Wednesday, March 01, 2017
Art Market Bubble Bursting – Gauguin Value Collapses 74% To $22 Million / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Art Market Bubble Bursting?
– Russian Billionaire Takes 74% Loss On “Investment”
– $85 Million Gauguin Bought By Dmitry Rybolovlev in 2008
– Christie’s auctioned the work at its evening sale in London
– Global art sales plummet, but China rises as ‘art superpower’
– China soon to dominates global art and gold market
– Art price volumes doubled since 2009
– As currencies debase super rich seek out stores of value
– Gold remains accessible store of value for all
– Stocks, bonds and many assets at record prices
– Gold half it’s real price in 1980
Wednesday, March 01, 2017
Stock Market Delayed Correction Means Bigger Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
At some point the stock market needs to break the price trend line to confirm a daily cycle decline. The longer they prevent the natural profit taking correction from occurring the bigger the crash will have to be to break that trend line.
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Wednesday, March 01, 2017
Next Crude Oil Price Rally? Futures Say Market Is Tightening / Commodities / Crude Oil
U.S. oil inventories are at record levels, but there are a few glimmers of hope that the glut could be starting to subside.
Storing crude oil for sale at a later date is no longer profitable, as the futures curve has flattened out in recent weeks, depriving traders of a strategy that has served them well over the past few years. The market “contango,” in which front-month oil contracts trade at a discount to oil futures six months or a year out, has all but vanished. The differential must be large enough to cover the cost of storage, and for many time spreads that is no longer the case. After three years of a steep contango, storing oil simply to take advantage of the time spreads is increasingly uneconomical.
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Wednesday, March 01, 2017
Gold – It’s Still All About The US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The US dollar is the world’s reserve currency. And that isn’t likely to change in any radical way, anytime soon. Unless there is some kind of calamitous implosion of the dollar. I am talking about outright rejection and repudiation. And that could happen. The problem is that there isn’t another currency that could likely take its place.
By the time that possibility becomes a reality, any possible candidates would likely be in worse shape. This includes the Euro and Chinese Yuan.
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Wednesday, March 01, 2017
NEW UNCOVERED INFORMATION: Why Central Banks Were Forced To Rig The Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
According to newly uncovered information in the gold market, it provides additional evidence of why the Fed, Central Banks and the IMF were forced to RIG the gold market. Actually, looking at this new information, I had no idea of the amount of Fed, Central Bank and IMF gold market intervention until I put all the pieces together.
Now, when I say “new information”, it pertains to new information and data that I dug up from older official documents. While most of the folks in the precious metals community realize that the Fed and Central Banks have sold gold into the market to depress the price, this new evidence puts the gold market it in an entirely DIFFERENT LIGHT.
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Wednesday, March 01, 2017
Trump Ramps Up US Military Debt Spending In Preparations for China War / Politics / US Military
President Trump's announcement to request Congress to increase annual US 'defense' spending by $54 billion (10%) to over $650 billion, some ten times that of the likes of Russia or Britain and approximately 40% of total global military spending. Which underscores the reality that there is nothing defensive about the scale of US military spending as the US is a global military empire that far out spends any other nation, where whilst the establishment media makes much of the Russian military threat in reality is a mere smoke and mirrors propaganda exercise as my 'Trump Reset' series of articles illustrates :
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Wednesday, March 01, 2017
The Rise and Decline of Four Little Dragons - Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore / Economics / Asian Economies
After a stunning growth performance, all four dragons are slowing and aging. In the absence of drastic policy changes, they are facing relative stagnation, says Dan Steinbock.
In The Four Little Dragons (1992), U.S. academic Ezra Vogel argued that the four little dragons—Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore—were the newly-industrialized economies, which had followed Japan's export-led growth model to prosperity. Unlike major advanced economies, which established their position in a century or two, the four dragons made their mark in just a few decades.
Wednesday, March 01, 2017
Stock Market Good Close, but Negative Finish to the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a soft session today. The day started out with a little 3-wave corrective down move that held the trendlines and bounced, but then they rolled over, and rolled over sharply. The Nasdaq 100 dropped from 5344 down to 5317, and the S&P 500 dropped from 2367 down to 2359. They bounced back sharply, failed at resistance, backed off to retest, and at the very end of the day in the last 15 minutes, they came on sharply, and parred back a lot of the losses, but still closed negative on the day.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Global Inflation Surges, Central Banks Losing Control and Triggered the Wage Price Spiral? / Economics / Inflation
Whilst in Britain, inflation focus is on the surge in prices following the BrExit vote that triggered a 20% drop in sterling which is slowly but steadily feeding its way through the supply chain and heralds a nightmare 2017 for already distressed retailers such as Tesco, Britain's biggest retailer that is literally facing a crisis which I have been covering in a series of videos the latest of which follows a BBC investigation into its 'fake' shelf prices duping customers into buying products at expired offer prices.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX has declined beneath its trendline and made a 47-66% retracement of its initial decline. It appears that it is now entering a third wave at a sub-minute or Micro degree. There is a lot of empty space to Short-term support at 2321.87. We may add a short position here.
