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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Friday, July 16, 2010

Government Policies Pushing U.S. Economy Towards Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: John_Browne

Despite several quarters of rising GDP, and the upbeat exertions of Administration spokespeople, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) has yet to announce the recession is over. Their reluctance is well-founded. It is beginning to dawn on even the more optimistic analysts that the tepid growth we have seen over the past three quarters is only an interlude in an otherwise grave and prolonged recession. Moreover, the respite will cost dearly as the United States has racked up a generation worth of debt for dubious benefit.

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Economics

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Illinois Higher Debt Default Risk than Iceland / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIllinois made headlines a few weeks ago when it overtook California as the worst credit risk among American states. Now, the fifth most populous state in the U.S. has officially overtaken Iceland in the default risk category as well. (See screenshot below from CMA site today)

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Economics

Thursday, July 15, 2010

The Fed is Steering U.S. Economy into Deflation  / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed is steering the economy into deflation. It's a political calculation that will keep unemployment high, increase excess capacity, and deepen the recession. C.P.I. continues to fall, bank lending is down 4 percent year-over-year, housing prices are slipping, business investment is off, and consumer credit continues to shrink.  On Wednesday, the Commerce Dept reported that retail sales fell 0.5 percent, more than analysts expected. This is the second drop in retail purchases in the last two months signaling weakness in consumer demand.

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Economics

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Savings Are a Lousy Excuse for America’s Trade Deficit / Economics / US Economy

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEveryone who’s been paying attention knows by now that Americans consume too much and save too little.   This is statistically true, but it has unfortunately become the basis of a mischievous lie about the cause of America’s monstrous trade deficits.  That is, many orthodox economists have been claiming that our trade deficit is really a savings problem in disguise.

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Economics

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Census Bureau Reports Fictional Hogwash About Retail Sales / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Today the Census Bureau posted its Advance Monthly Retail Sales and Food Services Report for June 2010.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Money Disillusion, 8 Ugly Facts About U.K. Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBehold the sad case of the poor British worker and saver...

PEOPLE BUY GOLD when they fear inflation ahead. But they also buy gold when inflation arrives and starts eating into their savings – which is just what it's done during the last decade.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Economics Is Easy Except for Academic Economists / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSterling T. Terrell writes: I stumbled across an interesting article a few days ago. Written by Kartik Athreya, of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, the article is titled "Economics is Hard. Don't Let Bloggers Tell You Otherwise."

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Economics

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

UK Unemployment Falls Inline With Forecast Trend Expectations / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe previous Labour government's debt fuelled election bounce continues to have a positive impact on the UK economy as the number of unemployed for May fell to 2.47 million down by 34,000 in the three months to May. However whilst the ConLIb government may try and claim some credit from Labours lagging unemployment news, the headline figure masks several problem areas such as the rise in the long-term unemployed up by over 60,000 to 787,000.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 14, 2010

U.S. Economic Recovery and Weak Loan Demand / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou have heard that loan growth is one of the critical elements of economic growth. The last recession saw total outstanding loans plummet as banks tightened up their credit standards and credit demand fell. So far, business loans remain weak indicating business of all sizes are not looking for more credit.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

The Self-Defeat of the Keynesian Cross / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePredrag Rajsic writes: The Austrian business-cycle theory, initiated by Ludwig von Mises and further developed and elaborated by F.A. Hayek, is by many considered the cornerstone of this school of thought. However, in 1998, Paul Krugman plainly dismissed the theory as not "worthy of serious study."

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Economics

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Inflation, The Runaway Train / Economics / Inflation

By: Kieran_Osborne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflationary risks have seemingly fallen out of the mindset of many investors recently, with the European debt crisis causing many to reevaluate their outlook for global economic growth in concert with record low headline CPI numbers being released. Despite this, gold, traditionally a hedge against inflation, continues to move up in price. Is this dynamic inconsistent? We don’t think so. Of course, some of gold’s price movement may reflect its safety aspect, given renewed concerns over the long-term health of the economy, but in our opinion, inflationary concerns are very much valid and should be front and center of any investment strategy going forward.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Are We Trending Towards Deflation or in It? / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Krugman is worried we are Trending Toward Deflation.

Inflation has been falling, but how close are we to deflation? I found myself wondering that after observing John Makin’s combusting coiffure, his prediction that we might see deflation this year.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

UK Inflation Falls to CPI 3.2%, Precisely inline with 2010 Forecast / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK inflation for June 2010 registered a small drop from 3.4% to 3.2%, though remaining stubbornly above the Bank of England's upper limit of 3%, thus the BoE Governor, Mervyn King will write yet another letter to repeat that the high rate of inflation is just "temporary", though when does "temporary" high inflation stop being temporary? 6 months? a year? 2 years? as the country sleep walks into stagflation with all of the consequences for wage earners and savers.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

How to Fix the U.S. Economy? / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are remedies for recession, and the remedies are well known. But fixing the economy requires special medicine, fiscal stimulus, and if the patient does not take the medicine, he will not improve. It's not enough to have the medicine sitting on one's nightstand. It must be ingested before recovery can begin.

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Economics

Monday, July 12, 2010

Recession, Deflation and Deficits Economic Outlook 2010 / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI look forward at the beginning of every quarter to receiving the Quarterly Outlook from Hoisington Investment Management. They have been prominent proponents of the view that deflation is the problem, stemming from a variety of factors, and write about their views in a very clear and concise manner. This quarter's letter is no exception, where they once again delve into the history books to bring up fresh and relevant lessons for today. This is a must read piece.

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