him immensely entertaining, the teaching staff and my fellow students did not entirely agree. Frankie was the kind of kid who would bang on our doorknocker on a frigid winter morning just before sunrise, fully clad in hockey skates, gloves and stick, and ask if he could skate on our frozen backyard hockey rink. The fact that it was a school day made it not exactly the brightest of decisions but my Dad would invariably say "Alright. You two boys have got 20 minutes then back in your houses to get ready for school." It was never an outright rejection on the grounds of unsuitable behavior; it was more so an accommodation for the simple reason that 20 minutes of hockey at 6:35 a.m. in advance of school was a "noble enterprise" and certainly beat watching Captain Kangaroo over a bowl of Fruit Loops.

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Personal_Finance

Friday, June 08, 2018

Pleasure Island Theme Park Cleethorpes, Last Day Trip Before it Closed Down / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks

By: Anika_Walayat

Sadly one of the few theme parks in the Yorkshire / Lincolnshire region, Pleasure Island at Cleethorpes closed down last year with the gates closed for the final time on 29th October 2017. We had visited Pleasure Island a number of times over the years as it was easily one of the most affordable theme parks, as cheap as a £5 Tesco Club card voucher! So here is our video of a trip down memory lane of our LAST visit to Pleasure island at Cleethorpes when we enjoyed the parks rides, attractions and shows for final time as the rides were all auctioned off earlier this year so there is no going back, it's GONE!

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Politics

Friday, June 08, 2018

America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War / Politics / Financial Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

Domestically, there are two institutions which are capable of starting, executing, and managing a domestic or a global financial war.   The first is the Federal Reserve System, which with its banks has the unfettered power to print money, create credit, and set interest rates.  The second is our own government which through its elected officials sets foreign policy that includes its demonstrated power to influence foreign elections, covertly remove uncooperative foreign leaders from office, and to wage war both physical and financial without any formal declarations.  America’s participation in the Korean War over seventy years ago was defined as a police action rather than a war which would have required Congressional approval, and conflicts since then have mostly eluded the requirement for congressional approval.  However, no financial war has required a formal declaration nor Congressional approval, as they are initiated against any targeted country without visible bloodshed, frequently on a clandestine basis.

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Personal_Finance

Friday, June 08, 2018

Debt Consolidation Advice: When and Why to Consolidate / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: Submissions

...

 


Politics

Friday, June 08, 2018

Advanced World’s Reality: G6 Summit Minus G1  / Politics / Global Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

The G7 Summit is split between the United States and six other major advanced economies. President Trump’s unipolar economic and strategic doctrines are undermining US alliances, world trade – and America itself.

Recently, the Trump administration’s officials marked its 500 days with a chorus of tweets. “Many believe I’ve accomplished more than any other president,” Trump said. When he arrived in the office, markets had enjoyed an unsustainable boom, as corporate America expected the president to fulfill his pledges of radical liberalization, privatization and deregulation.

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Economics

Friday, June 08, 2018

U.S. Jobless Claims Lower than Expected / Economics / Unemployment

By: Donald_W_Dony

The U.S. Unemployment rate just posted a new 45-year low. That is good news for the S&P 500.

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell by 1 thousand to 222 thousand in the week ending June 2. This occurred after the previous week's revised level of 223 thousand and below the market's expectations

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Commodities

Friday, June 08, 2018

Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Summary
1)2018 has seen so much volatility in the equity and bond markets after going straight up since 2009.

2)"Everything" bubble is simply the result of record low negative real rates manipulated by Central Bankers to prevent deflation by all means possible.

3)The ending of QE combined with increasingly inflationary concerns has sparked the US to start raising rates.

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Economics

Thursday, June 07, 2018

The US Dollar Has Already Figured Out That Inflation is Coming / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed has gone dovish. In fact, it’s going to allow inflation to explode higher.

That, in of itself, is significant… to understand why, we first need to acknowledge how the Fed currently operates to control risk in the financial system.

The Fed currently has two primary tools for controlling the financial system. They are:

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, June 07, 2018

Shangri-La Arms Race: Or Follow the Money / Personal_Finance / Military Spending

By: Dan_Steinbock

As the Trump administration seeks to boost arms sales in Asia, the Shangri-La Dialogue is morphing into a marketing arm of Western arms exporters in Asia.

At the Shangri-La Summit, U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis accused China of "intimidation and coercion" in the Indo-Pacific. "Make no mistake: America is in the Indo-Pacific to stay. This is our priority theater," he said. What Mattis left unsaid was why America wants to stay in Asia and how U.S. defense contractors hope to turn the region into a weaponized cash cow.

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