Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, June 04, 2022
UK Housing Market Over Crowding Ratio / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The following is one of my custom UK housing market indicators that more clearly illustrates the degree of housing market crisis that Britain finds itself in as a ratio between the accumulative change in population since 1970 against the accumulative number of new completed house builds also since 1970 which shows the magnitude of the trend in over crowding of Britain's housing market that given recent mainstream press headlines based on academic studies clearly remain largely blind to the consequences of, because they still are unable to visualise the magnitude of Britain's housing crisis that has WORSENED since Britain voted to LEAVE the EU which should act as a warning to those who contemplate ever holding a second EU referendum, as it implies LEAVE would win by an even bigger margin next time!
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 02, 2022
UK House Building and Population Growth Analysis / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The below graph shows the UK annual population change against annual net additional dwellings which includes completed new builds.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 31, 2022
UK House Prices Trend Forecast 2022 to 2025 - Part 1 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This article is part 1 of my extensive analysis of the UK housing market that concludes in a detailed 3 year trend forecast.
UK House Prices Trend Forecast 2022 to 2025
THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND
WE HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO INVEST IN STOCKS AND HOUSING
High Inflation Forecast for Whole of this Decade Due to Rampant Money Printing
Fed Inflation Strategy Revealed
Russian Sanctions Stagflation Driver
RECESSION RISKS 2023
UK Debt Inflation Smoking Gun
Britains' Hyper Housing Market
UK Population Growth Forecast 2010 to 2030
UK House Building and Population Growth Analysis
UK Over Crowding Ratio
Overcrowding Implications for UK House Prices
UK Housing Market Affordability
UK House Prices Real Terms Sustainable Trend
UK House Prices Relative to GDP Growth
UK House Prices Momentum Forecast
UK House Prices and the Inflation Mega-trend
Lets Get Jiggy With UK INTEREST RATES
Is the US Yield Curve Inversion Broken?
UK house Prices and Yield Curve Inversions
Interest Rates How High WIll they Go?
Work From Home Inflationary BOOM?
Formulating a UK House Prices Forecast
UK House Prices 2022 to 2025 Trend Forecast Conclusion
Peering into the Mists of TIme
Risks to the Forecasts
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2022-2024
Tuesday, May 31, 2022
UK Population Growth Trend Forecast to 2030 Current State / Housing-Market / Demographics
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My long standing forecast is for the UK population to grow from 62.2 million as of Mid 2010 to at least 70.5 million by 2030 as excerpted below:
2nd August 2010 - UK Population Growth and Immigration Trend Forecast 2010 to 2030
The assumptions being factored into the UK population growth forecast are for a natural UK population growth rate of births exceeding deaths of 0.33% per year (current 200k), coupled with net average current immigration trend of 240k per year, supplemented with climate change refugees averaging 50k per year from 2015 onwards extrapolates into the following trend forecast over the next 10 years that targets a rise from 62.2 million as of mid 2010 to 67 million by mid 2020, and should the same trend be maintained beyond 2020 then the UK population could rise to above 72 million by mid 2030. However in all probability the country will not experience the post 2020 trend due to several converging factors including political pressures, capacity constraints and the UK's relegation in the economic prosperity leagues. Which implies a tapering off of net immigration in favour of natural growth which implies a lower total of nearer 70.5 million by 2030 as illustrated by the below graph.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 27, 2022
Britain's Hyper Housing Market / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
In Britain we have long since known and factored into the equation the China effect on London's property market that has long since sent it soaring into the stratosphere following the stagnation of the Mid 1990's which was probably one of the best times in decades to buy a property in terms of bang for ones buck i.e. it was before immigration soared into the stratosphere courtesy of the open door policy of Tony Blair's Labour government as the socialists enticed millions of eastern european's to come to the UK and become new Labour voters that sent house prices soaring across Britain and eventually putting housing out of the reach of many millions of prospective home buyers who enjoyed a brief respite in the aftermath of the great financial crisis when demand slumped along with the economy.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 17, 2022
This is Anything but Positive for US Housing Market / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
Has the rise in mortgage rates only begun?
A tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces appears to be playing out in the U.S. housing market.
On the one hand, some areas of the country are still experiencing record-high home prices as buyers outnumber sellers.
On the other, the number of home sellers who dropped their asking price spiked to a six-month high of 15% during a four-week period ending on May 1, according to a Redfin report released on May 6.
Another development that falls in the bearish category for residential real estate is rising mortgage rates.
Here's what the April Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a monthly publication which provides analysis of major U.S. financial markets, noted as it showed this chart:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 05, 2022
How To Make Money As A Landlord: A Simple Guide / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
By: Steve_Barker
If it's done right, being a landlord can be a very profitable endeavor. However, it's not as simple as just buying a property and sitting back, collecting rent checks. There are lots of things to consider beforehand, and you need to know what you're doing. In this article, we'll discuss the basics of how to make money as a landlord and give you some tips on how to get started.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 18, 2022
Useful Budgeting Tips for a Home Renovation / Housing-Market / Home Improvements
By: Steve_Barker
Are you in the process of planning a home renovation? If so, you're probably trying to figure out how to fit the project into your budget. It can be tricky to stay on track when working with a limited amount of money. But don't worry, you’re in the right place! This article will guide you through some tips to consider while budgeting for your home renovation.
Look at Cost vs. Value
When planning your budget, consider both the cost and the value of each renovation project. Some projects, like a new roof or windows, offer good value for the money. Other projects, like a kitchen remodel or home addition, may be more expensive, but can also increase the value of your home. It’s crucial to weigh up the cost and benefits of each project before deciding which ones to include in your budget. Knowing the average kitchen renovation cost worldwide will help you plan your kitchen renovation project budget.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 10, 2022
Important Things You Need To Consider Before Selling A Property / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Steve_Barker
House-selling is one of the most complex things that you'll ever do in your life. It's not just about choosing the right realtor or finding an ideal property, but there are some other factors that are just as important, so keep reading to find out what they are.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 22, 2022
Best Neighborhoods to Buy Real Estate in San Diego / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Umer_Mahmood
San Diego is known for immaculate weather and pristine beaches alongside a bustling downtown scene focused around PetCo Park and the Gaslamp district. While San Diego is not known for its affordable real estate, the area is still rapidly growing, and those who have the funds to spend can find some great neighborhoods that are rapidly growing.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 29, 2021
Should You Invest In Real Estate In 2021? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Submissions
Investing in real estate has the capability to steadily generate income, and is a viable long-term investment option. Then again, investing in real estate is a serious undertaking, and you have to be doubly sure before coming to a decision. You can use a real estate investments API to discern whether the time is ripe for buying or selling.
In the US, the real estate sector saw a steep rise in sales even during the pandemic last year. So considering it a seller’s market, the main question is whether you should invest in real estate in 2021 or not.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 09, 2021
Top Three Benefits You Should Know About Solar Integrated Panels / Housing-Market / Solar Energy
By: Submissions
It’s one sure fact that most of us are already aware of: more property owners are choosing to have solar panels, and most of these property owners are also opting for integrated or in-roof panel systems. If you have been thinking about it for some time now, you may have your questions. But if you would like nothing more than to produce energy and not rely too heavily on the grid, your solar installation is worth the investment. But what about in-roof or integrated solar panels – are they worth it as well? Here are the top three benefits you should know about solar integrated panels.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 01, 2021
4 Ways to Reduce the Housing Crisis in UK / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Mark_Adan
Given the house prices are rising by around 3% every year, with the current data revealing over a third of millennials will never be own a home, it is quite evident the housing market is still in a crisis. But are we making a big deal out of this than it needs to? Well, in this read, we are going to take a closer look at ways the housing market crisis could be averted in the United Kingdom.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 10, 2021
US Real Estate ETFs React To Rising Housing Market Mortgage Interest Rates / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As the Real Estate market shifts away from super-low interest rates and skyrocketing home prices throughout the COVID-19 crisis, we are starting to see the Real Estate ETFs weaken in trend and start to move lower. The recent rising Mortgage Rates will likely continue to weaken sales trends and push home prices a bit lower over the next few months. The Real Estate ETF, IYR, is already reflecting a roughly 10% decline in valuation since early September 2021.
