Saturday, March 05, 2016

More and More Fed Officials Calling For NIRP / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed Vice-Chair has begun laying the groundwork for NIRP.

The US Federal Reserve is obsessed with market reactions to its policies. Because of this, anytime the Fed plans to announce a major change in policy, it preps the markets via numerous leaks and hints… oftentimes for months in advance.

An excellent example of this concerns the Fed’s decision to taper QE back in 2013.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Rally Nearly Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 1948. On Monday the market rallied to SPX 1958, then sold off to 1932 by the close. Tuesday, however, kicked off a rally with a gap up opening that carried the market to SPX 2009 by Friday afternoon. Then after a pullback to SPX 1993 the market closed 2000. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.45%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.50%, and the DJ World index gained 4.0%. On the economic front reports again came in negatively biased again. On the uptick: construction spending, ISM manufacturing, the ADP, factory orders, monthly payrolls and the GDPn. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, auto sales, ISM services, the WLEI, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims increased. Next week two FED speeches on tap Monday, then the ECB meets on Thursday.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Stock Market VIX Short-Term Bottoming Candle?....Bullish Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

So many questions. Not sure I have all the answers you're looking for, but we can do our best to try and understand what's taking place. The VIX has been in a stealth down trend off the top. Other than the occasional up day, it had not had the classic gap-down day that turned hollow at the end of the day.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Gold Stocks Reverse at Resistance Targets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Two weeks ago, regarding the miners we wrote:

If it (GDXJ) surpasses its 80-week moving average then its next target is $27-$28. Meanwhile, GDX is holding above previous resistance at $18. Its next strong resistance targets are $21 and $22.

Earlier today GDX and GDXJ came within pennies of $21 and $29 respectively while Gold touched $1280 before reversing. While Gold and gold stocks could continue a bit higher, their rebound may have ended Friday morning.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Financial Repression - Margin Rules Changes Force New Private Funding of Public Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long and Dan Amerman have an in-depth conversation covering various topics such as Financial Repression, Quantitative Easing, devious actions of the Fed and much more.

Daniel R. Amerman is a Chartered Financial Analyst, author, and speaker, with BSBA and MBA degrees in Finance, and over 30 years of professional financial experience. As an investment banking vice president in the 1980s he did groundbreaking work in the security originations and asset/liability management areas, including CMO/REMIC originations as part of portfolio restructurings for financial institutions, as well as the creation of synthetic securities for institutional clients. As an independent quantitative analyst in the 1990s and 2000s, he structured mortgage-backed bond financing and provided analytical services for real estate acquisitions by multifamily and commercial real estate owners, investment banks, and tax-exempt issuers.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Gold Price and Gold Stocks Launch! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

While at near-term risk, the gold sector is launching, not blowing off

Okay, the title of the post is a bit of a joke at this late stage of the rally because it sounds like hype and we have actually been calling the move in the gold sector a potential launch for weeks now, since gold and HUI each busted through their bear market limiters, the EMA 75 and EMA 55, respectively.

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Walkers Crisps UEFA Champions League Wins Prizes Delivery - Footballs and Sharing Bowls Unboxing / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Adnaan_Walayat

It's now just over 3 weeks since I first started entering the codes off of walkers crisps packets in their UEFA Champions League Game-Ready promotion and today I received my first delivery of prizes won, 6 footballs and 3 sharing bowls. Find out what they actually look like and what quality of the items is like in this video:

Friday, March 04, 2016

US Jobs Report 242,000 Jobs: 304,000 Were Part-Time; Average Weekly Earnings Sank / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Jobs came in well above expectations at 242,000 despite tax data collections that support a Job Growth estimate of 55,000 to 85,000 .

A quick dive into the details shows the report is a lot weaker than the headline number indicates. Of the 242,000 jobs added, 304,000 of them were part time. That means the economy actually shed 62,000 full-time jobs.

Average hours worked declined as did average weekly earnings despite minimum wage hikes in numerous states at the beginning of the year.

Friday, March 04, 2016

This Is the Only Way to Buy Gold Without the Government Tracking You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Casey_Research

In place of our regular daily market commentary, we’re going to warn you about an extremely dangerous trend in government surveillance.

E.B. Tucker, editor of The Casey Report, has found a unique way to protect yourself…but the window of opportunity is closing fast.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Massive Gold Investment Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s powerful surge in 2016 has been driven by utterly massive investment buying.  This is a marked sea change from recent years, where investors relentlessly pulled capital out of gold.  But with that dire sentiment reversing, they are rushing back in with a vengeance.  Major investment capital inflows into gold are an exceedingly-bullish omen, as they are what transform a mere gold rally into a new bull market.

With gold enthusiasm growing, it’s easy to forget how radically different things looked just a few months ago.  Back in mid-December the day after the Fed hiked rates for the first time in 9.5 years, gold dropped to a miserable 6.1-year secular low of $1051.  The popular level of antipathy towards this asset class by investing professionals was mind-boggling.  They universally believed it was doomed to keep spiraling lower.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Silver Price Buy Signal – 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The gold to silver ratio has been used for years to indicate buy and sell zones in both gold and silver.  Why?

