Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Gold and Mining Stocks are Approaching Bottom!

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 Oct 21, 2012 - 05:36 AM GMT

By: Darah_Bazargan

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarge concentrated amounts of volume will appear during the intial stages of an uptrend, which is a telling sign of forthcoming strength. It is a direct result of INSTITUTIONS that accumulate massive long positions at the start of a major move. But as time 'takes a toll' on the maturation of the bullish advance, its trend grows weaker on diminishing amounts of volume even when the stock is making new price highs. The interpretation is that investors are losing interest, and a top is near.


Likewise, in the case of a downtrend, new price lows on declining volume indicates that buyers are ‘eating up’ the supply, and the trend is ready to reverse. There are even occasions where the reversal transpires as a ‘volume spike’, but you see very little price movement. The message is that the extremity of selling pressure within the move lower has reached a point of exhaustion.

Based on the corresponding characteristics exhibiting in both Gold and the Miners, there is overwhelming evidence that supports their current down trending structure to be coming to an end. Let me explain.

The yellow metal has now entered the accumulation phase, where big firms initiate a ‘scale in’ approach to purchase blocks of millions of shares over a designated time frame. Since legally they cannot buy the entire shares float all at once, this strategy is widely used and seemingly more appropriate. Furthermore, the lack of selling participation associated with Gold’s most recent price decline, on top of the new money inflow, suggests that buying is in effect.


If this methodology happens to 'stretch' the actual turning point as sometimes is the case, my guess is that by the next 5- 8 trading days a bottom should present itself. Rarely do you see a correction last more than three, three and half weeks especially in the birth of a major uptrend.



Particularly when an index is so closely linked to the metal it tracks, yet is sensitive to the price performance of the overall market, its true direction can be skewed by such 'pulling' forces. Despite a 200 point drop in the DOW JONES Average on Friday (a mild re-enactment of the 25th year anniversary of Black Monday), and gold moving lower- the GDX actually closed positive on rather large ‘spike volume.’ This is a clear case of Investors that have seemingly found attractive valuations at current levels for reasons obvious - they are expecting a bottom.


The CC Report premium newsletter offers two subscriptions-$10/month or only $100/year. It is well worth the information you receive.

Darah
www.thecompletecoveragereport.blogspot.com

© 2012 Copyright Darah Bazargan - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in