Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trendsThe analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, October 09, 2016
This will be a bit different of a piece because we are not reporting on something that has already happened; we’re dealing with something that is ongoing and developing. Graham will handle roughly the first half of the article, then Andy will handle the second. Please bear with us as we try to break this editorial into two distinct pieces. You’ll understand as you read it why we chose to handle this in such a fashion.
Since everything in the blogosphere goes by what is officially declared by who, so forth, and so on, ditto, ditto, etc, etc, we are officially declaring there is yet ANOTHER bubble – this one in housing. Again. Perhaps ‘still’ is the proper word rather than ‘again since the first one never really was totally washed out of the system. As an addendum to our very well-received ‘American Economics’ piece, we’ll add a corollary: binges are good, purges are not to be tolerated unless absolutely necessary. If a purge becomes necessary, it will be only enough to give the Proletariat the idea that the problem is actually gone. A purge will never last longer than is absolutely necessary since that might affect consumer spending and the consumetariat’s voracious appetite for debt and financial self-mutilation.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 04, 2016
Borrowers with a separate mortgage and savings account are currently faced with rock-bottom savings rates, meaning they get little return for stashing their cash. By combining the two products into an offset mortgage, borrowers will not only be able to reduce the size of their mortgage, but save thousands of pounds in mortgage interest. They could be particularly beneficial at present, as research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the average offset fixed rate has fallen further.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 26, 2016
UK Property Equity Release Mortgage Customers Have Never Been Better Served / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Competition amongst equity release lenders has clearly intensified in recent years and it is now at a point where perspective equity release customers have never been better served in terms of choice and interest rates, according to the latest research by Moneyfacts.
In fact, there are now a total of 75 different lifetime mortgage equity release deals available, covering a wide spread of options and loan-to-values (LTVs), an increase of 63% on the number of deals available a year ago and more than double the total number three years ago.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 21, 2016
Potential Buy-to-Let (BTL) investors are continuing to enjoy a fall in mortgage rates, particularly those looking for a longer-term fixed rates. In fact, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that not only have these deals fallen to all-time lows, the average fixed rate at 75% loan-to-value (LTV) has fallen by 0.49% in just six months and is the first time this rate has fallen below 4.00%.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 20, 2016
I was more than happy to do that. I love London, even though it’s always cloudy and drizzly. But it was also a great opportunity to promote my new book, The Sale of a Lifetime (out now!), because it touches on many of the same themes I wanted to discuss with my British audience.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 30, 2016
The global real estate bubble is bursting.
After imposing a hefty 26% tax on foreign buyers, and a 12% to 16% surcharge for buyers who flipped their house between one and two years, Singapore real estate has declined 21.5%.
Vancouver has taken similar measures, and – surprise, surprise – its real estate is down 24% in just five months!
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 29, 2016
There’s trouble brewing in the Great White North.
Jared Dillian, former Lehman Brothers trader and noted financial writer, says that low oil prices have hurt the Canadian economy and the real estate market is near the peak of a massive bubble.
In a video interview with Mauldin Economics, Dillian notes he shorted the Canadian dollar almost three years ago, and has profited a great deal since then. He also says the structure of the Canadian mortgage market means that when the bubble bursts, it will look quite different than the sharp and sudden 2008 crisis in the US.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 29, 2016
The Pakistani housing market is booming and to a lesser degree is India's, in fact many areas of Pakistan are in the grip of a mania driven by the same forces that are driving the likes of the UK housing market into stratosphere, drivers such as the population explosion, government rampant money printing, all of which have driven what were deemed as being valueless properties as compared to those in the west a decade ago to levels that rival properties across most UK cities even when valued in sterling, dollars or euro's!Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 23, 2016
With some predicting a fall in house prices following the EU referendum vote, many potential first-time buyers are poised to take advantage of the moment to get themselves on the first rung of the housing ladder. However they might be disappointed, with research from Moneyfacts.co.uk showing a number of 95% loan-to-value (LTV) products disappearing from the market.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 20, 2016
Housing Bubble - The Marginal Buyer Holds The Pin That Pops Every Asset Bubble / Housing-Market / US Housing
Q: How much is my house worth?
