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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Friday, November 23, 2007

UK Housing Market to be Hit by the Big HIPs Freeze During December / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The British Government's decision to expand the requirement for ALL UK Home Sellers to provide a Home Information Pack as of 14th December 07, will likely result in a big freeze on transactions hitting the UK housing market from 14th December 07. As fewer properties are put onto the market and thereby less transactions take place. Whilst this could be construed as being short-term supportive of house prices, it will hit the housing sector hard, which includes mortgage lenders and estate agents that could see as much as a 25% drop in business over a short space of time, and therefore the expectations are for further shocks in the housing and financial sector, this time focused on estate agencies.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, November 18, 2007

Buyers Disappear From US Housing Market Fearing Further Falls in House Prices / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday, DataQuick released the Southern California real estate sales data for the month of October. For the first time since probably the mid-1990s all six counties show year-over-year declines in the median price led by Riverside County at -15 percent.

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Housing-Market

Friday, November 16, 2007

UK Housing Market Continues to Weaken, Nationwide Now Expects Zero 2008 House Price Growth / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The housing market analysts are belatedly starting to come to terms with the prospects of a falling UK housing market during 2008. Nationwide takes the first step on that road by now forecasting ZERO house price growth during 2008. This still remains some way from the Market Oracles forecast of a fall of 15% over 2 years as of 22nd August 07 and therefore suggests continuing downward revisions in Nationwide's forecasts during 2008 in the face of falling house prices.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

UK House Price Declines Gather Pace As Surveyors Report Falling Prices / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Sarah_Jones

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Survey today revealed that 22.2% more surveyors are reporting house price drops, compared with 14.9% in September. This was worse than market expectations of a minus 20% reading accompanied by a surge in stock on estate agent books of 8.8%.

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Housing-Market

Monday, November 12, 2007

US Housing Crash - History Repeating in Florida and Lessons from the Roaring 20's - Part 2 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

Part 1 - Perhaps the boom was due for a "healthy breathing-time…

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs a matter of fact, it was due for a good deal more than that. It began obviously to collapse in the spring and summer of 1926. People who held binders and had failed to get rid of them were defaulting right and left on their payments. One man who had sold acreage early in 1925 for twelve dollars an acre, and had cursed himself for his stupidity when it was resold later in the year for seventeen dollars, and then thirty dollars, and finally sixty dollars an acre, was surprised a year or two afterward to find that the entire series of subsequent purchases was in default, that he could not recover the money still due him, and that his only redress was to take his land back again.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 10, 2007

Crash in UK House Prices Forecast for April 2008 As Buy to Let Investors Sell on Capital Gains Tax Change / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Editors Note: Housing Market Forecast Updated December 2008 - UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe UK's property boom has to large part been fed by an army of buy to let investors (many of whom are amateur landlords). This is illustrated by the estimate of 1,000,000 buy to let mortgages, up from barely 20,000 ten years ago. However for some time new buy to let investors have been increasingly banking on capital gains rather then rental incomes covering the costs, which given the most recent HBOS statistics of 2 months of consecutive price drops for Sept and Oct 07, increasingly looks less likely going forward and hence primes the buy to let market to lead the stampede for the exit, resulting in a sharp drop in UK house prices.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 10, 2007

US Housing Crash - History Repeating in Florida and Lessons from the Roaring 20's - Part 1 / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

History has a mysterious way of creeping up on those that fail to study it. Somehow, with all the talking heads going crazy, you would think this housing market has no parallel in history. When you hear that the national median home price has never gone down there is always the caveat of “since the Great Depression.” I've written 3 articles about the Great Depression ( letter from a lawyer , letter from a president of a bank , and 3 main reasons why this bubble is worse ) highlighting eerie similarities of this credit bubble to the Roaring 20s.

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Housing-Market

Friday, November 09, 2007

UK Housing Bear Market Has Begun - House Prices Fall for Two Consecutive Months / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBritian's biggest mortgage bank HBOS's monthly house price statistics revealed that UK House prices fell by 0.5% in October to £197,248. This follows a 0.6% drop in September, which is the first consecutive drop in house prices since May 2005, as the credit crunch hit the UK mortgage banking sector and five interest rate rises to 5.75% started to impact on affordability. The trend in UK house prices is now in line with the Market Oracle forecast for a 15% decline over the next 2 years as of 22nd August 2007.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 03, 2007

The Invisible Housing Mortgage Hand: Analysis of a Society That Forces You Into Debt / Housing-Market / US Debt

