Friday, January 13, 2017
A Bullish Case for Gold 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: David_Galland
Dear Parader,
This week, I am happy to present an article by dear friend and business partner Olivier Garret, who makes the case for gold under President Trump.
While Olivier is biased, given he founded the Hard Assets Alliance, I think you’ll find his logic is sound.
My personal concern remains the strength of the US dollar. “The Super-Dollar” is the lead story in the current edition of Compelling Investments Quantified, our premium—and very profitable—monthly investment letter.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Will Stocks Bull Market Continue to Charge or is it Time to Sell the News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
For a long time, our theme was to view all sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens as the trend based on our trend indicator was trading firmly in bullish territory. Secondly, one critical psychological component was in our favour too - the masses were either bearish or they cursed this market from the sidelines (neutral camp); hence the slogan the most hated bull market in history. We must deter for a second by stating that a mild or brutal correction comes down to what level you embraced this market. If you embraced this Stock Market Bull in the early stages from 2009-2011, then a mild correction would seem brutal or back breaking in comparison to someone who just jumped into the market. A 15-20% correction would knock the socks out of them, but for you, it would appear to be nothing but a blip; this is why we have consistently stated that the best time to open long positions when the masses are in a state of despair.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Gold and Silver Off To Shining Start to 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Jeff_Berwick
Bitcoin stole the headlines in the first week of 2017, rising nearly $200 in the first two days of the year before swiftly giving back those gains and more since.
Quietly, however, gold and silver have gotten off to an excellent start to the year.
Gold began the year at $1,154 and has rarely looked back, rising to over $1,200 on Thursday.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Gold Current Wave [B] – Long to 1550 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Submissions
Enda Glynn writes: My Bias: Long towards 1550
Wave Structure: ZigZag correction to the upside.
Short term wave count: Upside from 1120~, target 1500
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (B) at 1500
Important risk events: USD: Core Retail Sales m/m, PPI m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Core PPI m/m, FOMC Member Harker Speaks, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment.
Friday, January 13, 2017
Gold’s Fundamental Outlook for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Predicting, especially the future, is very difficult. Still, let’s try to figure out what investors should expect from the gold market next year. For sure, in the long run, the price of gold will mainly depend on the U.S. dollar, the real interest rates, and the market uncertainty. How will these factors develop and affect the gold market?
Friday, January 13, 2017
Is trading stocks and shares just as luck-based as roulette? / Stock-Markets / Gambling
By: Submissions
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Friday, January 13, 2017
CIA Tries to Strong-Arm Trump into War With Russia / Politics / Intelligence Agencies
By: Mike_Whitney
Powerful elites are using the credibility of the US Intelligence agencies to demonize Russia and prepare the country for war. This is the real meaning of the “Russia hacking” story which, as yet, has not produced any hard evidence of Russian complicity.
Last week’s 25-page report, that was released by the Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, illustrates to what extent intelligence is being “fixed around the policy”. Just as the CIA generated false information related to Weapons of Mass Destruction to soften public resistance to war with Iraq, so too, the spurious allegations in the DNI’s politically-motivated report are designed to depict Russia as a growing threat to US national security.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Stock Market Unlucky Friday the 13th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market is nearing the ten week cycle low from November 4th, 2016. The daily Bollinger bands are tightly squeezed together suggesting a break-out one way or the other (an expansion of volatility). The SPX broke the uptrend line today only to close back above the line. Normally, this is a sign of strength, but the OBV did not confirm the recent highs suggesting the smart money has already moved away from the market. I would call this a sign of weakness.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Biggest Challenge of 2017 Directly Ahead for Gold, Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Clif_Droke
If you thought the pace of the head-spinning political events of the last two months couldn't get any faster, think again. One of the most critical decisions of President-Elect Trump's reign will soon be decided. The final verdict will have a direct impact on the direction of stocks, gold, and the economy in the months to come.
The decision in question is the Congressional challenge being made against the Affordable Care Act (ACA), also known as Obamacare. Specifically, the requirement that individual Americans carry health insurance or else pay a stiff financial penalty is being challenged. Earlier this week, Trump directed the Republican-led Congress to begin efforts at repealing and replacing the health care law "very quickly."
