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FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

How German DAX on 3 Dec Confirmed a long term bull market– MAP WAVE Analysis

Stock-Markets / Germany Dec 06, 2012 - 01:10 PM GMT

By: Marc_Horn

Stock-Markets

Of the Indices I follow on the 3rd of December at 11:24 the DAX broke the high shown in the purple circle shown below!


This clearly is an insignificant moment in the history of time, however it confirms that the 2007 top cannot be Yearly pivot 5 of the 309 year cycle! It is either pivot Y1 or Y3. That is how fractal waves work! Hence the 2007 high is Quaterly pivot 3 and the 2009 low is Q4 so welcome to the next confirmed bull market (on the DAX at least)

I am in the process of updating my other charts on the assumption that the global economy is one unit, where in the West we are on yearly fractal wave 5 (corrupt socialist money for nothing societies) and the East is in wave 3 (productive wealth generation (think back when we in the West had child labour, factories spewing out smoke and dumping our rubbish into rivers etc. creating pollution and generating REAL wealth whilst creating a middle class and lifting people out of poverty) .

Those of you that have been follow my recent gold projections Gold Update 26 November will be aware that gold did not follow its projected line on the morning of the 4th December and received my update Gold - Long term downtrend to new lows before retest! .

Everything is effected and interlinked in ways that no one understands yet. We live in a complex physical-socio-economic system that is well beyond the control of the FED or our governments.

I really want to re-emphasize that MAP Wave Analysis, unlike Elliot Wave and Andrews Pitchforks, is a systematic methodical rule based approach,  and data is archived and updated in a format that is traceable. This allows easy evaluation of MAP Wave Analysis effectiveness when making investment decisions, as well as trace ability to improve the methodology. As a consequence of this break my rules now are less than one A5 (haf A4)  sheet of paper! The break answered many of my "exception list"!!!!

The excesses of the inflationary bubble, which started in uncontrolled and non accountable government government spending once the gold standard (I am not a believer in the gold standard, but it forced governments to restrain their spending - the best of the ideas tried to date!) was abandoned and the limitless QE programs of our central banks, we are going to experience over the next 3 years into mid 2015 when my projections show the ideal wave intersection top, is going to be like the final bubble top into the 1929 peak with a difference - fractal waves behave differently depending on in which fractal they fall in! We are in a bigger fractal wave 5!

You will know when we reach the bubble phase - once we break the QML (center gold line). We are on the 3rd retest - once it breaks through it will be retested but this time as support. If that holds then we enter the bubble phase - a minimum of 100% gain from that successful retest is how I define a bubble.

The excesses of our wonderful beloved democratically elected 2 party same paymaster so outcome is irrelevant system MUST be re-balanced. We can see that Y3 and  Y4 correction was a very simple correction for you EW followers! Expect very turbulent times ahead leading into the top, as well as a long period of redressing these excesses.

The debt MUST and WILL collapse - A step back into history how it was done last time

Franklin Delano Roosevelt signed Executive Order 6102 into law, prohibiting the “hoarding” of gold. Under this executive order, Americans were prohibited from owning more than $100 worth of gold coins, and all “hoarders” (i.e. people who owned more than $100 worth of gold) were forced, by law, to sell their “excess” gold to the government at the prevailing price of $20.67 per ounce.

Then, once the government had all the gold, FDR revalued the dollar relative to gold so that gold was now worth $35 an ounce. By simple decree, the government had thereby robbed millions of American citizens at a rate of $14.33 per ounce of confiscated gold, which is why most historians agree that the Gold Confiscation of 1933 is the single most draconian economic act in the history of the United States.

Do you really believe that those in power will not repeat this? They are by brainwashing the public that inflation is good and deflation is bad! Inflation is the ultimate tax that few understand and combined with zero interest rate policy - ZIRP will cause the next bubble by forcing people into stupid investments in order to try preserve their wealth!

How we choose to do it is what will make the difference and tell us the next fractal wave we are at!

MAP Wave Analysis, unlike Elliot Wave and Andrews Pitchforks are a systematic methodical rule based approach, details of which can be found either on my blog or here on The Market Oracle and data is archived and updated in a format that is traceable as shown in this SPX update, so that the system can be improved and used as a learning model. Additionally investors can evaluate its effectiveness when making investment decisions.

Click here to follow your duty of Use and copyright is described therein.:

Probabilities are derived from the MAP Analysis methodology described therein,

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For other articles published click here

For more information of how I do what I do http://mapportunity.wordpress.com/ . Comments and discussions very welcome!

The statements, opinions and analyses presented in this site are provided as educational and general information only. Opinions, estimates, buy and sell signals, and probabilities expressed herein constitute the judgment of the author as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice.

Nothing contained in this site is intended to be, nor shall it be construed as, investment advice, nor is it to be relied upon in making any investment or other decision.

Prior to making any investment decision, you are advised to consult with your broker, investment advisor or other appropriate tax or financial professional to determine the suitability of any investment.

© 2012 Copyright Marc Horn - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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