• At BOTTOMS in both gold and silver, based on 40 years of history, silver prices have fallen farther and faster than gold. Hence the gold/silver ratio reaches a relative high.

• At tops in both gold and silver the ratio is often low since silver rises more rapidly than gold. As Jim Sinclair says, “silver is gold on steroids.”

Friday, March 04, 2016

Lies, Damn Lies, & BLS Economic Statistics / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: James_Quinn

“There are three types of lies — lies, damn lies, and statistics.” ― Benjamin Disraeli

It’s my favorite day of the month. The Bureau of Lies & Scams issues their double seasonally adjusted, massaged to provide a happy ending, birth death adjusted unemployment propaganda, designed to keep the masses in the dark about their own dire financial circumstances. Even though the equally manipulated GDP is at 1% or below, retail sales are plunging, corporate profits plummeted by 15% in the 4th quarter and Challenger & Grey corporate layoff announcements were up 42% in January versus last year, our fraudulent friends at the BLS announced glorious employment figures this morning.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Gold Special Update… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Last week I showed you a daily line chart for GLD which I called a coiling triangle as the price action was getting more compressed as it traded toward the apex. This daily line chart shows the breakout and backtest. Most technicians are aware of the triangle consolidation pattern but its implications may not be understood by most.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Stock Market Pop-n-drop is Probable...or Maybe just a Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

As mentioned last night, the algos took the SPX futures to 2002.50 before rolling over. This appears to be the final probe of the rally. Although the Premarket may currently show a positive number, chances are that the market may open in the red.

The only reason that I can give for this final surge is that the 61.8% retracement level is 1999.44.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Gold Has Surged 24% In Sterling Year To Date on Brexit and Sterling Concerns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold has surged another 4% this week to bring year to date gains to 20% in dollar terms, 19% in euro terms and 24% in sterling terms. We were interviewed by PickingAlpha.com yesterday afternoon and looked at what is currently driving gold prices higher in all currencies.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Stock Market Technicals Stay Strong Despite Early Morning Dip / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a really good session, even though they were down in the morning, and looked like they could be breaking, especially the Nasdaq 100. Both the advance-decline and up/down volume were very strong, even during the down part of the session. It led me to believe we would get a rally, and we did, taking the S&P 500 to new highs, but the Nasdaq 100 closed down on the day.

Friday, March 04, 2016

France Threatens UK With Migrants War if British People Vote for BrExit Freedom from EU / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In the run up to Britain's EU referendum the true colours of the European Union are being revealed as FEAR and THREATS dominate the REMAIN camps agenda. Today we saw the British Prime Minister David 'Chamberlain' Cameron on a podium with President 'Napoleon Complex' Hollande, who proceeded to threaten Britain with a 'Migrant War', one of literally opening the flood gates of hell should the British people vote for Freedom from the emerging European Superstate (EUSSR).

Friday, March 04, 2016

Gold Trading Hardest Strategy to Let Your Winners Run / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

One of the hardest things to do in this business is to let your winners run. For whatever reason we are programmed to expect reversals. It’s why so many people try to trade against the trend. I’ve seen it in full display over the last 5 weeks as trader after trader has tried to pick the top of the run in metals. Many even trying to short the sector.

I made that mistake many times myself in my early career. Folks a sustained trend doesn’t come around all that often, when you get one you have to ride it for all it’s worth. That’s how the big money is made. And I’ll say this again. Never, never, never short a baby bull. They are unpredictable and extremely aggressive. They almost always go much further than anyone expects. Why? Because everyone has become conditioned for failure by the bear market that preceded it. This is the fuel for a much more sustained move than most people anticipate. Invariably there is a steady stream of top pickers all the way up. They either sell way too early, or they try to short the rally over and over as a revenge trade for missing the move.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Short Squeeze in Treasuries? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Day 43 came and went with a small throw-over of the trendline at the close. This final thrust made 21 waves (an impulse) from 1931.88 to today’s close, so I don’t see how they can add any more waves to it.

The normal amount of time in a counter-trend rally is 21 days in a bear market, and often much shorter. Today is day 21 from the February 11 low, so it appears to have fulfilled the time requirement. One of my Swing Models suggested February 26 would give us the turn, but it is now 6 calendar days overdue. Since tomorrow is 4.3 market days from my projected “swing high,” I had originally suggested that tomorrow would be the first low of the decline. I will eat crow over that call.

Friday, March 04, 2016

Behold the New Gold Bandwagon. . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger says we are actually back in a bona fide, brand-spanking-new, bull market in gold and the gold miners.

As I was busy last evening returning a myriad of emails regarding the near-term outlook for gold and silver, I was suddenly hit with the realization that we really are actually BACK in a bona fide, brand-spanking-new, bull market in gold and the gold miners.