Friday, September 14, 2018
Gold Price Trend Analysis - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the second video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Thursday, September 13, 2018
Low Volatility Has Returned to the Stock Market. What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As you’ve probably noticed, the U.S. stock market’s volatility has been notably low over the past 2 months. It’s been 55 consecutive days without a >1% daily change!
*This is surprising because volatility is typically higher during August and September (more bearish seasonality).
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Esports Is Exploding—Here’s 3 Best Stocks to Profit From / Companies / Investing 2018
By: Stephen_McBride
57 million people tuned in to watch a recent professional video-gaming (esports) match. That’s almost 3x more than the 2018 NBA finals.Maybe you’re thinking it’s a stretch to call video gaming a “sport.” Call it whatever you want, so long as you understand that massive sums of cash are pouring into this booming sector.
There are now American video-gaming leagues modeled after the NBA and NFL.
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
The Four Steel Men Behind Trump’s Trade War / Economics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
In few months, the Trump administration has undermined more than seven decades of U.S. free trade legacies. Who are the policymakers behind this reversal. Wat is their agenda? And why is steel their common denominator?Recently, the Trump administration hammered a revised North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) by pressuring Mexico and then strong-arming Canada to the tentative deal. The White House’s objective is either to redefine the terms on the basis of U.S. economic leverage and unipolar geopolitics or - if that is not acceptable to other parties - to withdraw the U.S. from such FTAs. It is not “either you are with us or against us,” as in the Bush years, but “America First - or nothing.”
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
How Trump Tariffs Could Double America’s Trade Losses / Economics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
Trump tariffs are based on flawed doctrines, which could penalize the US as much as its trade deficits. Last Friday, President Trump threatened to impose tariffs on $267 billion in Chinese goods, on top of the additional $200 billion that he said will likely be hit with import taxes in a matter of days.
If the tariff stakes will increase up to $500 billion, it could penalize Chinese GDP by 1%, but the US GDP, which is relatively more vulnerable, would suffer a net impact of 2% of GDP. In dollar terms, the consequent tariff damage could prove even higher than the current U.S. trade deficit with China and thus double the damage.
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here! John Lewis 99% Profits CRASH - Retail Sector Collapse / Stock-Markets / Retail Sector
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This week the mainstream press has been busy focusing on remembering the 'start' of the financial crisis of September 2008 "Lehman's Brother Collapse" that most of whom never saw coming. In act the financial crisis actually began much earlier than September 2008 with the first obvious signs of a credit crisis brewing being the collapse of two Bear Stearns hedge funds during July 2007, but it would take the mainstream financial press another year before they started to connect the dots for the train wreck well in motion.
Thursday, September 13, 2018
Trading Cryptocurrencies: To Win, You Must Know Where You're Wrong / Currencies / BlockChain
By: EWI
See how Elliott wave analysis helped traders reduce risk in Litecoin's recent price action
Dear readers, if a story about the get-rich-quick promises of cryptocurrency trading is what you seek, keep on moving.
Rest assured, that story exists. It's all over the interwebs, in one form or another: jazzy headlines about average Joe So-and-So turning $1k into $1 million overnight in the crypto markets.
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Gold, Silver, and USD Index - Three Important “Nothings” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Today’s analysis is going to be different than the other ones. We usually discuss what happened on a given day, week, or month and we elaborate on what it changed and what it didn’t change in case of the outlook for gold, silver, and mining stocks. But not today. Today, we are going to focus on what didn’t happen. At the first sight it seems that this means that there was no new signal. That’s not the case. The three important “nothings” that we will discuss in today’s article have important implications for the following days. That is if one knows where to look.
Let’s start with the first chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Precious Metals Sector On a Long-term SELL Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
In his weekly precious metals market update, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Does Gambling Regulation Work - A Case Study / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Submissions
Sunil Singh writes: Time and time again, we as a species have tested the notion of prohibition, and time and time again, it completely fails. It doesn’t matter whether it’s alcohol in the 1930s, cannabis since the 1960s, or banned Western movies in the likes of Soviet Union and North Korea. If people want to do something, they will find a way. One of the largest problems with prohibition is that it gives rise to a black market. Depending what is being prohibited, this can have rather dangerous consequences. We’ve all heard the stories of poisonous liquor pushed out by the mob in prohibition America. Likewise, recreational drugs distributed on black markets have absolutely no quality control. Examples where a policy of decriminalisation or legality show how sensible regulation is more effective than outright prohibition. Do you think you’d be able to buy a bag of cannabis tainted with fibre glass to increase its weight from a licensed dispensary in Colorado? Well, you can in the UK where the substance is still illegal.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
AUD/NZD in an Uptrend / Currencies / Austrailia
By: FXOpen
The Aussie dollar is under pressure versus the New Zealand dollar as AUD/NZD remains in a decent uptrend above 1.0850.
