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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Housing-Market

Saturday, July 07, 2007

Comparative Analysis of 3 U.S. Cities: Contrary to What Your Parents Told You, Not all Bubbles are Created Equally / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

As we are witnessing the mortgage debacle unfold in California, there are other parts of the country that felt very little impact by this seven year credit bubble. For the most part, this bubble has been isolated to coastal metro areas. Not uncommon in beach locales, housing in prime locations always yields a commanding price in the market. But to what extent? Actually to the extent the market can sustain the price, sellers will ask for Pollyanna if they have the inclination they will get it. Yet this desire for higher and riskier mortgages has added fuel to a housing craze unparalleled in history.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Wednesday, July 04, 2007

FSA finds poor practice by intermediaries and lenders within sub-prime mortgage market / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) today published its latest review of the behaviour of intermediaries and lenders within the sub-prime mortgage market, which services consumers with impaired credit histories. It has found weaknesses in responsible lending practices and in firms' assessments of a consumer's ability to afford a mortgage. As a result the regulator has started enforcement action against five firms.

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Housing-Market

Monday, July 02, 2007

The Fed's Role in the Bear Stearns Meltdown / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Mike_Whitney

The Bank for International Settlements issued a warning this week that the Federal Reserve's monetary policies have created an enormous equity bubble which could lead to another “Great Depression”. The UK Telegraph says that, “ The BIS--the ultimate bank of central bankers--pointed to a confluence a worrying signs, citing mass issuance of new-fangled credit instruments, soaring levels of household debt, extreme appetite for risk shown by investors, and entrenched imbalances in the world currency system.

The IMF and the UN have issued similar warnings, but they've all been shrugged off by the Bush administration. Neither Bush nor the Federal Reserve is interested in “course correction”. They plan to stick with the same harebrained policies until the end. 

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Housing-Market

Sunday, July 01, 2007

So Much for the Spring House Selling Season! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: I'm an optimist. No, really. In "regular life," I like to look at the bright side of things. Anyone who has known me for a long time will tell you the same thing.

But when it comes to the markets, I don't mess around. Starry-eyed optimism is a recipe for disaster. You have to approach trading and investing in a cold, rational manner. I don't care if you're talking about bonds, stocks, real estate, or anything else.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, June 28, 2007

US Housing Subprime Mortgage Shoes Continue to Drop / Housing-Market / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: Peter_Schiff

The meltdown in the subprime mortgage market is inexorably spreading throughout the U.S. economy. The first shoe dropped in February, when scores of mortgage originators went bust amid rising defaults and tightening lending standards. Last week, the second shoe dropped as two CDO-focused Bear Stearns hedge funds blew up. Overshadowed by the Bear Stearns drama which unfolded at the same time, California-based brokerage firm Brookstreet Securities shut its doors when unsecured customer losses from margined investments in collateralized mortgage obligations were "unrepentantly" marked down. However, as the subprime monster likely resembles a giant centipede, this will not be the last show to drop.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, June 28, 2007

The Housing Tipping Point. 3 Factors That Will Burst the Bubble: The Negative Wealth Effect, Negative Press, and Suffocating Debt Payments / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

As the Fed does an ostrich impression by sticking its head in the ground and pretending everything is okay, we are facing an economic tipping point ushered in via housing. The Fed has left the key interest rate steady once again. At this point, they are backed to a wall because lowering rates will signal that the economy is weak and needs additional help thus stunting consumer confidence. If they raise rates, they accelerate the bursting bubble because debt service on millions of American's mortgages will go higher thus taking money away from the national past time of mall shopping. We are quickly approaching a global tipping point.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Asset Deflation : Metals and Real Estate Closer to Comatose / Housing-Market / Deflation

By: Steve_Moyer

"We have become ninety-nine percent money mad. The method of living at home modestly and within our income, laying a little by systematically for the proverbial rainy day which is due to come, can almost be listed among the lost arts." ~ George Washington Carver

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Housing-Market

Monday, June 25, 2007

Home Equity Extraction - Sources and uses of "free cash" / Housing-Market / Money Supply

By: Tim_Iacono

The update to the Greenspan/Kennedy report (.pdf) on home equity extraction was a real page-turner. Seriously, it was pretty good. Economists at the Fed have once again demonstrated why they get paid the big bucks to collect data, assemble tables, and produce fifty page reports with appendices, references, and footnotes all in the proper places.