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Trump CIA Like Nazi Germany - Fake MI6 Intelligence leaked to Fake News Mainstream Media / Politics / Intelligence Agencies
By: Nadeem_Walayat
President Donald Trump at his first press conference let rip into the mainstream press (CNN in particular) as he reacted to the CIA secret police's leaking of another MI6 dodgy dossier to the mainstream press, calling it all 'Fake News', fake intelligence by something that could have come out of Nazi Germany. Yes that's right the President Elect of the United States effectively likened the CIA to being like something out of Nazi Germany, pumping out propaganda in only the agencies own self interests which has been the reality for the duration of the spy agencies existence, it's just that to date not even a senior US politician let alone the President himself has ever spoken so candidly of the true nature of the beast that has held an iron grip over the United States, that has subverted democracy for decades by means of time tested tools for destroying lives of anyone who got in the unelected agencies way.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
SPX has Fallen Beneath the Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has declined beneath the trendline, putting it on an “aggressive sell.” A confirmed sell may be had beneath the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2247.13 and a breakout above the 50-day Moving Average on the VIX.
ZeroHedge comments, “Despite the latest Small Business Optimism explosion of confidence (in December), the most up-to-date surveys of US consumer confidence appear to be crumbling after the 'Trump Bump'...
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Thursday, January 12, 2017
Massive VIX Stock Market Warning for all Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
My analysis of the recent VIX action is clearly warning of a potentially massive price volatility increase in the US and global markets. Many traders use and trade the VIX as a measurement of volatility. The VIX is a measurement of the expected market volatility over the next 30 days. As the VIX rises, traders expect larger and more volatile price swings. As the VIX declines, traders expect smaller and more narrow price swings.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
USD in Decline. SPX and TNX May Follow / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The USD is in decline, challenging its 50-day Moving Average at 10.99 by declining to 100.70 this morning. The USD has a high correlation to equities and an inverse correlation to treasuries and gold.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
Gold Rallies To $1,207 After Trump Press Conference Shambles / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
Gold has rallied to $1,207/oz today as stocks globally have weakened after the first press conference of incoming President Trump turned into a bit of a debacle.
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Thursday, January 12, 2017
Crude Oil Prices Running Out Of Reasons To Rally / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil prices faltered at the start of the second week of the year, as fears set in about a rapid rebound in U.S. shale production. For the better part of two months, optimism surrounding the OPEC deal has buoyed oil prices, but bullish sentiment from speculators are showing early signs of abating, raising the possibility that the oil rally is running out of steam.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
CIA War On Trump - Leaks Fake MI6 Intelligence to Fake News Broadcast Media / Politics / Intelligence Agencies
By: Nadeem_Walayat
President Donald Trump at his first press conference let rip into the mainstream press (CNN in particular) as he reacted to the CIA's leaking of another MI6 dodgy dossier to the mainstream press, calling it all 'Fake News', fake intelligence by something that could have come out of Nazi Germany. Yes that's right the President Elect of the United States effectively likened the CIA to being like something out of Nazi Germany, pumping out propaganda in only the agencies own self interests which has been the reality for the duration of the spy agencies existence, it's just that to date not even a senior US politician let alone the President himself has ever spoken so candidly of the true nature of the beast that has held an iron grip over the United States, that has subverted democracy for decades by means of time tested tools for destroying lives of anyone who got in the unelected agencies way.
Thursday, January 12, 2017
Obama’s Deplorable Last Hurrah / Politics / US Politics
By: Stephen_Lendman
On Tuesday evening, Obama delivered his self-styled farewell address - as demagogic and duplicitous as all his others.
A separate article discussed what he left unexplained - the enormous harm he inflicted on humanity at home and abroad throughout his tenure.
His farewell address included a recitation of democratic rights he abhors - “among them life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness,” freedoms he spent eight years destroying at home and abroad.
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Thursday, January 12, 2017
Stock Market Drops After Trumps Biotech Pricing Comments, Impressive Come Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market had a very volatile day today as the indices went up in the morning, down in the afternoon on news that Trump is going to make the biotech companies accountable for pricing, rallied back up, came back down to retest, held, and then put on a very impressive afternoon rally that took the indices back into the plus column, to close up on the day.
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Thursday, January 12, 2017
How Debt Differs in China, the US and Japan / Interest-Rates / China Debt Crisis
By: Dan_Steinbock
Unlike advanced economies, China remains better positioned to overcome its debt challenges, due to the nature of is debt, level of development and economic fundamentals. Change is coming – but after fall.In recent months, China has managed to stabilize growth. Nevertheless, stabilization has required capital controls, continued lending and repeated interventions. Due to efforts to stabilize the renminbi, for instance, China’s foreign-exchange reserves fell to $3 trillion last month; the lowest since spring 2011.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2017
2017: Year of Market and Economic Extremes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Clif_Droke
Now that another New Year is upon us, it's time to reflect on what the coming months might unfold. Normally when market analysts try their hand at predicting the year ahead it involves either wild guessing or linear extrapolation based on prevailing trends. I tend to eschew both methods and instead focus on comparing past events in comparable time frames. This method is based on something known as Kress cycle "echo" analysis and was pioneered by my late mentor, Samuel J. Kress.