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Ministry of Truth, otherwise known at the Bureau of Labor and Statistics, tells us that inflation is low to moderate. In fact, inflation is so low all you need to do is purchase 10-year Treasury notes and you'll be fine. But we do have inflation and this is apparent in the credit markets. We live in a society were folks are forced to go into debt. Instead of addressing our negative savings rate, corporate America decides to create credit products that will put you even further in debt . They use the machines of marketing to subtly make you feel that having 10 credit cards, student loan debt, and steroid induced mortgages is okay.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, November 03, 2007

Buy Or Rent A House in the UK - Five Scenarios of Gains or Losses's over the Next Five Years / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe following analysis presents five scenarios that prospective home buyers can use to evaluate whether today is a good or bad time to buy depending on the scenario's that they deem to be the most probable. The analysis is especially geared towards first time buyers seeking to buy an average priced property of £200,000.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, October 31, 2007

UK House Prices Remain stubbornly Robust Despite Weakening Demand / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nationwide

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHouse prices rose strongly in October, but underlying market activity is clearly slowing
  • Although demand is weakening, existing homeowners appear in no rush to sell
  • New buy-to-let landlords will need a long investment horizon to realise good returns
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Housing-Market

Monday, October 29, 2007

UK Mortgage Approvals Slump and House Prices Register First Fall for Two Years / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Bank of England revealed today that the credit crunch resulted in a sharp drop in mortgage approvals during September 2007, falling to a 2 year low of 102,000 loans down from 108,000 loans in August 2007. The trend is expected to continue as surging repossessions result in more bad debt provisions and hence tighter borrowing requirements going forward. The credit crunch has seen the LIBOR rate (the rate at which Banks lend to one another) surge from 5.4% a year ago to more than 6.5% during September, with little reduction since.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, October 28, 2007

UK House Prices - Primary Reasons For a Sharp Fall / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Market Oracle expectations are for the UK housing market to fall by 15% over the next two years. However this decline is not expected to be a gradual trend but rather periods of stagnation punctuated by sharp falls which could be of more than 5% in a single quarter! Therefore this article looks at the primary driving forces that could lead to sharp falls in the UK housing market.

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Housing-Market

Friday, October 19, 2007

Where have all the mortgages gone?– 40% less products available than three months ago! / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJulia Harris, Mortgage Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk – the leading independent financial comparison site, comments:“The mortgage market saw an extremely buoyant start to 2007, both in terms of the number of products to choose from – growing 22% in the first six month, but also as new lenders had recently entered the market and existing players explored new lending areas. But since its peak in July, products have been flying off the shelves.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, October 17, 2007

The Truth About UK Property – A Stretch Too Far / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Sarah_Jones

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK House prices have trebled over the last 10 years and analysts are debating whether this is the top of the market and what will happen to the value of people's homes. Getting a foothold, and staying, on the property ladder has never been so difficult. Whether it's buying, selling, renting or simply keeping up with the mortgage payments, nobody seems to know the right thing to do. Now Andrew Verity, BBC Radio 5 Live's Business and Finance expert, travels around the UK to explore the issues surrounding the property market in a bid to tell The Truth About Property.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, October 17, 2007

IMF Awakens to Possibility of UK House Price Crash / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that the UK Housing market could slump due to the impact of the ongoing credit crunch.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, October 11, 2007

UK House Prices Fall by Fastest Pace in 2 Years as Housing Market Slump Gathers Pace / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Royal Institute of Surveyors (RICS) monthly report shows house prices fell for a second consecutive month and are falling at their fastest pace in over 2 years, with 14.6% of surveyors reporting a fall in UK house prices.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, October 09, 2007

Wanted: Prime Suspect of Housing Market Murder / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: EWI

Helen Mirren accepted her Emmy award for best actress in the mini-series, "Prime Suspect" with elegance and grace. Just the opposite of the tough detective superintendent character she plays who tracks down murder suspects in England. Who would Jane Tennison pick out as the prime suspect for the murder of the U.S. housing market and the resulting gruesome credit crunch?

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, October 09, 2007

Britain's Subprime Mortgage Lending Industry Revealed - BBC Panorama Online Video Documentary / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Sarah_Jones

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe BBC's flagship documentary programme, Panorama investigates the blatant abuses and fraud that has taken place in the Britain's own Subprime mortgage market, which is primed for a crash US style. Watch the programme now online.

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Housing-Market

Sunday, October 07, 2007

US Homebuilders in Desperation As Housing Bust Continues / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: David_Shvartsman

If you've been keeping an eye on the news in the U.S. at all these past few months, you know that the situation in housing has continued to deteriorate, despite the much too early bottom calling from industry spokespeople, vapid "economists", and the media's talking heads.

We've reached the "bust" portion of this particular boom-bust cycle, and with each passing week there are new stories to fill in the picture of the real estate market's decline.

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