Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trendsThe analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, August 20, 2016
Housing Bubble - The Marginal Buyer Holds The Pin That Pops Every Asset Bubble / Housing-Market / US Housing
Q: How much is my house worth?
A: Whatever the highest bidder is willing to pay for it.
Those of you who took an introductory Economics class in high school or college may remember learning that prices are set "at the margin". That's a fancy way to say that prices are set by the person (or people) willing to pay the most.
This person willing to pay top dollar is called the "marginal buyer". Most of us don't really think about him much, but he (or she) is very, very important.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Over a week has passed since the Bank of England base rate dropped to 0.25%, its lowest level in over 300 years. This has led to a spur in activity in the tracker mortgage market. The average two-year tracker mortgage deal has just broken the 2% barrier for the first time on record, according to the latest figures released by Moneyfacts.co.uk.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 10, 2016
Waiting out Bubble 1.0
I moved to Florida in 2005, just before the housing bubble peaked. Believing that prices couldn’t remain high, we bought a smaller home than we otherwise would have. Renting would’ve been nice, but we couldn’t find a rental in a school district we liked.
Home prices marched higher for six months or so, and the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index reached 206. Then things slowed down. By late 2006, it was obvious that the housing market had changed. We know what happened next.
Wednesday, August 03, 2016
BrExit House Prices Crash, Flat or Rally? UK Housing Market Affordability Crisis / Housing-Market / UK Housing
In the run up to the EU referendum the establishment REMAIN camp had peddled a perpetual year long story that UK house prices would collapse or crash if BrExit happened, as operation fear each month ramped up the threats of that which awaited a post Brexit Britain.
For instance George Osborne repeatedly issued doom warnings that likely contributed to his swift sacking by Theresa May
“If we leave the European Union there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... That affects the value of people’s homes and the Treasury analysis shows that there would be a hit to the value of people’s homes by at least 10 per cent and up to 18 per cent." - George OsborneRead full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 02, 2016
China’s Property Bubble Showing Parallels to the Subprime Crisis / Housing-Market / China Housing Market
The menacing fury of economic triggers that began piling up after the Great Recession are only getting larger and we can’t do much but watch it unfold and stay alert.
I wrote about this in a letter late last year, but now here we are more than halfway through the year and it’s only getting worse. So much worse that the Chinese property bubble is now
Monday, July 25, 2016
When looking back at the first half of 2016 it’s clear to see that the mortgage market has had a significant boost, resulting in some of the lowest rates on record. In fact, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that, since the start of this year, average rates across all fixed mortgage terms have fallen; the average two-year fixed rate has seen the biggest reduction, falling by 0.24% since January this year.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Among the biggest relative strength leaders in the U.S. broad market right now are the home builders and REITs. The U.S. real estate sector is heating up and is also beginning to attract “hot money” inflows from foreign investors looking for a profitable safe haven. Real estate is building a measure of momentum not seen since before the 2008 credit crash. As such, the question as to whether a renewed property market mania is underway is a timely one and will now be addressed.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 04, 2016
Year-on-year, the number of buy-to-let (BTL) mortgages has increased, so it would be fair to assume that the availability of deals for first-time landlords has also expanded. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the proportion of mortgage deals for new landlords has actually shrunk to a record low.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 03, 2016
UK House Prices BrExit Crash NOT Likely Despite London Property Market Weakness / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The establishment REMAIN camp peddled the same story for the UK housing market all year, one of a collapse, crash or worse! As operation fear each month ramped up the threats of that which awaited a post Brexit Britain. The house prices crash fear mongering even emanated direct from George Osborne himself who warned: “If we leave the European Union there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... That affects the value of people’s homes and the Treasury analysis shows that there would be a hit to the value of people’s homes by at least 10 per cent and up to 18 per cent."Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 29, 2016
Two weeks ago, I wrote about an upcoming New York City condominium listing for $250 million. I mention this because, as I’ve explained before, it’s always the tallest buildings and priciest condos to get hit during major downturns.
Just look at the early 1930s and mid-1970s marking peak bubbles if you don’t believe me!
Monday, June 27, 2016
Cash rebates were once a great way for providers to stand out in the highly competitive mortgage market. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that these deals have begun to fall from favour, resulting in the number of available deals dropping by a staggering 280 in just one year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 24, 2016
Wells Fargo recently announced a new mortgage product they are calling “A game changer in the industry.” According to the bank, this product is purported to facilitate the dream of homeownership to more people by …wait for it... lowering the down payment and out-of-pocket costs associated with a more conventional mortgage products, while also offering more consumer friendly income and credit guidelines.
This new product that those at Wells Fargo have declared “revolutionary” is called yourFirst MortgageSM and one has to imagine it must have been developed by somebody with a severe case of amnesia and who has recently suffered from a bad concussion.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
UK Fixed Rate Mortgages - Move Over Banks, Mutuals Offer Borrowers Better Deals / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Due to bigger banks taking greater advantage of the Government’s Funding for Lending Scheme to fund their mortgage books (and still having a significant sum of cash left to use), many would assume that mortgage rates from these providers would be significantly lower than those offered by the rest of the market. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk has found that building societies are actually the undeniable winners when it comes to mortgage deals.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
This Manhattan Condo’s $250 Million Price Tag Real Could Mean US Estate Bubble Is Ready to Pop / Housing-Market / US HousingI’ve been doing a lot of traveling lately. Our lease ran up at our home in Tampa many weeks ago, and my wife and I have been staying at several of our favorite spots up and down the east coast.
We’re in San Juan now, but last month I got a look at this new “billionaire’s row” that’s popped up on the south side of Central Park in New York.
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Tuesday, June 07, 2016
619,000 new homes were sold – the most since early 2008 just before the worst of the housing meltdown, and the highest rate of growth in 24 years.
So is this a sign that the economy is back on track?
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