Unfortunately, as is usually the case, they didn't come to many conclusions or provide nearly enough interesting charts.

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Housing-Market

Friday, June 22, 2007

US Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Bubble Rolling Over! Foreign Financials Flying! / Housing-Market / Global Stock Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes : Just a couple weeks ago, I told you that the bond market had suffered a critical break. Now, we're seeing Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) roll over, too.

The benchmark exchange-traded fund for this sector, the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index Fund (IYR) , just broke through critical technical support. In other words, investors are voting with their feet and saying the bubble in commercial real estate is finito.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Irrational Housing: Insiders Out Early and the Duesenberry Effect / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

Markets operate under the assumption that key players act rationally in most circumstances. Their premise is such that market stability is based on people acting to a set of according rules. Much has been debated about this because economics as a science is cold and aloof; it is a matter of simply stating the facts. Yet we have learned in the recent housing mania that market psychology and behavioral economics play a large role in how people interpret risk and what constitutes an investment.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Subprime Mortgage Problems Quarantined? Ask the Home Builders / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) index of current sales of new single-family homes edged down a tick to 29 in the June survey, the lowest reading for this housing cycle and the lowest reading since early 1991 (see Chart 1). Why? I will let David Seiders, the NAHB's chief economist, tell you in his own words: "It's clear that the crisis in the subprime sector has prompted tighter lending standards in much of the mortgage market, and interest rates on prime-quality home mortgages have moved up considerably during the past month along with long-term Treasury rates."

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Housing-Market

Sunday, June 17, 2007

America's Codependence on Housing: 30% of Job Growth Contributed by Real Estate. Five Point Plan on how the Bubble Will Burst / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Dr_Housing_Bubble

America has gone housing crazy. In the last six years, housing has contributed to 29% of total employee additions. How does this equate to past decades? Let us take a look:

1971-1979: 10%
1980-1989: 12%
1990-1999: 10%
2000-2006: 29%

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Housing-Market

Sunday, June 17, 2007

Mortgage Fixed Rates Disappearing Again… / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Lisa Taylor, of Moneyfacts.co.uk – the money search engine, comments:“With base rate remaining on hold, at least for the next month, we may have expected the mortgage market to have settled. However this is far from the case, especially for fixed rate deals that have been either disappearing off the shelves or increasing rapidly.

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Housing-Market

Friday, June 15, 2007

Homebuilders Stocks Rallying : How could this be? Part II / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Michael_K_Dawson

My trading strategy is fairly simple. I identify a dominate theme and then buy leading stocks in that theme. This has worked quite well for me over the years. Back in the good old days it was the Internet and stocks like AOL (TWX), CMGI (CMGI), Cisco (CSCO), Intel (INTC) and Microsoft (MSFT). Over the past three years, it has been industrialization of the emerging markets. This led to the formation of my Big Build-Out (BBO) portfolio  and stocks like Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO), Southern Copper (PCU) and BHP Billiton (BHP).  Read full article... Read full article...

 


Housing-Market

Friday, June 15, 2007

We are on the Brink of a UK Housing Market Crash Warns Fool.co.uk / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Fool.co.uk

Household finances in British homes are at breaking point. With virtually no safety margin in the average household budget, a further rise in interest rates could tip many homeowners over the edge, according to a study by personal finance website Fool.co.uk .

Currently, the gross income of the average household in the UK is £32,800 (1). This equates to a net income of £,700 (1) after adjusting for the receipt of benefits and the deduction of direct and indirect taxes. While this comfortably exceeds average household expenditure of £20,800 (2) before mortgage payments, it only tells part of the story.

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