A further decline beneath its earlier low at 2358.96 gives us further confirmation.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Gold Stocks Enormous Daily Slide / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
Yesterday was just another period of back-and-forth movement for gold, silver, the USD Index and even the general stock market – but not for precious metals mining stocks. Gold stocks and silver stocks plunged very visibly - there are very important implications of this move and they are not bullish.
Let’s take a closer look at the charts (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com), starting with the GDX ETF (proxy for both gold and silver stocks).
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Stock Market Correction Coming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The correction in the markets is coming. The markets will correct in the short term, which will allow them to move much higher in 2017. The short-term indicators of market momentum are overbought. The trend indicators are clearly still BULLISH!
President Trump’s cuts and his pro-business attitude have been sending U.S. stocks into new record high territory. This is a clear indication that investors are looking to the White House for inspiration. The SPX Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite Index are trading at all-time highs. They are extending the rally that began when President Trump was elected.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Peak Wealth and Peak Energy / Commodities / Energy Resources
You could perhaps say that this is part 4 in a series on -America’s- peak wealth, even if it was never intended to be such a series; it just happened. First, in a February 18 essay about declining economic growth, “Not Nearly Enough Growth To Keep Growing”, I said “..the Automatic Earth has said for many years that the peak of our wealth was sometime in the 1970’s or even late 1960’s”.
That prompted a reply from long-time Automatic Earth reader Ken Latta, which he turned into an article a few days later which I published on February 23 as “When Was America’s Peak Wealth?” Ken reasoned that America’s peak wealth was sometime in the late ’50s to early 60’s.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Trump Speech a Dollar Bust? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Good Morning!
The USD is in the limelight again today. It has failed to better the February 15 high at 101.75, giving USD a sharp Wave 2 correction last week. Yesterday it bounced off Intermediate-term support at 100.73, but was unable to even match its 50-day Moving average at 101.37. This morning’s high was 101.22. The Cycles Model suggests the next Master Cycle low may be due on March 8, but could extend as much as another week beyond. A Pi date occurs on March 13, which matches up with a possible low in SPX as well.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Market Forecasting - Want to "Get Ahead of the Game"? Try This / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
How to breach limitations of conventional market forecasting
In this new interview, Wayne Gorman, the head of our Educational Resources department, explains -- based on his 30-year experience as a Wall Street risk manager, trader and analyst -- how Elliott waves help you get "ahead of the game."
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Record-breaking 0% Credit Card for Spending Deals / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring
It’s impossible to plan for unexpected expenses, so those caught by surprise with breakdowns of white goods or even the necessity to replace a car will likely be hard-pressed to cover the cost at short notice. Fortunately for consumers who may not have a large enough nest-egg to dip into, there are an abundance of interest-free purchase credit cards to choose from that can help spread the cost.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Stock Market Crash If Trump Doesn’t Push Through the Tax Reform by 2018 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I’ve been doing a multipart series on the proposed tax reforms in Thoughts from the Frontline (subscribe here for free).
In part two, I talked about what I like about the Better Way proposal. In part three, I pretty much eviscerated the border adjustment tax (BAT).
I think it has the real potential to create a global recession. You’ll need to read the series to see why, but a lot of it has to do with simple game theory.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
Changes NATO Must Make To Remain A True Alliance / Politics / NATO
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND JACOB L. SHAPIRO : US Secretary of Defense James Mattis met with defense ministers from other NATO member countries in Brussels on Feb. 15. He had a message to deliver from the Trump White House.
The meeting was closed, but some of Mattis’s comments were released to the media: “America will meet its responsibilities, but if your nations do not want to see America moderate its commitment to this alliance, each of your capitals needs to show its support for our common defense.” He added, “America cannot care more for your children’s security than you do.”
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
This Chart Signals China’s Housing Bubble May Burst Soon / Housing-Market / China Housing Market
The probability that a real estate bubble may burst in China is rising. The financial sector heavily depends on real estate, which in turn exposes the entire Chinese economy to systemic risk. This link means that a downturn in real estate could soon spread to other areas of the Chinese economy if banks face liquidity shortfalls.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2017
US Border Adjustment Tax Could Lead to Another Great Depression / Politics / Great Depression II
The border adjustment tax is disruptive by its very nature. (I’m writing a series of articles about the good, the bad, and the ugly of this tax reform in Thoughts from the Frontline. Read Part 1 here).
In their defense, Paul Ryan and House Ways & Means Committee Chair Kevin Brady know everything I just said and probably agree with much of it. They believe the BAT’s negative effects will disappear quickly due to currency flows.
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