Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 05, 2010
Inflation Not the Cause of Every Price Increase / Economics / Deflation
By: Chris_Galakoutis
Costs continue to go up for the goods and services that Americans consume on a daily basis. While today we can all buy stocks, real estate and fill up our gas tanks with fewer dollars than in 2007 and early 2008, the costs of other items continue to go up. For instance, I just received a bill from the CT Secretary of State for the fee I pay every year for my LLC. The fee has doubled. Inflationists point to this type of thing and argue that this is a sign of inflation.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
No Easy Way Out From America's Debt Crisis / Economics / US Debt
By: Mike_Larson
I just got back from my first lengthy vacation in years — to New York, London, and Paris. I enjoyed many fine meals and fun nights out with friends. I got to see everything from the Rosetta Stone and St. Paul’s Cathedral to the Mona Lisa and the Eiffel Tower.
The only real downside? The lousy January weather!
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims Jump, Hate Mail From Keynesian / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are investigating the Unemployment Weekly Claims Report from the department of labor. Weekly unemployment claims are up yet again, as is the 4-week moving average of claims.
Thursday, February 04, 2010
America Must Innovate or Die as China Scientists Lead the World in Research Growth / Economics / Technology
By: Gordon_T_Long
US innovation is plummeting faster than our Financial Markets did during the 2008 financial crisis!
The future of America is presently in peril, not just because of the “banksters’’ shadowy ways, but because of a sputtering Innovation Engine that has had the fuel “choked off’. It has now gone “critical” and can no longer be left to only the carping of the academic community.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Davos, Jobs are Families / Economics / Employment
By: Pravda
Let us spell a message to the Davos World Economic Forum before it gathers next week: Jobs are families. As unemployment rates reach record levels there can be no doubt that the current monetarist-market-oriented economic model contains vectors which create endemic instability, engender extreme instability in the labour market and send families lurching from one crisis to the next in a boom-and-bust climate. Perhaps the economists at Davos can do what they are paid for: produce an alternative that works.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Army of Unemployed Russians Grows Steadily / Economics / Russia
By: Pravda
About 500,000 Russian citizens may lose their jobs in the nearest future, Vice Prime Minister Alexander Zhukov believes. The number of Russians on an enforced leave will not diminish either, he said.
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Thursday, February 04, 2010
Greece Crisis Shows Global Debt Bomb Could Explode During 2010 / Economics / Global Debt Crisis
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: The big story in the international markets so far in the New Year has been the increasing shakiness of a number of countries' government bonds, with Greece right now being the most troubled of all.
Since U.S. investors tend to avoid foreign government bonds, many will dismiss this as an irrelevant development.
Thursday, February 04, 2010
Does Anyone in Washington Know What Needs to Be Done to Create Jobs? / Economics / Employment
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
This is a question that I often get as I speak to groups around the country. Based on the ADP monthly survey of employment, small- and medium-sized firms (less than 500 employees each) are the fount (or black hole, as of recent months) of jobs in the U.S. economy (see Chart 1).So, rather than asking Washington career politicians what it takes to create more jobs, why don't we poll small businessmen and businesswomen?
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Retail Sales Discount Offers Are the Language of Action, Not a Trick / Economics / Economic Theory
By: MISES
Predrag Rajsic writes: In the last several months, retail stores have sales on all sorts of products. Discounts go as far as 90% off. Some of these widespread price reductions can be attributed to the holiday season behind us, while most of them, it seems, were triggered by the recent fall in consumer demand due to the macroeconomic downturn.
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
U.S. on the Brink of Bankruptcy? / Economics / US Debt
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes: U.S. President Barack Obama's budget for 2011, presented on Monday, shows a deficit of $1.3 trillion for the fiscal year that ends that September. That shortfall is actually $287 billion more than the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) had projected less than a week earlier, when it had released a budget forecast of its own for that same fiscal year.
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Beyond Economic Stimulus, Fiscal Policy After the Great Recession / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Global_Research
Andrew Jackson writes: As the communiqué from the Pittsburgh G20 summit put it, “it worked”. Unprecedented macro-economic stimulus in the form of ultra low interest rates and large government deficits has pulled the global economy back from the abyss, at least for now. But what comes next? Conventional economic wisdom is setting the stage for deep and damaging cuts to public expenditures if labour and the progressive left do not win the argument for public investment led growth and increased fiscal capacity.