In the first part of this research article, I shared a historical chart of the US Average Mortgage rate and some data suggesting the average US consumer is somewhat bound to certain home price constraints based on Average Income. Typically, mortgage payments should stay below 50% of the borrower’s total take-home income. Depending on the borrower and the home price, many US borrowers may already be priced out of the market – even with 3.25% interest rates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 08, 2021
Why a Peak in US Home Prices May Be Approaching / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
"Is it a good time to sell a house?"Some people buy a house solely as an investment.
Others want a better place to live -- perhaps more room for a growing family. The investment part is secondary. However, even people in this category would likely hold off on a purchase if they had an indication that lower home prices were just around the corner.
Well, there is such an "indication."
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 15, 2021
Types of Investment Property to Become Familiar with / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
By: Submissions
Real estate offers the opportunity to make money through rental income, appreciation, and profits generated by business activities. Nevertheless, you have to be ready to put down a considerable amount of money to begin investing. Property can be expensive. Therefore, you should plan your acquisition carefully and take into account taxes, repairs, utilities, and other mandatory expenses. There’s more risk involved in owning an investment property as opposed to investing in the stock market. To set yourself up for success, make sure that you’re ready to take the leap. Real estate investing isn’t for the faint of heart.
There are three main types of investment property you need to know. You’ll need a team of professionals to guide you through the buying process. If something were to go wrong, you should be able to reach out to the apt contractors to help you solve the issue in a timely manner. It’s recommended to do your homework. Do some research when putting together the team. Read as many online reviews as you can and consider asking friends and family for recommendations.
Thursday, September 09, 2021
This Boom-Bust Cycle in US Home Ownership Should Give Home Shoppers Pause / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
Here's "what happens when a consumption item becomes an investment item"
On a news / talk radio station in my local area, a commercial that frequently runs goes something like this:
"I buy all kinds of houses: big houses and small houses, condemned houses, foreclosed houses, 'my tenant won't pay the rent' houses ..." and on it goes. The speaker says he's a real estate investor and provides his phone number.
Real estate speculation like this helps drive home prices up across the country.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 03, 2021
Don’t Investing Tomahawk Yourself Just to Own a Home / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Jared_Dillian
A house is a terrible investment. But for a lot of people, it’s the best investment.
Let's unpack that…
Unless you buy a new house, you will probably spend up to 1% of the value of the house on maintenance every year.
Stuff breaks. Pipes burst, roofs leak, and occasionally the whole thing burns down. I live by the ocean, so the maintenance is relentless—constant leaks, not to mention the hurricanes. Plus, you have to pay to insure it, you have to pay the property taxes, and you have to pay for all the other stuff. And that's on top of the mortgage.
Thursday, August 26, 2021
6 Reasons Why You Should Consider Painting Your Home's Exterior / Housing-Market / Home Improvements
By: Submissions
Your home's exterior is the first thing visitors see when they come to your home. Home improvements such as exterior painting will give your home a remarkable appeal. Here are the reasons why you should consider painting your home's exterior.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 14, 2021
U.S. Housing Market: Not "a Bubble This Time Around"? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: EWI
Here's what usually coincides with a big decline in real estate pricesYou probably know that the U.S. housing market has been red hot.
A certified financial planner wrote a July 20 article for Kiplinger, mentioning the record price levels in many areas of the country, and then added a personal observation:
I witnessed the price rise first-hand. I recently returned from a family vacation in the North Carolina mountains, where many homes now sell for double or triple the price compared to just a couple of years ago.
Stories abound of buyers signing contracts on homes without even doing a walk through. Some real estate agents are advising buyers to forgo inspections, saying they will just slow the process.