It was an important level to cross on the way to the 1980 high, evidenced by the fact that it came back to that level (after it blast through in Dec 1973) before setting off to that all-time high of $118 ($50 in nominal terms).

It sealed the silver bear market in 1984 when it broke down below the line, and the again in 1987, when it failed right at the line.

The recent rally also really ignited when it passed this important level. Based on the fractals that are present, I have no doubt that the recent cross of the $18 area sets silver up for a rally that will easily surpass the $118 inflation-adjusted high.

I have marked two fractals A to F (big fractal) and a to f (small fractal). When two fractals like these appear in this order, and in this manner, then the probability of taking the high of the bigger fractal out is really high.

Where the big fractal (A to F) had a decent rally after its low (F to a), the small fractal will likely have a huge rally after its low at f (and of course we are now in that rally). So, a small rally goes with the big fractal and a huge rally goes with the small fractal.

Confirmation of this comes when price takes out the level at point a (just higher than $50).

Short-term

Below, is a silver chart with a Pitchfork:

There is a very specific reason why I applied a Pitchfork here, and it has to do with the second chart in this piece.

Notice how the recent rally stopped exactly at the line. It is likely going through the line very soon. It is gunning for the top of the Pitchfork, and this will likely not take very long.

For more on this, and similar analysis you are welcome to subscribe to my premium service. I have also recently completed a Silver Fractal Analysis Report as well as a Gold Fractal Analysis Report.

Warm regards,

Hubert

“And it shall come to pass, that whosoever shall call on the name of the Lord shall be saved”

http://hubertmoolman.wordpress.com/

You can email any comments to hubert@hgmandassociates.co.za

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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