A: Whatever the highest bidder is willing to pay for it.
Those of you who took an introductory Economics class in high school or college may remember learning that prices are set "at the margin". That's a fancy way to say that prices are set by the person (or people) willing to pay the most.
This person willing to pay top dollar is called the "marginal buyer". Most of us don't really think about him much, but he (or she) is very, very important.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Over a week has passed since the Bank of England base rate dropped to 0.25%, its lowest level in over 300 years. This has led to a spur in activity in the tracker mortgage market. The average two-year tracker mortgage deal has just broken the 2% barrier for the first time on record, according to the latest figures released by Moneyfacts.co.uk.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 10, 2016
Waiting out Bubble 1.0
I moved to Florida in 2005, just before the housing bubble peaked. Believing that prices couldn’t remain high, we bought a smaller home than we otherwise would have. Renting would’ve been nice, but we couldn’t find a rental in a school district we liked.
Home prices marched higher for six months or so, and the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index reached 206. Then things slowed down. By late 2006, it was obvious that the housing market had changed. We know what happened next.
Wednesday, August 03, 2016
BrExit House Prices Crash, Flat or Rally? UK Housing Market Affordability Crisis / Housing-Market / UK Housing
In the run up to the EU referendum the establishment REMAIN camp had peddled a perpetual year long story that UK house prices would collapse or crash if BrExit happened, as operation fear each month ramped up the threats of that which awaited a post Brexit Britain.
For instance George Osborne repeatedly issued doom warnings that likely contributed to his swift sacking by Theresa May
“If we leave the European Union there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... That affects the value of people’s homes and the Treasury analysis shows that there would be a hit to the value of people’s homes by at least 10 per cent and up to 18 per cent." - George OsborneRead full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 02, 2016
China’s Property Bubble Showing Parallels to the Subprime Crisis / Housing-Market / China Housing Market
The menacing fury of economic triggers that began piling up after the Great Recession are only getting larger and we can’t do much but watch it unfold and stay alert.
I wrote about this in a letter late last year, but now here we are more than halfway through the year and it’s only getting worse. So much worse that the Chinese property bubble is now
Monday, July 25, 2016
When looking back at the first half of 2016 it’s clear to see that the mortgage market has had a significant boost, resulting in some of the lowest rates on record. In fact, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that, since the start of this year, average rates across all fixed mortgage terms have fallen; the average two-year fixed rate has seen the biggest reduction, falling by 0.24% since January this year.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Among the biggest relative strength leaders in the U.S. broad market right now are the home builders and REITs. The U.S. real estate sector is heating up and is also beginning to attract “hot money” inflows from foreign investors looking for a profitable safe haven. Real estate is building a measure of momentum not seen since before the 2008 credit crash. As such, the question as to whether a renewed property market mania is underway is a timely one and will now be addressed.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 04, 2016
Year-on-year, the number of buy-to-let (BTL) mortgages has increased, so it would be fair to assume that the availability of deals for first-time landlords has also expanded. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the proportion of mortgage deals for new landlords has actually shrunk to a record low.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 03, 2016
UK House Prices BrExit Crash NOT Likely Despite London Property Market Weakness / Housing-Market / UK Housing
The establishment REMAIN camp peddled the same story for the UK housing market all year, one of a collapse, crash or worse! As operation fear each month ramped up the threats of that which awaited a post Brexit Britain. The house prices crash fear mongering even emanated direct from George Osborne himself who warned: “If we leave the European Union there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... That affects the value of people’s homes and the Treasury analysis shows that there would be a hit to the value of people’s homes by at least 10 per cent and up to 18 per cent."Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 29, 2016
Two weeks ago, I wrote about an upcoming New York City condominium listing for $250 million. I mention this because, as I’ve explained before, it’s always the tallest buildings and priciest condos to get hit during major downturns.
Just look at the early 1930s and mid-1970s marking peak bubbles if you don’t believe me!
Monday, June 27, 2016
Cash rebates were once a great way for providers to stand out in the highly competitive mortgage market. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that these deals have begun to fall from favour, resulting in the number of available deals dropping by a staggering 280 in just one year.Read full article... Read full article...