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Global Insolvency, How will the U.S. Service its Debt? / Economics / US Debt
By: Bob_Chapman
The recent election in Massachusetts of Republican Scott Brown to the Senate was a seminal event. It ended the Democratic administration’s ability to ram through legislation. It changed the game. The locomotive hit the bunter.
China saw the error of its ways in overstimulating its economy and halted bank lending. The Senate majority refusing to seat the new Senator Brown passed a tremendous increase in short-term government debt. Goldman Sachs and others thumbed their noses at the rest of America and distributed giant bonuses as the country wallowed in depression and 22.5% unemployment. Finally we have Paul Volcker proclaiming the end of too big to fail and stopping banks from trading their own accounts.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Will the Inflationary Hurricane Blow Your Savings Away? / Economics / Inflation
By: Gary_North
Allan Meltzer wrote a very good essay for the Wall Street Journal on January 27. It dealt with the build-up in the Federal Reserve System's monetary base as a result of its purchases of government debt, especially Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debt, in the fall of 2008. Its title and subhead tell the story:
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
A Mortally Wounded Private Sector / Economics / US Economy
By: Michael_Pento
The President’s 2011 budget proposal was so outrageously egregious that Obama had to hold a special conference on Monday just to spin the news.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Dangerous Recession Economic Recovery Lessons of 1937 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: MISES
Jonathan M. Finegold Catalan writes: Many economists have already compared the years 1929–1932 to those of 2007–2009, and the current period of recovery to the time period 1933–1939. It was only a matter of time before they began to look for a comparison between the recession of 1937 and a potential "double dip" today.
Tuesday, February 02, 2010
U.S. Deepening Debt Crisis, Be Afraid of Bernanke Reappointment / Economics / US Debt
By: Michael_Hudson
If the economy deteriorates in the L-shaped “hockey-stick” rut that many economists forecast, what political price will President Obama and the Democrats pay for having returned the financial keys to the Bush Republican appointees who gave away the store in the first place? Reappointing Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke may end up injuring not only the economy but also the Democratic Party for years to come. Recognizing this, Republicans made populist points by opposing his reappointment during the Senate confirmation hearings last Thursday, January 27 – the day after Mr. Obama’s State of the Union address.
Sunday, January 31, 2010
US GDP: The breakdown / Economics / US Economy
By: Vishal_Damor
U.S. government declared its fourth quarter GDP which grew at a 5.7% annual rate. This number didn’t result from actual economic growth per se, but from a slower rate of decline of inventories. Inventory numbers that were falling at a slower rate acccounted for approximately 3.4% of the 5.7% GDP growth at the end of 2009. There has been a decrease in inventories for seven quarters in a row. Private businesses decreased inventories $33.5 billion in the fourth quarter, following a bigger decrease of $139.2 billion in the third quarter and an even biggerdecrease of $160.2 billion in the second.
Saturday, January 30, 2010
The Statistical Economic Recovery has Arrived / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: John_Mauldin
The Statistical Recovery has Arrived
This Time Is Different
A Crisis of Confidence
Greeks Bearing Gifts
Biotech, Conversations and Babies
"Our immersion in the details of crises that have arisen over the past eight centuries and in data on them has led us to conclude that the most commonly repeated and most expensive investment advice ever given in the boom just before a financial crisis stems from the perception that 'this time is different.' That advice, that the old rules of valuation no longer apply, is usually followed up with vigor.
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Friday, January 29, 2010
U.S. Economy Recovery, Is This as Good as It’s Going to Get? / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Sy_Harding
It’s a major question for investors. Is this as good as it’s going to get? Has the economy peaked in its recovery for now? Has the stock market begun a significant correction to factor in a slower economy, or even a dip back into recession later this year?
Friday, January 29, 2010
This is Like the Great Depression and Worse / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Mac_Slavo
Wellington Letter publisher Bert Dohmen discusses the economy, stock markets, gold, China’s Dubai-style bubble, and forecasts for 2010 and beyond with the McAlvany Weekly Commentary.