Key Points
- AUD/NZD is in a decent uptrend above the 1.0850 support area.
- There is a major ascending channel in place with support at 1.0870 on the daily chart.
Wednesday, September 12, 2018
The Ritual Burial of the US Constitution / Politics / US Politics
By: Raul_I_Meijer
In the wake of a number of the Lehman and 9/11 commemorations in America, and as a monster storm is once again threatening to cause outsize damage, we find ourselves at a pivotal point in time, which will decide how the country interacts with its own laws, its legal system, its Constitution, its freedom of speech, and indeed if it has sufficient willpower left to adhere to the Constitution as its no. 1 guiding principle.
The main problem is that it all seems to slip slide straight by the people, who are -kept- busy with completely different issues. That is convenient for those who would like less focus on the Constitution, but it’s also very dangerous for everyone else. Americans should today stand up for freedom of speech, or it will be gone, likely forever.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
Stock Market Final Probe Higher ... Then the PANIC! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX closed above Short-term support at 2887.58, but SPX futures are challenging it this morning. Despite the cross-currents, there is room for yet another probe higher that may last until early afternoon (near 1:00 pm). That will be the 60th hour and 8.6 days from the top.
Looking at today’s economic calendar, the most intriguing item at 1:00 pm is the 10-Year T-Note Auction.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
US Economy We’re Close to “As Good as it Gets”, But Not Quite There / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index just surged to its highest level ever.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
This Will Be the Mother of All Minsky Moments / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: John_Mauldin
We have all had the fun as kids of going to the beach and playing in the sand. Remember taking your plastic bucket and making sandpiles? Slowly pouring the sand into ever bigger piles, until one side of the pile starts to collapse?In his very important book Ubiquity, Why Catastrophes Happen, Mark Buchamane wrote about an experiment with sand that three physicists named Per Bak, Chao Tang, and Kurt Wiesenfeld conducted in 1987.
In their lab at Brookhaven National Laboratory in New York, they started building sandpiles, piling up one grain of sand at a time. It’s a slow process, so they wrote a computer program to do it. Not as much fun but a whole lot faster.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
Gold Nuggets And Silver Bullets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Kelsey_Williams
It is very difficult to let go of someone – or something – when we have invested so much time and energy in it. It is even harder when we have invested so much of ourselves in it; when the outcome is not what we expected; when our reputation is at stake.
In this particular case, that something is gold and silver.
The emotional proclamations just a few weeks ago seemed quite strong, almost being religious in their fervor. But after two thrusts of the dagger to the heart, the explanations afterwards seem a bit hollow.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
For Gold, It's All About the Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss the factors that they believe could cause a powerful rally in gold.
Positioning, sentiment and market structure favor a powerful rally in gold. The COTs released by the CME on September 7, 2018, show the gross speculative short position grew 1.3% to 213,259 contracts, just shy of the all-time record set two weeks ago. On a net basis, speculators are short 13,500 contracts, the largest short position since December, 2001. The commercial net short position collapsed into negative territory for the first time since December, 2001 at -6,525 contracts. In other words, commercials are now net LONG, a very rare occurrence historically seen only at major turning points.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
How Bitcoin Will Make You Big Money Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you are a Bitcoin fan or looking for the next opportunity for a Bitcoin rally, you may not have long to wait before a price breakout takes place. Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believes a price breakout may occur before the end of 2018 – the only question is will it be a breakout rally or a breakdown crash before the next mega rally?
Cryptos and, in particular, Bitcoin has increased in popularity and adoption over the past 24 months across the globe. Recently, Citigroup has announced new technology making Crypto transactions more secure and reducing the risk of such transactions. Additionally, Circle recently announced a US Dollar based Crypto-currency that is backed by Goldman-Sachs. News from Europe is that the EU has been urged to adopt common Crypto-Currency rules that will fuel more attention and enterprise on developing suitable Crypto solutions for the European markets.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
Bitcoin Trading - SEC Strikes Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Bitcoin has moved up a bit since the very recent decline. The SEC has just suspended two Bitcoin vehicles. The volume is pretty thin. Is a new rally budding? Or do these events point to a precipitous decline?
The memory of the SEC turning down prospective Bitcoin ETFs is still fresh in memory and now the agency has made the headlines again as it halted two Bitcoin trading vehicles in the U.S. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Announced on Sunday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued an order seeking to suspend the trading of the Bitcoin Tracker One and Ether Tracker One exchange-traded notes, issued by XBT Provider AB, a Swedish-based subsidiary of the U.K. firm CoinShares Holdings.
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
Gold Price Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the second article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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