Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 06, 2012
Global Economic and Political Evaluation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Eelco_Lodewijks
WHAT WE KNOW – AND WHAT IT TELLS US
This is not an exhaustive list, but enough to make you sit up and think.
This is a Global Evaluation and South Africa may be less badly affected, but, when the rest of the world catches a cold, South Africa catches Double Pneumonia.
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Friday, October 05, 2012
U.S. Dollar, Bonds, Gold, Commodities, and Stocks October Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past year we have had some really interesting things unfold in the market. Investing or even swing trading has been much more difficult because of all the wild economic data and daily headline news from all over the globe causing strong surges or sell offs almost every week.
For a while there you could not hold a position for more than a week without some type of news event moving the market enough to either push you deep in the money or get stopped out for a loss. This has unfortunately caused a lot of individuals to give up on trading which is not a good sign for the financial market as a whole.
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Thursday, October 04, 2012
Financial Fukushima: US Big Bank Derivative Bets Double in Six Years To $236 Trillion / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Jesse
Well, the derivatives market is like Fukushima Daiichi before it failed and melted down, when the utility company and the Japanese government were blithely assuring themselves and everyone else that nothing could go wrong. Just as Greenspan and other very important people said nothing could go wrong with the US housing market and the wholesale collateralization of debt. Nothing to see here, move along.
Thursday, October 04, 2012
Stock Markets Continue to Leveitate as Money Printing Trumps Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Michael_Pento
Stock markets around the world continue to levitate despite the fact that the fundamentals behind the global economy continue to deteriorate.
U.S. second quarter GDP was significantly revised downward last week from the previously reported 1.7%, to just 1.3%. The paltry 1.3% reading on GDP followed a first quarter print that was already an anemic 2%. Also reported last week was the worsening state of consumer’s income. Their take home pay (after taxes and inflation are considered) dropped 0.3% in August, as their savings rate fell to just 3.7%, from 4.1% during the prior month. Another worrisome report showed manufacturing activity in the Chicago region contracted for the first time in three years in the month of September, according to the MNI Chicago Report released on Friday.
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Thursday, October 04, 2012
Investment Poker: Nightmare in the Danger Zone / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: DeviantInvestor
You just took $500,000 (half your net worth) and sat down at a no-limit Texas Hold ‘em game in the Wall Street Casino. You are anxious but feel confident, based on good intelligence and planning. Then you look at the other players at the table:
•A prominent Washington D. C. lobbyist.
•A TBTF (Too Big To Fail) banker with deep political connections.
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Thursday, October 04, 2012
Stock Sentiment Improving.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
It does get boring when you have to deal with a market that whipsaws about on a daily basis. But the real question is what is the message that this whipsaw is representing. Some would interpret this as bearish behavior, while others would say they just can't figure it out. The masses will always turn negative when markets stop moving higher on a regular basis, especially when you consider the news that sits out there every day of our lives. We hear so much about the economic turmoil throughout the world. That starts to get engrained in our brains, thus, when markets correct, it feels like it must be something other than a healthy pullback to unwind things.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2012
Nouriel Roubini Says Too Big To Fail Banks Are Worse Than Before / Stock-Markets / Banksters
By: Bloomberg
Nouriel Roubini and Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group, sat down with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on "Bloomberg Surveillance" this morning to talk the global economy and U.S. politics. Roubini said that too big to fail banks are "worse than before" and the only solution is for them to "break up."
Bremmer said that if Obama wins the election, it is "not primarily because Romney is a horrible candidate," but because of three people: John Roberts, Angela Merkel and Ben Bernanke.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2012
Investors Fight the Inflation Boogeyman, Protect Your Wealth from Fed Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Axel_Merk
Investors are concerned about inflation. But how can investors attempt to inflation-proof their portfolios? Buy TIPS? Short Treasury bonds? Stocks? Real Estate? Commodities? Gold? Currencies? Or should investors regard those warnings about inflation as fear mongering?
Wednesday, October 03, 2012
Implications of November's U.S. Presidential Election on Private Equity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Steve Schwarzman, Chairman and CEO of Blackstone, sat down with Bloomberg News' Jason Kelly and said that election scrutiny of private equity may pay off: "There's a point of view that these business have performed very well for institutions...Ironically, it gave the public and other people a chance to think through these arguments."
Schwarzman also said, "We have not seen any of the blow back that you might expect."
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Tuesday, October 02, 2012
Stock Market Panic Scenario Developing / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The Scenario that I discussed last night is playing out. Remember, this formation is comprised of zigzags, or a-b-c waves. This morning’s pop is a B wave. We will have confirmation of that once SPX declines below 1440.98.
This decline will be the wake-up call, but many will fall back asleep when a strong 61.8% retracement from the 50-day moving average (1413.99) back to mid-cycle resistance at 1450.45 follows.
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Tuesday, October 02, 2012
Kondratieff, Solar Cycles and Markets / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: John_Hampson
Kondratieff was a Russian economist who argued that there was a long sine wave cycle in the economy lasting around 60 years broken down into 4 seasons each lasting around 15 years. There proposed reason for the cycle is…. other cycles. In other words, cycles of demographics, credit cycles, capital investment cycles and more, generate these long repetitions over time. Clearly that’s slightly unsatisfactory, unless we can explain the cycles of the source phenomena. Today, I am going to argue that Kondratieff cycling actually reflects solar cycling.
Monday, October 01, 2012
Commodity Price Trends as Economic and Stock Market Indicators / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Ian_R_Campbell
Why read: To test the contemporaneous views I expressed four years ago, to observe similarities and differences then and now, and to determine if you agree with my current views.
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Monday, October 01, 2012
Pakistan Investing, Fundamental Economic and Markets Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Bilal_Khan
In this document we highlight our views on the key investor debates across the macro-economy, FX, fixed income, equities, precious metals and provide our views on asset allocation.
- Economics: Recent improved relations with the US and improved liquidity from the unlocking of USD flows has resulted in a degree of optimism about the future. Will this optimism last given the macro challenges?
Monday, October 01, 2012
Stock Market Scenario Favours Continuing Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The Fed has extended the SPX intermediate uptrend, but for how long?
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Monday, October 01, 2012
Socialist Global Central Bank Crime Syndicate QE-4-Ever Inflation Theft / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It is barely four weeks since the European arm of the global central bank crime syndicate (ECB) announced its policy of wanting to print unlimited euro's to monetize bankrupting PIIGS debts that was welcomed by the markets who's participants would be lining up to offload PIIGS bonds bought at far higher interest rates (lower prices) onto predominantly German tax payers because it is Germany that backs the Euro as a sound currency rather than the Greek or Spanish versions of the Zimbabwean Dollar.